Rate Hike Fear JOLTS Markets – Ep. 107

Rate Hike Fear JOLTS Markets – Ep. 107


* Another day, another 450-point swing in the Dow Jones
* The market opened about 250 points higher off the back of overseas markets
* Japan was the standout; it was up about 7% on the hope of more money printing
* All overseas markets were stronger and the U.S. followed that lead, but at the end of the day, the market was down about 240 points, a lot of selling coming in the final hour
* Huge swings almost daily over several weeks generally indicates a change in trend
* The long-term trend of a rising market followed by extreme volatility usually marks the end of that trend
* All this volatility is based on rate hike uncertainty
* Sentiments range from rate hikes coming either in September, October, or December
* The first rate hike is not scaring everybody, it is the consequences of interest rate normalizaion
* If the Fed does raise rates, I think the market will start looking toward the next rate cut
* This bubble is so big, the slightest pin will prick it
* The Fed's only option will be stimulus to get out of the next recession
* The cycle will be much shorter because of the amount of debt we have
* Sentiment is coming from everywhere asking the Fed not to raise rates, which plays into the Fed's hand
* This disguises the Fed's actual intention not to raise rates
* Market volatility today was probable due to the JOLTS report today which unexpectedly jumped up to the highest level in years, indicating a huge number unfilled jobs
* The JOLTS numbers have been good for years, and wages still have not gone up
* This is just the raw number of jobs, so these may be a larger number of part time jobs open replacing full time jobs
* Many low-paying jobs won't be filled because entitlements provide higher compensation
* Everyone is on pins and needles because they know that cheap money is the only thing that is fueling the economy - it's not real earnings
* The market may have sold off anyway because there has been a lot of technical damage done to this market and it is likely to go down until the Fed admits that rates are not going up
* The stock market, unlike the foreign exchange market or the commodities market or the emerging markets have not discounted rate hike normalization
* This means that if the Fed does rates by a quarter point, the dollar could sell off because it is too little too late
* It could be the shortest tightening cycle ever
* The stock market needs to know that the Fed is not going to raise rates
* The U.S. will lose its safe haven appeal
* One small example why the Fed can't raise rates is the sub-prime Auto Loan bubble, which is now above a trillion dollars
* The short-term benefit to the economy is increased manufacturing, inventory and jobs
* But the huge reduction in credit quality of these loans provides risk of fewer future sales due to longer payoff terms
* It is much easier to default on an auto loan than it is to default on a home
* If we have a trillion dollars in auto loans, if we go into recession next year, we would lose at least $100 - 200 billion on car loans which will further exacerbate the recession in a big way
* High-paying jobs in the auto industry will be lost,and the Fed has to know this already
* Another trend is a record high in auto leases because they offer lower monthly payments
* Leases are not the best choice unless they are bought for a business, providing a tax write-off
* Otherwise, for personal use, your payments never end - you never own the car/li>
* I have already recommended not to borrow money to buy a car
* Save your money and buy a used car you can afford
* In the Chinese economy, most cars are purchased with cash, from savings
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Jaksot(1073)

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Making Lemonade Out of Economic Lemons - Ep 977

Cut your wireless bill to $15/month at https://mintmobile.com/gold. $45 upfront payment required. For new customers on the first 3 month plan only. 🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Avocado Green Mattress: https://avocadogreenmattress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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The Fed Makes Its Biggest Mistake Yet - Ep 976

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24 Elo 202455min

Gold Breaks $2,500. Harris Would Send it to the Moon - Ep 975

Gold Breaks $2,500. Harris Would Send it to the Moon - Ep 975

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17 Elo 202455min

Inflation Data Supports Rate Hikes, Not Rate Cuts - Ep 974

Inflation Data Supports Rate Hikes, Not Rate Cuts - Ep 974

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15 Elo 202455min

Bank of Japan Rescues the Markets... For Now - Ep 973

Bank of Japan Rescues the Markets... For Now - Ep 973

Peter returns to his Puerto Rico studio after an extended vacation. He discusses recent market volatility, including movements in stocks, Japan’s market crash, and cryptocurrency fluctuations. Peter critiques the Fed's decision not to cut rates, arguing that delaying cuts only worsens economic pain. He predicts future rate cuts and quantitative easing, and shares insights on gold and mining stock investments. Additionally, Peter analyzes the political landscape, focusing on Kamala Harris's VP pick, and criticizes new UK laws limiting free speech. Peter also advocates for tax reforms and spending cuts to address the deficits⭐️ NetSuite is offering a one-of-a-kind flexible financing program. https://netsuite.com/gold🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com📈 Invest like Peter: https://schiffradio.com/invest🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Avocado Green Mattress: https://avocadogreenmattress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

12 Elo 202457min

Will There Be an Emergency Rate Cut to Avert a Crash? - Ep 972

Will There Be an Emergency Rate Cut to Avert a Crash? - Ep 972

Cut your wireless bill to $15/month at https://mintmobile.com/gold. $45 upfront payment required. For new customers on the first 3 month plan only. Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comFollow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFollow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Avocado Green Mattress: https://avocadogreenmattress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

3 Elo 202455min

Bitcoin Faction Exposes the Evils of Democracy - Ep 971

Bitcoin Faction Exposes the Evils of Democracy - Ep 971

NetSuite is offering a one-of-a-kind flexible financing program. https://netsuite.com/goldVisit https://indeed.com/peter to start hiring now.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Avocado Green Mattress: https://avocadogreenmattress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

26 Heinä 202453min

Trump Is a Living American Folk Hero That No Democrat Can Beat - Ep 970

Trump Is a Living American Folk Hero That No Democrat Can Beat - Ep 970

Sign up for a $1/month trial period at https://shopify.com/goldNetSuite is offering a one-of-a-kind flexible financing program. https://netsuite.com/goldSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comInvest like Peter: https://schiffradio.com/investFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksFollow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFollow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Avocado Green Mattress: https://avocadogreenmattress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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