Ep. 165: Markets In Denial About Jobs As Trump Lets Truth Slip About Debt

Ep. 165: Markets In Denial About Jobs As Trump Lets Truth Slip About Debt


* Today we got the government's Non-Farm Payroll report, otherwise known as the Jobs Report, for the month of April and pretty much all the mainstream Wall Street guys were looking for another strong report
* In fact, earlier in the week Goldman Sachs was out saying that the 200,000 consensus estimate was too low!
* The optimism was unfazed by the much weaker than expected ADP report I spoke about on my last podcast on Wednesday, which came in much lighter than expected
* So, people didn't care, they said, "That's a one-off event, we're still looking for a good number, and we got a weak report
* Instead of 200,000 jobs we only got 160,000 jobs
* And they actually revised down the last couple of months
* But let's get into some of the details, because it gets worse, the further beneath the surface you look
* The unemployment rate held steady at 5%; they were expecting it to notch down to 4.9% - that did not happen
* Private payrolls also much lighter than expected; they were looking for 195,000; they got 171,000 and they revised down last month's from 195K to 184K
* They did get the .3% increase in average hourly earnings, but they forgot to point out that they revised month's .3% increase down to .2% so you can chalk that one up as a miss, despite the fact that nobody was talking about it
* The bigger miss was in the Labor Force Participation Rate
* Last month it was 63%, which was a move up, but in April it came back down to 62.8%
* 562,000 people left the labor force during the month of April
* A massive exodus led by young people
* A breakdown in the Household Survey for ages 20-24 reported 155,000 job losses in April
* For ages 25 - 54 - 284,000 jobs losses
* For ages over the age of 55 - this is the highest it has ever been
* Janet Yellen still wants to pretend that the reason the Labor Force Participation Rate is declining is because the Baby Boom is retiring - how much longer is she going to get away with that lie?
* The Baby Boom is too broke to retire
* The people leaving the workforce are young people in their 20's and 30's
* A breakdown of job gains by sector shows the biggest sector is professional business and temporary services - 56,000 gains
* Healthcare and education was high, and leisure and hospitality came in third
* Manufacturing barely gained any jobs after a huge loss the prior month
* Wholesale trade barely gained any
* Construction, after a big jump last month - only 1,000 jobs
* Retail trade lost 3,000 jobs
* Mining and logging continues to lose jobs
* On a good note, government actually lost jobs
* That's a good thing - we don't need so many people working for government - they're not productive
* Rick Santelli made a very good point today on CNBC, talking about all the jobs created at the TSA
* We're not better off with those jobs - they decrease our productivity
* As I mentioned on my last podcast, we've now had 2 consecutive quarters of losses in productivity
* Despite this bad jobs report, the market shrugged it off
* The stock market rallied because bad news is good news - the odds of a Fed rate hike are now the lowest they've ever been
* If you look at the Foreign Exchange markets, the dollar was broadly higher today
* It was up big against the Australian dollar because the Reserve Bank of Australia lowered their inflation forecast
* They lowered it from 2-3% to 1-2%
* You would think that's good news, because it means the cost of living will rise only 1-2%
* Back in the day, news of low inflation sent a currency higher, because it was not losing purchasing power
* The news sent the Australian dollar tumbling because the market now expects the Australian Reserve will have to c... Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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Rittenhouse Innocent, Government Guilty on All Accounts – Ep 752

Rittenhouse Innocent, Government Guilty on All Accounts – Ep 752

* Socialists are the only ones who believe Biden’s bill will Build Back Better. * Democrats accidentally admit that inflation is caused by expanding deficit and money printing. * The rich don’t have to cheat on their taxes like the middle class does. * Government wants to give all workers a 4 week paid vacation every year. * Government attack on civil liberties has crypto crowd concerned. * Kyle Rittenhouse innocent on all accounts. Thanks https://avast.com! Thanks https://truebill.com/gold. it could save you hundreds a year. INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

20 Marras 20211h 1min

Government Recycles 1970s Inflation Propaganda – Ep 751

Government Recycles 1970s Inflation Propaganda – Ep 751

* Janet Yellen lies to the nation. * The Fed doesn’t want to let the peoples’ cost of living decrease. * 2% inflation isn’t a target; it’s a floor. * Retail investors move from bubble to bubble without learning any lessons. * Sell your Bitcoin before Logan Paul’s audience does. Free $75 credit to upgrade your post at https://indeed.com/peter. Terms and conditions apply. Offer valid through December 31, 2021. Thanks Ladder Life Insurance. Go to https://ladderlife.com/gold today to see if you’re instantly approved. INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

17 Marras 202158min

Fed’s Credibility Is Transitory, Not Inflation – Ep 750

Fed’s Credibility Is Transitory, Not Inflation – Ep 750

* CPI data heavily contradicts Fed’s transitory inflation narrative. * Reagan was more popular during a recession than Biden is during this “booming” economy. * The government has too much money on the line not to lie about inflation. * Media’s bias taints their inflation reporting. * Federal Reserve can print money, but they can’t print stuff. * Biden’s Build Back Better plan would have even Keynes rolling in his grave. * Biden considers releasing US strategic oil reserves to China. * Consumer sentiment plunges. * Gold price surges. * Fed won’t try to fight inflation because it will reveal their weak position. * Fed’s policy: Speak loudly when you have no stick. * Falling dollar will be the next domino to fall. * Record number of Americans tell their employer to take job and shove it. * Bitcoin whales conning institutions and bribing politicians. One-of-a-kind financing program at https://netsuite.com/gold Thanks https://avast.com! INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

13 Marras 20211h 15min

Consumers on the Hook for Rising Producer Prices – Ep 749

Consumers on the Hook for Rising Producer Prices – Ep 749

* Supply shortages exacerbated by consumers reading the inflation writing on the wall. * Gas prices at the pump close to all time record highs in most of the country. * Dollar is being propped up by taper. * The crypto market has flipped the gold market. * Joe Biden looks to replace Jerome Powell with Lael Brainard. * Is Elon Musk sending a message to the government, or is he trying to sneak out of his overpriced Tesla stock? * Government should be financed through consumption, not income. Thanks Raycon!. For a limited time, go to https://buyraycon.com/gold for up to 20% off your entire Raycon order. Free $75 credit to upgrade your post at https://indeed.com/peter. Terms and conditions apply. Offer valid through December 31, 2021. INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

10 Marras 20211h 7min

Gold’s Surprise Rally Shows Sellers Are Exhausted – Ep 748

Gold’s Surprise Rally Shows Sellers Are Exhausted – Ep 748

* Press knows Biden doesn’t have the aptitude to even answer softball questions. * Record high stock market eyes blue skies ahead. * As Peloton bikes become overpriced clothes racks, Peloton stock becomes dirty laundry. * Gold may end up being the pin that pricks the Bitcoin bubble. * The IRS tricked the middle class. Get your new wireless plan for just $15 a month. https://mintmobile.com/gold Thanks Mack Weldon. For 20% off your first order, visit https://mackweldon.com/gold with promo code GOLD INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

6 Marras 20211h 3min

Fed Finally Launches the Taper, Now What? – Ep 747

Fed Finally Launches the Taper, Now What? – Ep 747

* Markets blessed Fed’s decision to begin tapering. * Jerome Powell says economy is healthy, but requires monetary policy of an economy in crisis. * Full employment is subjective and rarely achieved. * Powellnomics: It’s inappropriate to have interest rates above 0% in an economy that’s not at 100% employment. * Fed knows the economy is hanging by a threads, and that thread is 0% interest rates. * It doesn’t matter who the President of the United States is. What matters is who runs the Federal Reserve. * Dollar falling may be investors buying the rumor and selling the news. * No bad news in sight for gold, and no good news in sight for the dollar. * Don’t pick up pennies in front of steam rollers. * Zillow’s moronic house flipping business model caves. * Don’t confuse brains for a bull market or a bubble. * Taper is fully priced into gold and silver market. * Don’t jump onto a moving train; get on it before it leaves the station. Go to https://bambee.com/gold to schedule your FREE HR audit. Get an extra 3 months. https://expressvpn.com/gold INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

4 Marras 202155min

Shiba Inu Highlights Bitcoin’s Lack of Scarcity – Ep 746

Shiba Inu Highlights Bitcoin’s Lack of Scarcity – Ep 746

* Nasdaq and S&P finish the week strong. * Robinhood closes the week near its all time low. * Newmont leads gold mining stocks lower. * Gold mines don’t lose missed earnings, they postpone them. * Crypto ships will rise and sink on the same tide of fear and greed. * Inflation is driving up labor costs. * Hypocrisy is the one thing all politicians have in common. Thanks https://avast.com! Thanks https://truebill.com/gold. It could save you hundreds a year. INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

30 Loka 202156min

Markets Can’t Ignore Exploding Trade Deficits Forever – Ep 745

Markets Can’t Ignore Exploding Trade Deficits Forever – Ep 745

* US dollar would tank if traders understood implications of economic data. * Trade deficit continues to break records month after month. * Strong economies have trade surpluses; we have a bubble economy. * We’re only consuming and importing because we’re printing a currency the world still values. * Massive trade deficits aren’t a problem until they’re a crisis. * Government pretends rights are privileges so it can tax them. * Moral hazard and rampant fraud will ramp up childcare costs under new Biden plan. One-of-a-kind financing program at https://netsuite.com/gold INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

29 Loka 202144min

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