Is the Powell Put in Play? Ep. 330
The Peter Schiff Show Podcast15 Helmi 2018

Is the Powell Put in Play? Ep. 330

St. Valentine's Day Rout
I wouldn't really call what happened in the bond market and the U.S. dollar market as a St. Valentine's Day massacre, maybe it was a slaughter; even slaughter was too harsh a word. It was a rout. But this is nothing compared to what is going to come. The daughter is going to get slaughtered a lot more and the bond market is going to get slaughtered a lot more in the days ahead. Maybe not exactly tomorrow, but there will be days ahead that will be much worse than today. This is the tip of a huge iceberg.
Doing the Impossible
Before I get into the tail of the tape today, and all the horrific economic numbers that came out today, I want to take a step back and talk about President Trump's budget, which was released on Monday. Basically, the Republicans succeeded in doing something that you would have thought was impossible. They are making the Democrats look like the fiscally responsible party.
A Farce
First of all, there are some cuts in this budget that are never going to happen. There are a lot of assumptions that are saving money, like they assume a total repeal and replace of ObamaCare, which isn't going to happen. In fact, if it didn't happen when Republicans controlled Congress, how is it going to happen when the Democrats control Congress in 2019? So this is all farcical.
Assumptions...
But one of the biggest farces of the entire budget is the underlying economic assumptions. They're assuming that the very low unemployment rate gets even lower. But, the most farcical of all, is that they assume that the economy grows uninterrupted at an average of 3% for the next 10 years! This so-called expansion is already 9 years old. That makes it the second or third longest expansion in history, and if it continues this year, I think it will be the largest expansion in history. If it continued for another 10 years it would be almost twice as long as the next largest economic expansion in history. What are the odds that that is going to happen? But even if that happens, even if we get 10 years of 3% economic growth (we probably won't even get 1) but let's assume we get 10, even with that, the budget does not balance.
Not Even Pretending the Budget will Balance
This is the first time the Republicans are presenting a budget that, even in 10 years, does not balance. Now, think about this: When they were presenting budgets that had a pretense of balancing in 10 years, and they were way off the mark, can you imagine how much further off they will be now when they are not even pretending the budget is going to balance?
Trillion Dollar Deficits and no QE
In the first couple of years they are forecasting trillion dollar deficits. As I said on the podcast before, the last time we had trillion dollar deficits, the Fed was doing a trillion dollars a year in QE. Right now, the Fed is still posturing that it is not going to do any QE. In fact, it is posturing that it is going to do QT - it is going to shrink its balance sheet.
Big Political Problem for the Republicans
But here is going to be the big political problem: Since the Democrats are now the fiscally responsible party, they will be able to hang these deficits around the necks of the Republican candidates like an Albatross. I know a lot of people are thinking, "Wait a minute, Peter! Obama doubled the deficit & the national debt - there are all kinds of deficits under Obama, so how can the Democrats say that the Republicans are the big spenders and they are the fiscal Conservatives?
Inevitable Keynesian Logic
It is very easy. It is basic Keynes. They are going to say is when Obama ran deficits, they were necessary to get us out of the recession that Bush caused by cutting taxes on the rich, and the corporations. So they were a necessary economic stimulus to get out of the ditch that Bush drove us into. After all, Clinton, a Democrat, Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Jaksot(1085)

Less Loose Will Lower Markets, Not Inflation – Ep 766

Less Loose Will Lower Markets, Not Inflation – Ep 766

* Stock market off to a bad start for first week of trading in 2022. * Fed minutes send bond markets tanking. * Investors spooked out of speculative bets and into commodities. * Inflation pressure building on producers and consumers. * Workers fall further behind as prices increase faster than wages. * Bitcoin chart looking ominous. * El Salvador is underwater on their Bitcoin bet. * Microstrategy balance sheet will soon have a big hole in it soon. * Michael Saylor talks out of both sides of his mouth about US Dollar. * NASA agrees, gold has intrinsic value. Get an extra 3 months. https://expressvpn.com/gold. Thanks Tommy John! Get 20% off your 1st order https://tommyjohn.com/gold. INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

8 Tammi 20221h 8min

The Year of Living Dangerously in Review – Ep 765

The Year of Living Dangerously in Review – Ep 765

Peak speculation in 2021 lead to meme stocks, silly named crypto, NFTs, and all time record highs for: * Issuance of SPACS * Mergers & acquisitions * Corporate buy-backs * IPOs from money losing companies * IPOs from regular companies * Home loans * Trade deficit * Government borrowing in a non-recession year * Bitcoin price Thanks Ladder Life Insurance. Go to https://ladderlife.com/gold today to see if you’re instantly approved. Cut your wireless bill to $15/month at https://mintmobile.com/gold INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

5 Tammi 20221h

2021: A Year of Peak Speculation – Ep 764

2021: A Year of Peak Speculation – Ep 764

* Everyone is talking about inflation. * Fed is re-rigging the CPI again to hide increasing inflation. * Strong economies create surpluses, not deficits. * US is importing more and exporting less. * Prices up on lumber and other commodities. * Bitcoin stole gold’s thunder in 2021. * 2021 was a great year for Bitcoin sellers, but not buyers. Go to https://bambee.com/gold to schedule your FREE HR audit. Thanks Tru Niagen. Save 10% on your first purchase at https://truniagen.com/peter with code PETER INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

31 Joulu 202158min

Peak Inflation Is Nowhere in Sight – Ep 763

Peak Inflation Is Nowhere in Sight – Ep 763

* Santa Claus rally comes early. * Even Fed’s sugarcoated data shows inflation twice has high as their target. * Gold may be turning its $1800 ceiling into a floor. * Bitcoin pumps with risk assets. * Record GBTC discount shows investors are losing interest in Bitcoin. * Inflation will peak when people least expect it. * Elon Musk wrote the biggest tax check to the US government in history. * Elizabeth Warren is a freeloader. Go to https://bambee.com/gold to schedule your FREE HR audit. INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

24 Joulu 20211h 11min

The Era of Low Inflation Was Transitory – Ep 762

The Era of Low Inflation Was Transitory – Ep 762

* Chinese imports have kept a lid on goods prices, but not services. * Dollar will decline when foreign investors no longer want US stocks. * We now have more inflation and less ability to deal with it than in the 1970s. * US may soon trade used American cars for used Chinese bikes. * The US Dollar is still backed by more than Bitcoin is. Thanks https://avast.com! Thanks Mack Weldon. For 20% off your first order, visit https://mackweldon.com/gold with promo code GOLD INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

18 Joulu 202158min

A Dove Can’t Change Its Feathers – Ep 761

A Dove Can’t Change Its Feathers – Ep 761

* Elizabeth Warren blames inflation on greedy business owners. * Producers aren’t price gouging. They’re being gouged. * Fed should stop QE now, not just taper it. * Retail consumers are buying less and paying more. * Congress raises the debt ceiling $2.5 Trillion. * History will judge Jerome Powell before his second term ends. Thanks Ladder Life Insurance. Go to https://ladderlife.com/gold today to see if you’re instantly approved. Free $75 credit to upgrade your post at https://indeed.com/peter. Terms and conditions apply. Offer valid through December 31, 2021. INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

16 Joulu 20211h

Government Rigged the CPI to Understate Inflation – Ep 760

Government Rigged the CPI to Understate Inflation – Ep 760

* October and November see biggest back to back CPI increase of the year. * 2021 inflation was worse than any year in the 1970s. * Rigged CPI adds to government revenue. * Jussie Smollett hangs himself with fake noose story. Go to https://shopify.com/gold for a FREE fourteen-day trial and get full access to Shopify’s entire suite of features. Thanks Theragun. Go to https://therabody.com/peter to try Theragun for THIRTY-DAYS starting at $199. INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

11 Joulu 20211h 9min

Crypto Hearing: Irony, Lies, and Hypocrisy – Ep 759

Crypto Hearing: Irony, Lies, and Hypocrisy – Ep 759

* Bitcoin continues to lose ground to Ethereum. * Maxine Waters leads Congressional hearing on crypto. * FDIC made banking less safe. * Bitcoin competes with 14,000 other cryptocurrencies, but not the US dollar. * Michael Saylor sails off the deep end. * Bitcoin will lead to greater racial divide in wealth. * Discount on Grayscale Bitcoin Trust shows institutions are not rushing into Bitcoin. * Ark Invest launches new Transparency ETF. * Cathie Wood is the epitome of “this time it’s different” * Most people have lost money who have invested in Ark ETFs. Get an extra 3 months. https://expressvpn.com/gold. Thanks https://truebill.com/gold. it could save you hundreds a year. INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

10 Joulu 20211h 2min

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