Weak Data Belies Fed’s Upbeat Narrative – Ep. 108

Weak Data Belies Fed’s Upbeat Narrative – Ep. 108


* The U.S. stock market finished out this holiday-shortened week on an upnote with the Dow Jones up just over 100 points
* This was the best week the market has had since March
* The dollar was softer on the week; the euro ended solidly above 113
* Gold was under pressure throughout the day but closed only off about $3.00
* Gold stocks earlier this morning were at the lowest I've seen in this cycle but then had a sharp reversal finishing much stronger on the day
* The markets are looking forward to no rate hike in September
* Michigan Consumer Sentiment Numbers may have been the catalyst to turn the market
* They were looking for 91 - slight below last month; instead we got 85.7 - a huge miss
* This is the biggest miss in the history of the index
* The bigger number was the Wholesale Trade Number, which was expected to reflect inventories to rise .3%
* Instead, inventories declined by .1%
* This will notch a little off of Q3 GDP
* More importantly, inventories went down, but sales also declined by .3%
* This means the inventory to sales ratio rose again
* It is not at the highest it has been since the 2008 financial crisis
* This level has only existed twice in the last 15 years and both of those times, the economy was in recession
* Another interesting chart is inventory to sales in the Auto sector
* Auto inventory to sales level has risen to 1.73% - the highest since 2009
* Today's inventory to sales ratio is even higher than the recession of 2001
* This is a sign that the Auto bubble is bursting
* If the Fed were going to raise interest rates in September, wouldn't we already know by now?
* The longer the Fed waits to raise rates, the less likely is is to do it
* If the Fed does rates and then has to go back to zero, it will look like the Fed was wrong about the economy
* It would be better now to keep rates at zero, indicating they understand the weakness in the economy
* The other risk of raising rates, and weakening the economy is that it may become evident that the Fed can never raise rates
* The driving force behind the dollar rally is expectation of normalization of rates
* The Fed has severed the legs of the economy and higher rates will expose this
* The Fed has plenty of excuses not to raise rates, but now that they started zero percent interest rates, they will not be able to stop
* The balance sheet has not shrunk at all
* There is no way out
* How can people think that we can keep interest rates this low for this long and not have problems?
* Artificially low interest rates causes mis-allocation of resources
* Those mistakes are corrected when interest rates go up
* The next economic downturn is going to leave the Fed with no other recourse than QE
* Fiscal stimulus will roll out during the election year to cover the bigger deficits caused by Keynesian stimulus package
* Also the emerging markets are just starting to unload U.S. Treasuries because they no longer need them to keep their currencies from rising
* When they realize that the dollar has peaked and a new bear market has begun, the Fed will have to not only stimulate the economy and monetize the growing deficit, they will also have to monetize the treasuries that are being sold by foreign central banks
* QE4 for will be bigger than QE1, QE2 or QE3
* The question is, when are people going to figure this out?
* When is the dialogue going to turn from when will the Fed raise rates to how big is the next stimulus package be and how soon will it be here?
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Jaksot(1073)

Get Ready for an Inflation Bloodbath - Ep 953

Get Ready for an Inflation Bloodbath - Ep 953

NetSuite is offering a one-of-a-kind flexible financing program. https://netsuite.com/goldVisit https://indeed.com/peter to start hiring now.Join my Locals community to get The Pete Schiff Show ad-free! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member.Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/investSIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.comSchiff Gold News: http://www.schiffgold.com/newsBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksFollow Peter Schiff on Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFollow Peter Schiff on Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Avocado Green Mattress: https://avocadogreenmattress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

21 Maalis 202457min

Resurgent Inflation Will Surprise Investors and Rattle Markets - Ep 952

Resurgent Inflation Will Surprise Investors and Rattle Markets - Ep 952

Sign up for a $1/month trial period at https://shopify.com/goldJoin my Locals community to get The Pete Schiff Show ad-free! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member.Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/investSIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.comSchiff Gold News: http://www.schiffgold.com/newsBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksFollow Peter Schiff on Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFollow Peter Schiff on Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Avocado Green Mattress: https://avocadogreenmattress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

14 Maalis 202443min

Biden and Powell Do America, Part 2 - Ep 951

Biden and Powell Do America, Part 2 - Ep 951

Visit https://indeed.com/peter to start hiring nowJoin my Locals community to get The Pete Schiff Show ad-free! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member.Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/investSIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.comSchiff Gold News: http://www.schiffgold.com/newsBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksFollow Peter Schiff on Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFollow Peter Schiff on Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/peterschiff Our Sponsors:* Check out Avocado Green Mattress: https://avocadogreenmattress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

11 Maalis 202456min

Gold's Breakout Signals Monetary Policy Too Loose - Ep 950

Gold's Breakout Signals Monetary Policy Too Loose - Ep 950

One-of-a-kind financing program at https://netsuite.com/goldJoin my Locals community to get The Pete Schiff Show ad-free! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member.Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/investSIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.comSchiff Gold News: http://www.schiffgold.com/newsBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksFollow Peter Schiff on Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFollow Peter Schiff on Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Avocado Green Mattress: https://avocadogreenmattress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

7 Maalis 202446min

Bitcoin Mania Creates Golden Opportunity - Ep 949

Bitcoin Mania Creates Golden Opportunity - Ep 949

Cut your wireless bill to 15 bucks a month at https://mintmobile.com/goldCheck out the exclusive discounts for my audience at https://neolightbed.comRegister for The 2024 MoneyShow in Miami, FL (April 10-12): https://www.miamisymposium.com/speakers/4532d84bf93311d3a5dd00104b96e7b5/peter-schiff/?scode=062042Join my Locals community to get The Pete Schiff Show ad-free! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member.Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/investSIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.comSchiff Gold News: http://www.schiffgold.com/newsBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksFollow Peter Schiff on Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFollow Peter Schiff on Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/peterschiff Our Sponsors:* Check out Avocado Green Mattress: https://avocadogreenmattress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

1 Maalis 202453min

A Tale of Two Stocks - Ep 948

A Tale of Two Stocks - Ep 948

One-of-a-kind financing program at https://netsuite.com/goldhttps://factormeal.com/goldpeter50 and use code goldpeter50 to get 50% offJoin my Locals community to get The Pete Schiff Show ad-free! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member.Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/investSIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.comSchiff Gold News: http://www.schiffgold.com/newsBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksFollow Peter Schiff on Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFollow Peter Schiff on Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Avocado Green Mattress: https://avocadogreenmattress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

23 Helmi 202459min

Inflation Threat Is Graver Than Investors Realize - Ep 947

Inflation Threat Is Graver Than Investors Realize - Ep 947

Visit https://indeed.com/peter to start hiring nowCheck out the exclusive discounts for my audience at https://neolightbed.comRegister for The 2024 MoneyShow in Miami, FL (April 10-12): https://www.miamisymposium.com/speakers/4532d84bf93311d3a5dd00104b96e7b5/peter-schiff/?scode=062042Join my Locals community to get The Pete Schiff Show ad-free! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member.Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/investSIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.comSchiff Gold News: http://www.schiffgold.com/newsBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksFollow Peter Schiff on Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFollow Peter Schiff on Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Avocado Green Mattress: https://avocadogreenmattress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

14 Helmi 202454min

When Jerome Powell Talks, People Shouldn't Listen - Ep 946

When Jerome Powell Talks, People Shouldn't Listen - Ep 946

Visit https://indeed.com/peter to start hiring nowOne-of-a-kind financing program at https://netsuite.com/goldJoin my Locals community to get The Pete Schiff Show ad-free! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member.Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/investSIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.comSchiff Gold News: http://www.schiffgold.com/newsBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksFollow Peter Schiff on Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFollow Peter Schiff on Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Avocado Green Mattress: https://avocadogreenmattress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

7 Helmi 202456min

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