Ep. 165: Markets In Denial About Jobs As Trump Lets Truth Slip About Debt

Ep. 165: Markets In Denial About Jobs As Trump Lets Truth Slip About Debt


* Today we got the government's Non-Farm Payroll report, otherwise known as the Jobs Report, for the month of April and pretty much all the mainstream Wall Street guys were looking for another strong report
* In fact, earlier in the week Goldman Sachs was out saying that the 200,000 consensus estimate was too low!
* The optimism was unfazed by the much weaker than expected ADP report I spoke about on my last podcast on Wednesday, which came in much lighter than expected
* So, people didn't care, they said, "That's a one-off event, we're still looking for a good number, and we got a weak report
* Instead of 200,000 jobs we only got 160,000 jobs
* And they actually revised down the last couple of months
* But let's get into some of the details, because it gets worse, the further beneath the surface you look
* The unemployment rate held steady at 5%; they were expecting it to notch down to 4.9% - that did not happen
* Private payrolls also much lighter than expected; they were looking for 195,000; they got 171,000 and they revised down last month's from 195K to 184K
* They did get the .3% increase in average hourly earnings, but they forgot to point out that they revised month's .3% increase down to .2% so you can chalk that one up as a miss, despite the fact that nobody was talking about it
* The bigger miss was in the Labor Force Participation Rate
* Last month it was 63%, which was a move up, but in April it came back down to 62.8%
* 562,000 people left the labor force during the month of April
* A massive exodus led by young people
* A breakdown in the Household Survey for ages 20-24 reported 155,000 job losses in April
* For ages 25 - 54 - 284,000 jobs losses
* For ages over the age of 55 - this is the highest it has ever been
* Janet Yellen still wants to pretend that the reason the Labor Force Participation Rate is declining is because the Baby Boom is retiring - how much longer is she going to get away with that lie?
* The Baby Boom is too broke to retire
* The people leaving the workforce are young people in their 20's and 30's
* A breakdown of job gains by sector shows the biggest sector is professional business and temporary services - 56,000 gains
* Healthcare and education was high, and leisure and hospitality came in third
* Manufacturing barely gained any jobs after a huge loss the prior month
* Wholesale trade barely gained any
* Construction, after a big jump last month - only 1,000 jobs
* Retail trade lost 3,000 jobs
* Mining and logging continues to lose jobs
* On a good note, government actually lost jobs
* That's a good thing - we don't need so many people working for government - they're not productive
* Rick Santelli made a very good point today on CNBC, talking about all the jobs created at the TSA
* We're not better off with those jobs - they decrease our productivity
* As I mentioned on my last podcast, we've now had 2 consecutive quarters of losses in productivity
* Despite this bad jobs report, the market shrugged it off
* The stock market rallied because bad news is good news - the odds of a Fed rate hike are now the lowest they've ever been
* If you look at the Foreign Exchange markets, the dollar was broadly higher today
* It was up big against the Australian dollar because the Reserve Bank of Australia lowered their inflation forecast
* They lowered it from 2-3% to 1-2%
* You would think that's good news, because it means the cost of living will rise only 1-2%
* Back in the day, news of low inflation sent a currency higher, because it was not losing purchasing power
* The news sent the Australian dollar tumbling because the market now expects the Australian Reserve will have to c... Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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Soaring CPI Shocks Clueless Investors and Economists – Ep 690

Soaring CPI Shocks Clueless Investors and Economists – Ep 690

* CPI numbers shock expectations. * Biggest monthly gain in CPI since 1981. * Gasoline supply chain disrupted by ransomware hack. * Price gouging alleviates shortages. * Unemployed workers shouldn’t be picky. * Disincentivizing people from jobs is not good for the economy. * Dogecoiners buy the rumor and sell the fact on Elon Musk SNL appearance. * Accolades have gone to Cathie Woods’ head. * ARKK will likely make a new 52 week low this year. * CNBC continues to ignore emerging markets, value stocks, and gold. * ]The people saying sub-prime was contained in 2008 are the same people saying inflation is transitory now. Thanks Raycon!. Go To https://buyraycon.com/gold for 15% off your entire Raycon order. RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

12 Touko 202154min

Jobs Not Required to Spend Printed Money – Ep 689

Jobs Not Required to Spend Printed Money – Ep 689

* Huge misses in jobs numbers. * Biden’s Blue-Collar Blueprint to build back better will be another big bureaucratic blunder. * Jobs report is more evidence the Fed’s policies aren’t working. * Weaker labor market means stronger inflation. * Dollar decline will accelerate. * Strong week for gold and silver with more strength ahead. * Investors continue their move from growth to value stocks. * Bitcoin maximalists in glass houses throwing stones at Dogecoin. * Elon Musk may create a market top in Dogecoin after his SNL appearance. * Jeff Gundlach is a fan of The Peter Schiff Show. Listen to the latest season of Business Wars (Vaccine Wars) on Apple Podcasts, Amazon Music, or listen early and ad-free by joining Wondery Plus in the Wondery app. RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

8 Touko 20211h 1min

The Fed Can’t Be Honest About Inflation – Ep 688

The Fed Can’t Be Honest About Inflation – Ep 688

* Inflation concerns increase along with commodity prices. * Trade deficit will fuel inflationary spiral. * Government reclassifying our rights as privileges so they can take them away. * Supreme Court sets precedent for the federal government to start seizing property. * Americans need property rights, not property privileges. Get an extra 3 months Free on a one year package. https://Expressvpn.com/gold RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

5 Touko 202150min

Fed Helps Biden Cheat to Avoid Economic “F” – Ep 687

Fed Helps Biden Cheat to Avoid Economic “F” – Ep 687

* Markets, gold, bonds, oil end April up; US dollar down. * Investors may “sell in May and going away.” * More than one third of US household income is now coming from the government. Thanks Clear. For a limited time, get your first two months of Clear for free by going to https://Clearme.com/GOLD2 and use the promo code GOLD2 RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

1 Touko 202136min

Biden and Powell Do America – Ep 686

Biden and Powell Do America – Ep 686

* New record high in S&P and Nasdaq. * New record high in monthly trade deficit. * New record high in shipping containers falling off ships into the ocean. * Powell not worried about increases in the cost of living. * The middle class created labor unions and then, like Frankenstein’s monster, the unions turned on their creator. * Biden’s plan to make healthcare more affordable will backfire and make it more expensive. * American Families Bill will set a new record high in fraud. * Government will do to childcare what it’s done to college tuitions. Go to https://Bambee.com/gold to schedule your FREE HR audit. RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

30 Huhti 20211h 3min

Less of What’s Taxed, More of What’s Subsidized – Ep 685

Less of What’s Taxed, More of What’s Subsidized – Ep 685

* Jeff Gundlach sounding a lot like Peter Schiff again. * Biden’s American Families Plan extends entitlements to child care and sick leave. * Covid policies created multiple layers of unemployment fraud * Government wants to pick winners and losers in the economy. * IRS going after business owners with new increased auditing budget. * Presumption of innocence is under attack. Free $75 sponsored job credit at https://Indeed.com/peter. Terms and conditions apply. Offer valid through June 30, 2021. RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/PeterSchiff Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

28 Huhti 202157min

Government Spending Is Taxation – Ep 684

Government Spending Is Taxation – Ep 684

* Stock market indexes break their 4-week winning streak. * Biden tax plan creates bearish environment for stock market. * Technical data for the dollar continues looking weaker. * Conspiracy theories surrounding the Perth Mint are wrong. * Republicans opposing Biden’s tax plan are hypocrites. Thanks to Amazon Pharmacy. Amazon Prime Members can save on prescription medication when not using insurance and get FREE 2-Day delivery! Learn more at https://amazon.com/GOLD RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/PeterSchiff Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

24 Huhti 202155min

The Beginning or the End of the Bitcoin Bear Market? – Ep 683

The Beginning or the End of the Bitcoin Bear Market? – Ep 683

* Coinbase already in a bear market within a week of its IPO. * GBTC selling at a record discount. * Bitcoin dump is underway. * Biden readies massive federal tax increase on capital gains. * Rich gringos are benefiting Puerto Rico. Go to https://Bambee.com/gold to schedule your FREE HR audit. RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/PeterSchiff Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

23 Huhti 20211h 1min

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