Is the March Rate Hike Really a Lock? – Ep. 338

Is the March Rate Hike Really a Lock? – Ep. 338

Tomorrow is the first of the Fed's 2-day Federal Open Market Committee Meeting, and it's going to be the first meeting where there is supposed to be a rate hike and a press conference for the new chairman, Jerome Powell. The markets are pretty much at 100% probability that the Fed is going to raise rates on Wednesday. What the markets are grappling with is whether or not the Fed will raise rates 4 times this year, or only 3.

Now, if they are going to raise them 4 times, it would mean they raised rates once per quarter. So they raise them in March, they raise them in June, they raise them in September and then they raise them again in December. Now, if they only do it 3 times, then, they pick one of these quarters where they don't do it. Most likely, if they only do 3 hikes, the hike they're going to skip is going to be the June hike. And, of course, if they skip the June hike, they're probably not going to hike in September or December, either because the economy will be much weaker by then, the U.S. stock market could be much lower. The fact is, I'm still not 100% sure that the Fed is going to hike on Wednesday.

I would agree that it is more likely than not that the Fed is going to hike, because they've been hiking interest rates all along. The Fed so far has not given any indication that they're not going to hike because they don't want to give up the ghost of this "vibrant recovery", where they need to raise rates because everything is going so well. But that whole narrative, that whole illusion seems to be fading very quickly. As a matter of fact, on Friday the Atlanta Fed's model for Q1 GDP went down another notch! They are now down to 1.8% for Q1 GDP. Now does it sound like the Fed should be rushing to hike rates when GDP growth for Q1 is only going to be 1.8%? Does that sound like an economy that is in danger of overheating? When they were at 5.4% 6 weeks ago or so and now they're down to 1.8% and falling? For all we know, we could end up being below 1%.

Does the Fed really want to add more downward pressure to an accelerating economy by raising interest rates? So far, everybody just assumes that they're going to hike rates. but we'll see. Another factor that may weigh on the Fed's decision is the stock market. We still have tomorrow and Wednesday morning for the stock market to tank. Today, the tanking process already began.

At one point today, the Dow was down almost 500 points. At its low it was down around 490. The NASDAQ, the bigger decliner was down almost 200 points intra day. Now the markets recouped some of those losses, so the NASDAQ only closed down 137 points; that's still a 1.84% drop. It's a big drop, not nearly as big as 200. The Dow was down 335. It's back in the red on the year. The Dow was down about 100 points so far this year. We're only about 800 Dow points above the closing low from March. I think we're more like maybe 1300 Dow points above the intra-day low in the U.S. session. But who knows? the market could tank tomorrow, we'll see, and then, is the Fed going to hike rates with the market tanking? Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Jaksot(1085)

Bad Policy Disables Economies in China and America – Ep 718

Bad Policy Disables Economies in China and America – Ep 718

* High roads don’t win votes. * The road to hell is paved with good intentions and is wheelchair accessible. * Bitcoin rallies on its slope of hope. * China cracks down on private education. Free $75 credit to upgrade your post at https://indeed.com/peter. Terms and conditions apply. Offer valid through September 30, 2021. RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

27 Heinä 20211h 5min

COVID Isn’t the Reason Markets Got Sick – Ep 717

COVID Isn’t the Reason Markets Got Sick – Ep 717

* Bitcoin gets skipped over in investors’ rush to safe havens. * Gold mining stocks have never been a better deal. * Fiscal stimulus without monetary stimulus is no longer possible. * Bitcoin has a sucker’s rally after getting comfortable below $30k. Thanks Tru Niagen. Get 10% off your first purchase as a new customer by going to https://truniagen.com/peter with the promo code PETER For a limited time, get 40% off a Calm Premium subscription at https://calm.com/gold RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

21 Heinä 20211h

PBS Frontline Misses the Fed’s Real Power to Destroy – Ep 716

PBS Frontline Misses the Fed’s Real Power to Destroy – Ep 716

* The power to inflate is the power to destroy. Fed ensures most Americans are living on the edge. * Quantitative Easing is just another word for government debt monetization. * We’re always just one bubble away from the next financial crisis. * Government creates a moral hazard with every subsidy it gets involved in. * Power is most dangerous when it’s not understood by those wielding it. Free $75 credit to upgrade your post at https://Indeed.com/peter. Terms and conditions apply. Offer valid through September 30, 2021. Redeem your 30-day trial for only 99¢ at https://Literati.com/gold Watch The Housing Bubble film: https://letusdisagree.com/ RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

19 Heinä 20211h 16min

Fed Bets the Farm on Transitory Inflation – Ep 715

Fed Bets the Farm on Transitory Inflation – Ep 715

* Government data says inflation worse than the 80s; real data says inflation already worse than the 70s. * Hypocritical Republicans criticize Biden for the same policies they pushed for under Trump. * Jerome Powell claims economy is great, but it needs the same amount of stimulus as when it was crashing. * Fed claims to have the tools to fight inflation if it gets too high, but not using them now proves they don’t. * Powell admits people aren’t working because they’re being paid not to. Go to https://Bambee.com/gold to schedule your FREE HR audit. Thanks Raycon!. Go To https://buyraycon.com/gold for 15% off your entire Raycon order. RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

16 Heinä 20211h 12min

CPI and PPI Expose Transitory Inflation Ruse – Ep 714

CPI and PPI Expose Transitory Inflation Ruse – Ep 714

* Fed forced to admit that inflation will be higher and last longer than they predicted. * June CPI numbers come in almost double Fed’s expectations. * Highest monthly CPI increase in 13 years. * Stock indexes are not a hedge against inflation. * Producer costs are rising faster than consumer prices. * Consumer prices are rising faster than wages. * No signs that inflation is transitory in the oil market. Thanks Ladder Life Insurance. Go to https://ladderlife.com/gold today to see if you’re instantly approved. RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

14 Heinä 202149min

Lies That Central Bankers and Bitcoin Pumpers Tell – Ep 713

Lies That Central Bankers and Bitcoin Pumpers Tell – Ep 713

* Oil prices break their winning streak. * As stimulus runs out, Americans reach record high in consumer credit. * ECB vows to increase cost of living for Europeans. * Michael Saylor’s Bitcoin spin should fool no one. Become a Firstleaf member and get 6 bottles of wine for $29.95 and free shipping https://TryFirstLeaf.com/GOLD RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

10 Heinä 202154min

Markets Are Bracing For the Wrong Impact – Ep 712

Markets Are Bracing For the Wrong Impact – Ep 712

* Bitcoin and other risky assets being sold off. * Investors flee to gold and other safe havens. * Fed goes from thinking about thinking about tapering to talking about talking about it. * Supply of starter homes at 50 year low. * Buying Bitcoin is as risky as it’s ever been. Free $75 credit to upgrade your post at https://indeed.com/peter. Terms and conditions apply. Offer valid through Sept. 30, 2021. RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

8 Heinä 202150min

All Americans Can Celebrate Independence Day – Ep 711

All Americans Can Celebrate Independence Day – Ep 711

* Oil marches toward record highs in Europe. * Inflation disguised in new restaurant fees. * The Constitution applies to all Americans. * Slave trade started and ended in Africa, not the United States. * Slavery was outlawed in the US before anywhere else in the world. Get an extra 3 months Free on a one year package. https://Expressvpn.com/gold RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

6 Heinä 202153min

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