Bubbles Popping On Wall Street This New Year’s Eve  – Ep. 127

Bubbles Popping On Wall Street This New Year’s Eve – Ep. 127


* Let me begin my final podcast of 2015 by wishing all of my listeners a Happy New Year
* It certainly wasn't a happy New Year's Eve Day on Wall Street
* Normally the last day of the year is a positive one; you normally have a Santa Clause rally and it continues on to New Year's Eve
* That wasn't the case today. The Dow Jones finished its first down year since 2008 - down 178 points
* The S&P also negative on the year, the NASDAQ managed to gain about 5% or so
* I'm hearing a lot of people blaming the weakness on oil prices
* The transports were the weakest index of the year, I think they were down about 17% and this index stood to gain the most from low oil prices
* So clearly, if transports are the weakest index, the overall weakness can't be solely because of oil prices
* It has to be another reason, and I think it has to be the economy
* Oil is being affected by weakness in the economy
* Another interesting observation about today's selloff - the market not only closed on the lows, but made its lows on the close
* We've been seeing this volatility - all of this selling into the close says that something big is going on here
* You get more professionals selling when you sell market on close, and I think this is what is going on here
* People are bracing for a very weak 2016
* The Fed had interest rates for all of 2015 - it didn't raise rates until the waning weeks of the year
* Imagine how the Dow will contend with the threat of rising interest rates as 2016 continues
* But the other problem for 2016 is the economy and we got more evidence of an extremely weak economy
* I mentioned before the the Atlanta Fed GDP Now has Q4 GDP estimate down to 1.3
* Based on the numbers we got today, they are going to ratcheting those estimates down again
* First, we got the weekly unemployment numbers, which have been low for a long time - We got the biggest unemployment claims numbers in one week in 10 months
* The 4-week moving average is also the highest it has been in 5 months
* Remember, when Yellen raised interest rates, the basis for the decision was supposed to be the strength in the labor market
* No sooner did the Fed raise rates based on the labor market, but now the labor market is rolling over.
* Unemployment is a lagging indicator
* What is more indicative of what is coming, is the Chicago PMI number which came out a little later in the morning, which was abysmal
* One of the worst economic reports of the entire year
* Last month, we got 48.7, which was below expectation
* They were looking for a December bounceback to 50
* Instead, the index crashed down to 42.9
* This is the lowest number since 2009
* Order backlogs has been down for 11 months in a row, and this is the worst performance since 1951
* The only time we've been at this level is during a recession
* It is possible that we are in a recession
* It is possible that they will originally report Q4 GDP as positive and then go back later in the year and revise the data to show we were in a recession
* That's what they did with the Great Recession
* Another reason I believe the economy is weaker than the numbers suggest is because the inflation rate is being under-reported
* If the inflation rate is higher than the GDP deflator, then obviously we are in a contraction during most of this recovery
* I am looking at what is happening in the economy not in what the government says about the economy
* As bad as the numbers were, it did not promote any reaction in the the markets
* My guess is that if we had had a big drop in unemployment claims or a really good PMI number the dollar would have spiked up and gold would have sold off, Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Jaksot(1086)

Media Spins Horrible Holiday Sales as Reflecting Economic Strength: Ep. 28

Media Spins Horrible Holiday Sales as Reflecting Economic Strength: Ep. 28

Media Spins Horrible Holiday Sales as Reflecting Economic Strength: Ep. 28 * This holiday shoppers had more shopping hours * 5% less traffic than last year * 11% less money spent than last year * The economy can't support robust holiday sales * Despite big drop in gas prices * Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

1 Joulu 201424min

Black and Blue Friday for Oil Producers and Gold Miners: Episode 27

Black and Blue Friday for Oil Producers and Gold Miners: Episode 27

Black and Blue Friday for Oil Producers and Gold Miners: Episode 27 * Oil and gold stocks down * OPEC announced no decline in oil production * Crude trading below $66/barrel * Bump to the Dollar * Mining sector takes a hit * Gold down * A no vote on Swiss Gold initiative bullish for gold Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

30 Marras 201435min

Despite Higher GDP, U.S. Economic Data Continues to Disappoint: Episode 26

Despite Higher GDP, U.S. Economic Data Continues to Disappoint: Episode 26

Despite Higher GDP, U.S. Economic Data Continues to Disappoint: Episode 26 Missing expectations on all economic indicators * Chicago Fed index .14 * PMI flash services 56.3 * Dallas Fed Manufacturing 10.5 * Case Shiller Index slows down to 4.9% * Consumer Confidence number down to 88.7M * Oil prices continue to fall * Big drop in Richmond Fed 75% below estimate * Optimism fueled by debt, consumption and bubbles Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

26 Marras 201428min

The Real Outrage in Ferguson is the Reaction Not the Verdict

The Real Outrage in Ferguson is the Reaction Not the Verdict

The Real Outrage in Ferguson is the Reaction Not the Verdict: Episode 25A * Riots are not the caused by the Grand Jury * The Grand Jury's statement did not address Michael Brown's culpability * All evidence points to officer's innocence * Media fears addressing Michael Brown's violent behavior * Young men are not raised to respect the law * This will happen again because there is no recourse to violence and false witness< Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

25 Marras 201417min

Paul Krugman Runs Premature Victory Lap: Episode 24A

Paul Krugman Runs Premature Victory Lap: Episode 24A

Paul Krugman runs premature victory lap: Episode 24A * Assumes that money-printing works because there is "no inflation" * Krugman's cure for the stock market bubble was the real estate bubble * The test is when the printing presses stop Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

25 Marras 201417min

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 24

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 24

Big News out of the Central Banks * U.S. FOMC * Primary concern - inflation is too low * no policy to "correct" the problem * Preparing markets for additional stimulus * Japanese Central Bank Doublespeak * Japanese sales tax hike postponed * Continued calls for more inflation * Why is sales tax is different than inflation? * Euro Decline * Mandating "stability" by increasing inflation? * Chinese Central Bank * Cut interest rate to 5.6% * Money flows to the dollar as a hedge because the market believes the Fed * Gold has not dropped much against the dollar and has risen against other currencies Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

22 Marras 201431min

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 23

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 23

Episode 23: Going to Extreme to Prove a Point: Two articles about Peter Schiff: * MarketWatch - writer refused to address corrections before going to print except for my official title - The point of my forecasts is to help people avoid problems ahead of time - I did not call for a stock market crash; I predicted QE4 - The Fed can prevent a Dollar Crisis - I said hyperinflation is unlikely, but a possibility * New Republic - Writer quotes selectively from a Reason article to prove his own spin - Points to the CPI to refute real inflation - The price of a Big Mac mirrored the CPI until 2002 - Now price of Big Mac rises 2x as fast as CPI - This illustrates how the government measures inflation Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

21 Marras 201427min

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 22

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 22

Episode 22: Lessons from the Michael Brown Case: * Don't rob a convenience store. * Don't rob a convenience store while high. * Don't be conspicuous after robbing a convenience store while high. * If a policeman then stops you, obey the policeman. * Do not try to take the policeman's gun away from him. * But if you get shot in the hand going for the gun and run away, do not charge the policeman when he says, "freeze!" * The political narrative hides the real problem: unhealthy family life. Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

20 Marras 201421min

Suosittua kategoriassa Liike-elämä ja talous

sijotuskasti
psykopodiaa-podcast
rss-rahapodi
mimmit-sijoittaa
ostan-asuntoja-podcast
rss-lahtijat
oppimisen-psykologia
rss-sisalto-kuntoon
rss-neuvottelija-sami-miettinen
rss-laakispodi
pomojen-suusta
lakicast
asuntoasiaa-paivakirjat
rss-uskalla-yrittaa
rss-sensuroimaton-kukkonen-kausi-3
rss-bisnesta-bebeja
rss-lentopaivakirjat
rss-juurisyy-johtamisesta-kilpailuetua
rss-seuraava-potilas
rss-paasipodi