Is the Powell Put in Play? Ep. 330

Is the Powell Put in Play? Ep. 330

St. Valentine's Day Rout
I wouldn't really call what happened in the bond market and the U.S. dollar market as a St. Valentine's Day massacre, maybe it was a slaughter; even slaughter was too harsh a word. It was a rout. But this is nothing compared to what is going to come. The daughter is going to get slaughtered a lot more and the bond market is going to get slaughtered a lot more in the days ahead. Maybe not exactly tomorrow, but there will be days ahead that will be much worse than today. This is the tip of a huge iceberg.
Doing the Impossible
Before I get into the tail of the tape today, and all the horrific economic numbers that came out today, I want to take a step back and talk about President Trump's budget, which was released on Monday. Basically, the Republicans succeeded in doing something that you would have thought was impossible. They are making the Democrats look like the fiscally responsible party.
A Farce
First of all, there are some cuts in this budget that are never going to happen. There are a lot of assumptions that are saving money, like they assume a total repeal and replace of ObamaCare, which isn't going to happen. In fact, if it didn't happen when Republicans controlled Congress, how is it going to happen when the Democrats control Congress in 2019? So this is all farcical.
Assumptions...
But one of the biggest farces of the entire budget is the underlying economic assumptions. They're assuming that the very low unemployment rate gets even lower. But, the most farcical of all, is that they assume that the economy grows uninterrupted at an average of 3% for the next 10 years! This so-called expansion is already 9 years old. That makes it the second or third longest expansion in history, and if it continues this year, I think it will be the largest expansion in history. If it continued for another 10 years it would be almost twice as long as the next largest economic expansion in history. What are the odds that that is going to happen? But even if that happens, even if we get 10 years of 3% economic growth (we probably won't even get 1) but let's assume we get 10, even with that, the budget does not balance.
Not Even Pretending the Budget will Balance
This is the first time the Republicans are presenting a budget that, even in 10 years, does not balance. Now, think about this: When they were presenting budgets that had a pretense of balancing in 10 years, and they were way off the mark, can you imagine how much further off they will be now when they are not even pretending the budget is going to balance?
Trillion Dollar Deficits and no QE
In the first couple of years they are forecasting trillion dollar deficits. As I said on the podcast before, the last time we had trillion dollar deficits, the Fed was doing a trillion dollars a year in QE. Right now, the Fed is still posturing that it is not going to do any QE. In fact, it is posturing that it is going to do QT - it is going to shrink its balance sheet.
Big Political Problem for the Republicans
But here is going to be the big political problem: Since the Democrats are now the fiscally responsible party, they will be able to hang these deficits around the necks of the Republican candidates like an Albatross. I know a lot of people are thinking, "Wait a minute, Peter! Obama doubled the deficit & the national debt - there are all kinds of deficits under Obama, so how can the Democrats say that the Republicans are the big spenders and they are the fiscal Conservatives?
Inevitable Keynesian Logic
It is very easy. It is basic Keynes. They are going to say is when Obama ran deficits, they were necessary to get us out of the recession that Bush caused by cutting taxes on the rich, and the corporations. So they were a necessary economic stimulus to get out of the ditch that Bush drove us into. After all, Clinton, a Democrat, Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Jaksot(1084)

Data of the Dead - Ep 988

Data of the Dead - Ep 988

Peter Schiff analyzes recent economic data, jobs report, GDP numbers, inflation concerns, and criticizes government policies. He discusses impacts on markets, gold, and cryptocurrency.Support our sponsors:Get 15% off OneSkin with the code GOLD at https://www.oneskin.coGet $20 credit by being one of the first 500 traders. https://kalshi.com/goldNew song "Jerk" by Laughing Cats: https://open.spotify.com/album/6lCPwgHxmdSoPffsPofkXa🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffTimestamps:01:41 Economic Data Overview02:41 GDP and Consumer Spending Analysis03:55 Inflation and Government Spending06:23 Job Cuts and Personal Income12:28 Manufacturing Sector Insights15:09 October Jobs Report Preview15:23 Sponsor Message: OneSkin17:05 Personal Update and Music Promotion19:56 October Jobs Report Analysis26:24 Market Reactions and Predictions29:46 Sponsor Message: Kalshi34:51 MicroStrategy vs. Newmont Mining: A Market Analysis42:23 Bitcoin and Market Sentiment45:24 The Contrarian Investment Approach46:31 The Importance of a Constitutional Republic47:34 The Trump Economic Miracle: Fact or Fiction?50:49 Voting Strategy for Libertarians56:51 Conclusion and Final Thoughts#gold #mstr #bitcoinOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

1 Marras 202453min

U.S. Consumers More Reliant Than Ever on Foreign Producers - Ep 987

U.S. Consumers More Reliant Than Ever on Foreign Producers - Ep 987

Kamala Harris' election odds, Trump's market impact, economic data, job reports, consumer confidence, and record-high gold.Cut your wireless bill to $15/month at https://mintmobile.com/gold. $45 upfront payment required. For new customers on the first 3 month plan only.Market Predictions, Election Insights, and Economic Realities Peter Schiff addresses the economic landscape, election dynamics, and market predictions. He critiques Kamala Harris's low betting odds, Trump's rise in the polls, and the weak job market, emphasizing that the economic data contradicts the portrayal of a strong economy by the media. Peter discusses the trade deficit, consumer confidence, and the implications of the Biden administration's policies. He also explores the effects of potential tariffs, tax cuts, and deficits on inflation and suggests that investor behavior towards gold mining stocks and Bitcoin signals broader economic trends. Peter expresses dissatisfaction with the Puerto Rican government's actions regarding his bank and hints at future revelations. This episode provides a detailed analysis of the interplay between politics and economics and serves as a call to think critically about the upcoming election and its impact on the economy.Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksFollow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFollow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffTimesstamps:01:03 Introduction and Market Update01:42 Gold and Silver Price Surge04:45 Impact of Fed Rate Cuts07:24 Economic Indicators and Job Market Analysis08:35 Inflation and Bond Market Dynamics10:39 Gold Market Trends and Predictions26:47 Trump's Influence on Markets33:16 Understanding Direct and Indirect Taxes33:53 Trump's Tariffs and the BRICS Summit34:39 Impact of Tariffs on the Dollar36:44 Global Shift Away from the Dollar43:30 Paul Tudor Jones on Inflation and Debt48:57 The Looming Debt Crisis57:48 Conclusion and Final ThoughtsOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

30 Loka 202453min

Dismantling the Dollar Brick by Brick - Ep 986

Dismantling the Dollar Brick by Brick - Ep 986

Gold Market Insights, Dollar Debate, and Trump's Tax ProposalsGet $10 off your first month’s subscription + free shipping at https://nutrafol.com when you use promo code GOLDRegister for the New Orleans Investment Conference: https://neworleansconference.com/schiff/Peter Schiff brings an in-depth analysis of recent market volatility, focusing on the enduring yet controversial performance of gold amidst economic uncertainty. He dissects Newmont Mining's significant stock drop despite strong earnings, critiques market reactions, and evaluates potential highs for gold stocks. Schiff scrutinizes Trump's tax proposals, illustrating their impracticality due to extensive government spending and misconceptions about tariffs. He offers perspectives on the US dollar's potential crash following a period of rally, emphasizing the global shift towards gold for stable international trade. Schiff also debates the benefits of a gold standard, insights into rising treasury yields, labor costs, and currency fluctuations. Additional topics include critiques of government policies such as the FTC's 'click-to-cancel' rule, and a call to prioritize free market principles for economic health.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks01:35 Upcoming New Orleans Investment Conference04:03 Gold and Silver Market Analysis06:11 Newmont Mining Earnings Report13:56 Investment Opportunities in Gold Stocks20:28 US Treasury Yields and Janet Yellen's Remarks26:04 Trump's Tax Proposals and Historical Context29:04 The Evolution of Payroll Taxes29:47 Trump's Misunderstanding of Tariffs31:24 MicroStrategy and Bitcoin33:38 Debating the Future of the Dollar40:02 The BRIC Summit and Dollar Alternatives45:56 Government Meddling in Subscriptions52:00 Labor Market Regulations in the UK56:49 Conclusion and Final Thoughts#GoldMarket #USeconomy #FederalReserveOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

25 Loka 202455min

Gold and Silver Are Poised to Melt Up - Ep 985

Gold and Silver Are Poised to Melt Up - Ep 985

Gold rises, Fed policies, inflation, QE, Trump, Bitcoin, BRICS, debt.Download the CFO’s Guide to AI and Machine Learning at https://netsuite.com/goldSign up for a $1/month trial period at https://shopify.com/goldPeter Schiff delves into recent economic developments and market trends, returning from the Orlando Money Show to share his insights. He discusses the significant rise in gold and silver prices, the unexpected increase in long-term bond yields following the Fed's rate cuts, and critiques of mainstream media narratives about the economy's strength. Schiff argues that underlying economic conditions are weaker than reported, leading to higher inflation and growing budget deficits. He touches on the sell-off in U.S. treasury bonds, the BRICS Summit's implications for the dollar, and the illusion of wealth created by inflation. Schiff analyzes Donald Trump's economic policies, including the potential for a 'Trump dump' on Bitcoin and the harms of new tax schemes and tariffs. He concludes by advocating for an honest default on debt to avoid hyperinflation, highlighting the need for realistic economic solutions to manage the impending crisis effectively.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff01:03 Introduction and Market Update01:42 Gold and Silver Price Surge04:45 Impact of Fed Rate Cuts07:24 Economic Indicators and Job Market Analysis08:35 Inflation and Bond Market Dynamics10:39 Gold Market Trends and Predictions26:47 Trump's Influence on Markets33:16 Understanding Direct and Indirect Taxes33:53 Trump's Tariffs and the BRICS Summit34:39 Impact of Tariffs on the Dollar36:44 Global Shift Away from the Dollar43:30 Paul Tudor Jones on Inflation and Debt48:57 The Looming Debt Crisis57:48 Conclusion and Final Thoughts#GoldMarket #Inflation #EconomyPredictionOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

23 Loka 202456min

Investors and Gamblers Are Betting on Trump - Ep 984

Investors and Gamblers Are Betting on Trump - Ep 984

Stock and Bitcoin trends, Fed's influence on metal prices, policy impacts on economy, and tariff effects on manufacturing.For 20% off your Momentous order, head to https://livemomentous.com and use code GOLD.Get $20 credit by being one of the first 500 traders. https://kalshi.com/goldPeter provides a comprehensive analysis of the current economic and political landscape. Beginning with the record highs in the Dow Jones and the booming interest in Bitcoin, Peter attributes market optimism to Donald Trump's rising poll numbers and potential tax cuts. He critiques the Federal Reserve's rate cuts and their long-term implications on interest rates and the U.S. dollar. Peter dives into the disconnect between rising long-term interest rates and stable gold prices, and highlights the growing interest in Bitcoin among traders.He also scrutinizes Kamala Harris's faltering poll numbers and her economic proposals, arguing against government intervention in business funding and advocating for free-market solutions. Delving deeper, Peter discusses the negative impact of tariffs and the decline of American manufacturing, urging for deregulation and tax cuts. Concluding with a discussion on the hidden costs of tariffs, taxes, and government spending.Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksFollow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFollow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffTimestamps:00:00 Introduction and Orlando Money Show Announcement01:51 Market Trends and New Highs02:42 The Trump Trade and Bitcoin09:38 Gold and Silver Market Analysis17:48 Oil Prices and Political Influence20:46 African American Vote and Political Strategies33:31 The Flawed Business Model33:52 Unconstitutional Programs and Racial Criteria36:34 The Problem with Government Funding38:44 Occupational Licensing Laws42:34 Tariffs and Economic Misconceptions45:58 The Decline of American Manufacturing51:12 The Real Impact of Tariffs53:58 The History and Consequences of Taxation57:32 Conclusion and Final ThoughtsOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

15 Loka 202454min

You Can’t Depend on Politically Crafted Government Data - Ep 983

You Can’t Depend on Politically Crafted Government Data - Ep 983

Critiquing job reports. Questioning the Fed. Scrutinizing data. Inflation methods. Political motives. State preparedness.Download the CFO’s Guide to AI and Machine Learning at https://netsuite.com/goldLaughing Cats - GYB OFFICIAL MUSIC VIDEO: https://youtu.be/dSdTZ3judPs?feature=sharedSchiff critically examines the recent jobs report, labeling it as misleading and detailing the implications of government employment statistics. He questions the significance of the Federal Reserve's decisions on interest cuts, given what he considers unreliable government data. Schiff delves into the complexities of inflation reports, expressing skepticism on the methodologies for calculating inflation and unemployment. He also addresses the political motivations behind such statistics. Emphasizing Milton Friedman’s perspective, Schiff highlights government spending as the true measure of taxation and inflation. Additionally, he critiques the inefficiencies of FEMA and advocates for state-level emergency preparedness. Schiff touches on his wife's new music project and encourages support for her band, 'Laughing Cats.' The episode wraps up with Schiff’s comments on upcoming content and a holiday observance note.Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksFollow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFollow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

11 Loka 202457min

Government Hiring Spree Means Higher Taxes and Inflation - Ep 982

Government Hiring Spree Means Higher Taxes and Inflation - Ep 982

The September Jobs Report: A Deeper Dive into Government Hiring and Market ImplicationsCut your wireless bill to $15/month at https://mintmobile.com/gold. $45 upfront payment required. For new customers on the first 3 month plan only. Get $20 credit by being one of the first 500 traders. https://kalshi.com/goldPeter unpacks the September jobs report, highlighting the surprising surge in government hiring amidst looming elections. He questions the authenticity and timing of these figures, suggesting political motivations behind the data boost for the Biden-Harris administration. Peter contrasts private versus government job creation, explaining the economic implications of these new roles funded by taxpayers. As he laments the service sector's dominance and the fading strength of manufacturing, he predicts post-election job revisions. Peter also advises against broad faith in market indicators and reiterates the urgency of investing in gold and silver stocks, casting a skeptical eye on Bitcoin's faltering performance compared to gold. Overall, he stands firm against superficial economic narratives, advocating for practical investment strategies informed by a realistic outlook.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffTimestamps:00:42 Jobs Report and Political Implications04:18 Analyzing the Jobs Data09:57 Government vs. Private Sector Jobs14:53 Economic Consequences of Government Hiring25:08 Labor Market Developments and Automation32:51 Employer Liability and Automation34:22 Market Reactions and Fed Rate Cuts36:20 Oil Prices and Inflation Concerns37:51 Manufacturing Recession and Service Sector Strength45:49 Gold and Silver Market Dynamics52:59 Emerging Markets and Investment Opportunities54:23 Bitcoin's Bear Market Analysis57:28 Conclusion and Final Thoughts#jobsreport #governmentjobs #inflationOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

5 Loka 202455min

Government Stimulus Is Inflation in Disguise - Ep 981

Government Stimulus Is Inflation in Disguise - Ep 981

Gold reaches record highs, silver follows. Market reactions, inflation concerns, Fed's policies, and economic predictions Get an extra 3 months free. https://expressvpn.com/goldGet $20 credit by being one of the first 500 traders. https://kalshi.com/goldPeter discusses the new all-time records set by gold and silver, highlights the puzzling behavior of gold mining stocks, and criticizes the mainstream financial media's understanding of inflation and Federal Reserve policies. He elaborates on the significant data from the Fed's favorite inflation measure, the core PCE, revealing how it misrepresents the true state of inflation. Peter also explains why the Fed's strategy is misguided and suggests that persistent inflation will lead to an eventual return to QE. He ties in how geopolitical moves, like China's recent stimulus announcement, and domestic factors, including Saudi Arabia's oil production strategy, influence market dynamics. Furthermore, Peter argues for the importance of investing in gold and silver as he predicts a substantial increase in their value due to ongoing economic missteps by the Fed.Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksFollow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFollow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

28 Syys 202453min

Suosittua kategoriassa Liike-elämä ja talous

sijotuskasti
mimmit-sijoittaa
psykopodiaa-podcast
rss-rahapodi
rss-lahtijat
ostan-asuntoja-podcast
hyva-paha-johtaminen
rss-rahamania
leadcast
lakicast
rss-seuraava-potilas
rss-neuvottelija-sami-miettinen
oppimisen-psykologia
kasvun-kipuja
rss-uppoava-vn-laiva
rss-karon-grilli
rss-myynnin-myllerryksessa
rss-yritys-ja-erehdys
inderespodi
rss-markkinointiradio