Fed Continues To Extend And Pretend On Rate Hikes – Ep.115

Fed Continues To Extend And Pretend On Rate Hikes – Ep.115


* I am recording this podcast from New Orleans, where I am attending the Investment Conference
* Today, I am going to talk predominantly is the FOMC statement that came out yesterday following the conclusion of their 2-day October meeting
* It was largely expected that the Fed would not raise interest rates in October and that's exactly what happened
* I predicted this a long time ago
* What is amazing is that, as a result of this announcement, more people expect the Fed to raise rates in December
* Going into this announcement, the dollar was on the defensive, silver was up about .50, gold was up $15.00
* It sure looked like people were expecting a more dovish tone from the Fed
* After all, a lot of bad economic news has come out since the September meeting
* When the Fed statement was released, there was no such change in language
* This now leads people to believe that the statement was hawkish
* They still don't understand the game: Nothing has changed.
* the Fed has to pretend that a rate hike is right around the corner in order to pretend that the recovery is real
* They can't admit that the economy is weak because they want to take credit for saving the economy
* They have to keep pretending, and they have to keep making up excuses
* Steve Leesman was asking why we need emergency rates when the emergency is over
* The emergency is not over, as far as the Fed is concerned because there is no real recovery
* If we had a legitimate recovery, of course the Fed could raise rates
* Thus the game: they continue to talk as if they might raise rates, and the markets buy it
* As soon as their statement came out, gold tanked, it ended up down about $10, silver gave up most of its gains, and the dollar was broadly higher
* If you actually read the statement, there is nothing hawkish about it
* It is basically the same as the September
* The only thing that stands out is an absence of concern
* The FOMC is not worried about all the bad news
* "In determining whether it will be appropriate to raise the target range at its next meeting, the Committee will assess progress--both realized and expected--toward its objectives of maximum employment and 2 percent inflation. This assessment will take into account a wide range of information, including measures of labor market conditions, indicators of inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and readings on financial and international developments. The Committee anticipates that it will be appropriate to raise the target range for the federal funds rate when it has seen some further improvement in the labor market and is reasonably confident that inflation will move back to its 2 percent objective over the medium term. "
* None of that is going to happen. The labor market is deteriorated - the labor force participation rate is still shrinking
* These are metrics Janet Yellen needs to see improve
* The Fed knows that these minutes will be misinterpreted
* They want to preserve the illusion that a rate hike is possible so they can preserve the illusion that this is a legitimate recovery and not a gigantic bubble
* But, what's going to happen when the Fed doesn't raise rates and ends up launching QE4 the Fed is going to have zero credibility
* The U.S. economy is in worse shape now than it was leading into the 2008 financial crisis
* Now everybody is talking about how important the jobs number will be - the Fed has not raised rates in 7 years. How can one jobs report make the difference?
* Meanwhile we've had months of stronger jobs numbers and the Fed did not raise rates
* I think the truth is the Fed has decided not to raise rates
* But they still need to maintain the perception that they might raise rates and that'... Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Jaksot(1086)

Fed Ignores Data It Claims to Depend On - Ep 1006

Fed Ignores Data It Claims to Depend On - Ep 1006

Fed pauses rate cuts; market reactions, language tweaks on inflation, Trump's demand for rate cut, and crypto discussion.Download the CFO’s Guide to AI and Machine Learning at https://netsuite.com/goldPeter Schiff discusses the Federal Reserve's decision to pause rate cuts and its implications for the economy. He scrutinizes changes in the Fed's language on inflation and the market's reactions. Peter questions Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's comments and the Fed's accountability on inflation. He addresses President Trump's demands regarding rate cuts tied to oil prices, criticizes the Fed's stance on tariffs and policy impact, and highlights concerning economic data such as the merchandise trade deficit. Peter explores the historical context of tariffs, their impact on economic growth, and the potential consequences of current trade policies. He closes by emphasizing the persistent issues with the Fed's monetary policy and the inflationary pressures facing the economy.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Fed Reserve's Rate Pause Announcement01:59 Market Reactions and Powell's Clarifications05:20 Trump's Influence and Fed's Response07:37 Fed's Stance on Tariffs and Policy Impact11:16 Monetary Policy and Inflation Concerns15:39 Powell's Q&A Session Highlights23:38 Crypto and Banking Regulations28:45 Bitcoin and Wealth Effect30:42 Economic Data and Trade Deficit33:58 Impact of Tariffs on Economy42:18 Historical Perspective on Tariffs54:20 Conclusion and Market UpdatesFederalReserve #InterestRates #StockMarketOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

30 Tammi 52min

The Consensus Trades Are About to Unravel - Ep 1005

The Consensus Trades Are About to Unravel - Ep 1005

U.S. markets rise amid AI investments. Dollar drops, gold hits highs. Trump critiques, $500B AI boost, Japan's inflation, Fed's rate policies.📣 SelectQuote: Get the right life insurance for you, for less, at https://selectquote.com/schiff.📣 Fitbod: Get 25% off your subscription or try the app FREE for seven days at https://fitbod.me/gold.Peter Schiff examines the first trading week under President Trump's second term, noting market performance, a joint venture announcement in the tech industry, and a significant decline in the dollar index. He delves into the implications of a $500 billion AI investment, arguing it may strain short-term economic resources. Peter also highlights rising trends in gold and silver prices, advising investment in silver as a potential 'steal.' He provides his perspective on the structural weaknesses in the U.S. economy, emphasizing unsustainable debt levels and imbalances in the global market. Schiff predicts higher future interest rates and critiques Trump’s economic policies, including his stance on tariffs and defense spending. He further discusses the implications of Japan's recent interest rate hike, the unsustainable U.S. trade deficit, and the potential long-term impact of inflated stock market valuations. Schiff concludes with a critical look at Trump's approach to crypto assets and his overall economic strategy.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Introduction and Market Overview01:56 AI Investment and Economic Impact04:49 Gold and Silver Market Analysis11:27 US Stock Market Bubble19:14 Japan's Economic Shift27:02 Trump's Economic Policies and Inflation33:02 Debunking Trump's Trade Deal Claims33:50 The Reality of Tariffs and Negotiation Tactics35:19 Economic Indicators: Bankruptcies and Credit Card Debt38:23 Trump's Misunderstanding of Interest Rates39:58 Oil Prices and Production Dilemmas42:54 Trump's Crypto Strategy: A Political Play48:59 The Illusion of a Productive Economy50:16 The Real Trade Relationship with China53:10 Military Spending and Economic Consequences01:00:37 Conclusion and Investment AdviceEconomicOutlook #AIInvestment #GoldMarketAnalysisOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

25 Tammi 59min

Will Trump Be a Meme President? - Ep 1004

Will Trump Be a Meme President? - Ep 1004

Trump's return to office, Biden's preemptive pardons, Trump and Melania meme coins controversy, tech industry investment, drug policy critique, and economic analysis.Sign up for a $1/month trial period at https://shopify.com/goldStart your free online visit today at https://hims.com/goldPeter Schiff provides an in-depth analysis of Donald Trump's return to the Oval Office as the 47th President of the United States. He critiques former President Joe Biden's recent preemptive pardons, which included pardons for his family and members of Congress connected to the January 6th committee, citing it as an abuse of the pardon system. Schiff discusses potential investigations into these pardoned individuals and examines the implications for the Trump presidency, including Trump's recent meme coin launch, executive orders, and immediate actions. He also addresses the broader impact of these political shifts on economic policies, touching on topics like tariffs, federal hiring freezes, and the supposed 'new golden age' of America.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Trump's Return to the Oval Office01:46 Controversial Preemptive Pardons06:39 Trump's Meme Coin Controversy18:06 Trump's Tech Industry Ventures22:12 Trump's Economic Policies and Executive Orders29:52 State and Local Government Hiring31:59 Trump's Executive Orders34:03 The War on Drugs45:11 Tariffs and Economic Policies57:33 Podcast Conclusion#DonaldTrump #ExecutiveOrders #USPoliticsOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

22 Tammi 55min

Wall Street Celebrates Low Inflation as Prices Soar - Ep 1003

Wall Street Celebrates Low Inflation as Prices Soar - Ep 1003

** Audio Fixed at 10:00 ** Biden’s farewell, Trump’s policies, market rally, inflation, commodity prices, and economic predictions.Get an extra 4 months free. https://expressvpn.com/goldGet 25% off your subscription or try the app FREE for seven days at https://fitbod.me/goldPeter Schiff returns to his studio in Puerto Rico to cover a range of topics in this podcast. He reacts to Joe Biden's farewell address, discussing the ceasefire between Israel and Hamas and Biden's tenure. Schiff criticizes Biden's long career in government and questions the veracity of his accomplishments. The podcast also delves into recent market reactions to economic news, analyzing inflation reports, job statistics, and commodity price trends. Schiff highlights the challenges facing the U.S. economy under Trump's new term and stresses the importance of investing in gold and foreign stocks as a hedge against impending economic instability.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Back in the Studio: Winter Break is Over01:27 Biden's Farewell Address: Key Takeaways02:37 Critique of Biden's Presidency05:24 The Importance of Term Limits12:03 Inflation and Market Reactions14:05 Market Rally and Inflation Report Analysis22:33 Global Inflation Trends and Commodity Prices28:52 Investment Opportunities in Gold and Mining Stocks33:02 Empire State Manufacturing Index Plummets33:26 Stagflation and Trump's Economic Inheritance33:44 Producer Prices and Inflation Concerns35:05 Fed's Policy and Fiscal Stimulus Critique36:15 Jobs Report and Employment Quality39:07 Janet Yellen's Comments on Deficit Spending42:59 Trump's Tariff Plans and Economic Misconceptions51:00 California Wildfires: Economic Consequences59:49 Podcast Conclusion and Future Content#BidenFarewellAddress #inflation2025 #CaliforniaWildfiresOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

16 Tammi 58min

Soaring Commodity Prices Refute Inflation Forecasts - Ep 1002

Soaring Commodity Prices Refute Inflation Forecasts - Ep 1002

Discussing Trump's proposal to annex Canada, trade deficits, Biden's inflation handling, higher commodity prices, and challenges with U.S. economic policies.Download the CFO’s Guide to AI and Machine Learning at https://netsuite.com/goldIn this episode, Peter Schiff addresses the series of statements by Donald Trump regarding potential U.S. annexation of Canada and critiques the adverse impacts of Trump's and Biden's economic policies. Schiff delves into the U.S. trade deficit with Canada and Europe and the underlying economic inefficiencies that necessitate importing goods from these regions. Discussing the recent inflation surge and commodity prices hitting a 14-year high, he analyzes the Federal Reserve's missteps leading to rising consumer prices and the impact of U.S. debt, which has ballooned under successive presidencies. Schiff also covers government spending's role in driving inflation higher and touches on politically charged topics like steel production and trade sanctions. He emphasizes the ongoing structural imbalances, the role of government borrowing, and anticipates future impacts on the economy, urging a focus on precious metals and critical commodities for stability in turbulent times.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Introduction and Canadian Politics02:07 Trump's Trade Deficit Claims04:10 Inflation and Economic Policies07:08 Commodity Prices Surge09:48 Interest Rates and Government Spending19:50 Technical Difficulties and Podcast Continuation21:41 National Debt and Future Predictions26:27 Economic Reality Check: Higher Rates and Recession26:55 Inflation Misconceptions and Market Mispricing27:25 Trump's Interest Rate Dilemma28:17 Commemorating 50 Years of Legal Gold Ownership30:18 Gold and Silver Investment Opportunities31:15 Currency Market Reactions and Tariff Talks33:50 Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac: The Trump Trade41:07 The Steel Industry and Economic Decline45:52 The Future of the U.S. Economy and Inflation50:55 Conclusion and Podcast Updates#Trump #Mexico #CanadaOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

8 Tammi 45min

Will 2025 Be the Year the Bubbles Finally Burst? - Ep 1001

Will 2025 Be the Year the Bubbles Finally Burst? - Ep 1001

Stock markets, gold's stability, inflation, and economic predictions.Cut your wireless bill to $15/month at https://mintmobile.com/gold. $45 upfront payment required. For new customers on the first 3 month plan only.Sign up for a $1/month trial period at https://shopify.com/goldIn his latest podcast episode, Peter Schiff discusses significant movements within the economy, reacting to recent news in the market and politics. He begins by reflecting on his previous milestone podcast and wishes his listeners holiday greetings. Schiff provides in-depth analysis on the latest market trends, including the Dow's performance, the fluctuating gold and bond markets, and the Japanese government's bond yields. He critiques government spending policies, the inflationary impacts of rate cuts, and predicts a continuous rise in long-term treasury yields. Schiff also highlights the implications of a potential global financial shift, the impact of tariffs on the U.S. economy, and the rising U.S. deficit. He concludes by warning of a looming economic crisis and the potential consequences for the U.S. dollar and global markets, while emphasizing the significance of investing wisely in these volatile times.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff00:00 Introduction and Holiday Greetings03:02 Market Overview and Stock Performance04:18 Gold and Bond Market Analysis07:05 Global Economic Trends and Predictions11:25 US Debt and Political Commentary15:43 Social Security Fairness Act21:20 Trade Deficit and Economic Concerns29:41 Bitcoin Reserve and USA Coin Proposal32:30 Bitcoin Bubble and Economic Distortions35:56 Economic Data and Market Reactions41:50 Oil Prices and Inflation Dynamics46:39 Fed's Dilemma: Inflation vs. Recession54:36 Conclusion and Future Plans#inflation #cryptocurrency #stockmarketOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

28 Joulu 202453min

The Great Rate Cut Rug Pull  - Ep 1000

The Great Rate Cut Rug Pull - Ep 1000

Jerome Powell's rate cut, market drops, economic risks, inflation, and the future of the economy.Download the CFO’s Guide to AI and Machine Learning at https://netsuite.com/goldFor 20% off your Momentous order, head to https://livemomentous.com and use code GOLD.Laughing Cats https://open.spotify.com/artist/2f3z6IPGfomCl9FsJeyb8dIn this milestone 1000th episode of the Peter Schiff Show Podcast, Peter broadcasts from an unconventional setup due to technical issues, as he covers a dramatic day in the markets. Jerome Powell's Federal Reserve announces a 25 basis points interest rate cut to meet market expectations, but the stock market reacts negatively with significant losses. Peter discusses the historic losing streak in the Dow, investor optimism around speculative assets, and the financial risks posed by an expensive market amidst rising inflation and interest rates. He critiques Jerome Powell’s perception of a strong U.S. economy and labor market, highlighting negative data revisions and continuing economic vulnerabilities. Peter also addresses the implications of rising U.S. deficits, government spending, and a surging dollar on global inflation. He predicts further turbulence for the housing and financial markets, the potential for a bear market, and the likelihood of resumed Fed easing measures. Schiff concludes with insights on gold and silver investments, market disconnects, and political dynamics impacting economic policies.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff00:00 Introduction and Sponsorships01:31 Market Overview02:35 Federal Reserve's Interest Rate Cut03:00 Market Reactions and Historical Context05:40 Gold and Stock Market Analysis15:56 Commercial Break17:23 Economic Indicators and Current Account Deficit22:24 Global Economic Impact and Predictions34:43 Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency Update35:02 Bitcoin's Decline and MicroStrategy's Moves35:47 Congress and Social Security Spending36:32 Trump's Stance on Bitcoin38:31 Economic Indicators and Manufacturing Data39:28 Retail Sales and Consumer Debt40:46 Fed's Monetary Policy and Market Reactions43:41 Industrial Production and Economic Weakness45:17 Fed's Press Conference and Rate Cuts48:31 Future Economic Predictions and Market Strategies01:00:11 Closing Remarks and Personal Updates#FederalReserve #InterestRates #StockMarketAnalysisOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

19 Joulu 202459min

Exploding Debt to Reignite Inflation - Ep 999

Exploding Debt to Reignite Inflation - Ep 999

Peter Schiff discusses rising inflation, U.S. fiscal deficit, and accuses J5 of conspiring against his bank for a publicity stunt.Go to https://lucy.co/gold and use promo code GOLD to get 20% off your first orderPeter Schiff dives deep into the latest economic news, uncovering alarming inflation reports, the soaring U.S. budget deficit, and misguided fiscal responses. He critically analyzes political and media narratives about the U.S. economy, especially those surrounding recent elections and economic policies under both Trump and Biden administrations. Schiff reveals bombshell evidence of IRS and J5 collusion in the shutdown of his offshore bank, dissecting the motivations and consequences of such government overreach. He provides insights into the global economic impact, the future of inflation, and offers advice on safeguarding financial assets. As always, Peter's perspective is a stark contrast to mainstream economic discourse, shedding light on often overlooked truths.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters00:00 Introduction and Opening Statements00:53 Sponsorship Message: Lucy01:20 Market and Inflation Overview01:59 Fiscal Deficit Concerns08:35 Inflation Data Analysis13:44 Gold and Inflation Paradox23:21 Trump's Economic Policies and Critique29:56 Predicting Political Shifts and Economic Trends30:38 Debunking Inflation Myths32:35 The Impact of Tariffs and Historical Parallels37:38 Revealing the IRS Conspiracy39:55 Smoking Gun Evidence and Legal Battles47:26 The Aftermath and Media Manipulation01:02:23 Final Thoughts and Call to ActionOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

14 Joulu 20241h 1min

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