Is the March Rate Hike Really a Lock? – Ep. 338

Is the March Rate Hike Really a Lock? – Ep. 338

Tomorrow is the first of the Fed's 2-day Federal Open Market Committee Meeting, and it's going to be the first meeting where there is supposed to be a rate hike and a press conference for the new chairman, Jerome Powell. The markets are pretty much at 100% probability that the Fed is going to raise rates on Wednesday. What the markets are grappling with is whether or not the Fed will raise rates 4 times this year, or only 3.

Now, if they are going to raise them 4 times, it would mean they raised rates once per quarter. So they raise them in March, they raise them in June, they raise them in September and then they raise them again in December. Now, if they only do it 3 times, then, they pick one of these quarters where they don't do it. Most likely, if they only do 3 hikes, the hike they're going to skip is going to be the June hike. And, of course, if they skip the June hike, they're probably not going to hike in September or December, either because the economy will be much weaker by then, the U.S. stock market could be much lower. The fact is, I'm still not 100% sure that the Fed is going to hike on Wednesday.

I would agree that it is more likely than not that the Fed is going to hike, because they've been hiking interest rates all along. The Fed so far has not given any indication that they're not going to hike because they don't want to give up the ghost of this "vibrant recovery", where they need to raise rates because everything is going so well. But that whole narrative, that whole illusion seems to be fading very quickly. As a matter of fact, on Friday the Atlanta Fed's model for Q1 GDP went down another notch! They are now down to 1.8% for Q1 GDP. Now does it sound like the Fed should be rushing to hike rates when GDP growth for Q1 is only going to be 1.8%? Does that sound like an economy that is in danger of overheating? When they were at 5.4% 6 weeks ago or so and now they're down to 1.8% and falling? For all we know, we could end up being below 1%.

Does the Fed really want to add more downward pressure to an accelerating economy by raising interest rates? So far, everybody just assumes that they're going to hike rates. but we'll see. Another factor that may weigh on the Fed's decision is the stock market. We still have tomorrow and Wednesday morning for the stock market to tank. Today, the tanking process already began.

At one point today, the Dow was down almost 500 points. At its low it was down around 490. The NASDAQ, the bigger decliner was down almost 200 points intra day. Now the markets recouped some of those losses, so the NASDAQ only closed down 137 points; that's still a 1.84% drop. It's a big drop, not nearly as big as 200. The Dow was down 335. It's back in the red on the year. The Dow was down about 100 points so far this year. We're only about 800 Dow points above the closing low from March. I think we're more like maybe 1300 Dow points above the intra-day low in the U.S. session. But who knows? the market could tank tomorrow, we'll see, and then, is the Fed going to hike rates with the market tanking? Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Jaksot(1085)

A Debate to Forget – Ep 615

A Debate to Forget – Ep 615

Stock market finishes the worst September since 2011. Silver down on the month, but outperforms stock market on the quarter. Stephen Roach speculates 35% collapse in the US dollar in 2021. Paying taxes is nobody’s patriotic duty. Home appraisers aren’t racist. Democrats pissed they can’t put black people deeper into debt. Biden wins the first debate by simply proving he’s not senile. Trump defends the indefensible about healthcare. Biden dodges questions about Supreme Court and Green New Deal. Schedule your FREE Product Tour at https://www.NetSuite.com/gold Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

1 Loka 202059min

The Stock Market Needs the Fed More Than Gold – Ep 614

The Stock Market Needs the Fed More Than Gold – Ep 614

Dollar rallies in the face of stock market fall. Bubble stocks more bubblicious. Monetary stimulus only stimulates inflation. Daymond John wants the government to print more money. It’s not an L-Shape or V-Shape recovery, because it’s not a recovery. Too much can kicking has made the can too big. Democrats throwing stones from their glass house. Wells Fargo CEO shamed by race baiting mob for telling the truth. Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

24 Syys 202052min

Political Tension Puts Near-Term “Stimulus” in Doubt  – Ep 613

Political Tension Puts Near-Term “Stimulus” in Doubt – Ep 613

Everything gets slammed. Chart looking weak for the Dow and Russell, strong for silver. Bloom coming off the rose of economic recovery. Political tensions rise with death of Ruth Bader Ginsburg. US government is the biggest threat to America, not terrorists or COVID. Fiscal stimulus requires monetary stimulus. The constitution has to be applied, not interpreted. Thanks RAYCON! Get 15% off your order at https://buyraycon.com/GOLD Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

22 Syys 20201h

Fed Not Dovish Enough for Markets – Ep 612

Fed Not Dovish Enough for Markets – Ep 612

Rough ride for the indexes this week. Fed commits to 0% interest rates until 2023. Neel Kashkari thinks that’s not enough. Air is coming out of the retail sales bubble. Temporarily closed businesses close permanently. Markets ignoring dangerous warning signs. Trump stabs Republicans in the back. American energy companies are dead, but oil prices will rise. Morgan Stanley wakes up to gold. Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

19 Syys 202055min

Soaking the rich will drown everyone else – Ep 611

Soaking the rich will drown everyone else – Ep 611

Secretary of Treasury is really Secretary of Debt Fed doesn’t think Americans are in enough pain. Education and healthcare are too important for the government to be involved in. Biden pledges to nationalize corporate America. The road to serfdom is better than the road we’re on now. Episode Sponsor: ExpressVPN Get an extra 3 months free on a one year package.: https://ExpressVPN.com/gold Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

16 Syys 20201h 8min

Fiercest Fires Were Lit by the Fed – Ep 610

Fiercest Fires Were Lit by the Fed – Ep 610

Markets end week on a mixed note. Gold consolidating support above previous highs. Fed has come out of the closet. Alan Greenspan sounds more like Peter Schiff as he gets older. Government did more harm to Americans with the War on Terror than the terrorists did. Government doing more harm again with the War on COVID than the virus has done. Government incentives maximum racism. NFL discriminates. Go to https://indeed.com/peter for a $75 credit on your job post Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

12 Syys 20201h

The Dollar and Bonds are Bigger Bubbles Than Stocks – Ep 609

The Dollar and Bonds are Bigger Bubbles Than Stocks – Ep 609

NASDAQ has a full blown correction. TSLA is the poster child of the stock market craziness. Slack is not an investment. Air coming out of stock market bubble. Dave Portnoy is the poster child of day traders. Bitcoin’s support is weakening. Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

9 Syys 202059min

Did the Biggest Bubble Ever Just Pop? – Ep 608

Did the Biggest Bubble Ever Just Pop? – Ep 608

The biggest bubble may have popped without a pin. Charts show bad omen for the NASDAQ. The biggest bubble ever won’t die easily. Strength in gold stocks improving. Tesla (TSLA) sells off. Treasury market killed. China commits to dumping US treasuries. Bond market’s bottom ready to drop. Bitcoin may never trade above $10,000 again. Trade deficit biggest since July of 2008. Jobs numbers are not what they seem. Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

5 Syys 202052min

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