America is the Real Turkey – Ep.  378

America is the Real Turkey – Ep. 378

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Turkey is the Epicenter of Emerging Market Concerns
Right now, the epicenter of the concerns about the emerging markets is coming from Turkey. What is the problem with the Turkish lira? Turkish President Erdogan is veering off into some very dangerous territory with his stance with the Central Bank of Turkey and now the political battle of egos that he is having with President Trump over the release of an American pastor who is imprisoned in Turkey. As a result of this, the President is now turning up the heat on Turkey with sanctions, which is compounding Turkey's problems. Today was probably the biggest one day drop in the Turkish lira. Today, the Turkish lira might have been down about 20% intra day.
Trump Doubling Down on Tariffs with Turkey
Throwing fuel on the fire, early in the morning, when the lira was already down 12%, Trump announced that he would be doubling the existing tariffs on Turkish steel and aluminum. Turkey has a trade surplus with the U.S. like just about everybody else. Is this going to hurt Turkey? A little bit. Obviously it hurts Americans more because now Turkish steel is that much more expensive.
Speculative Frenzy Shorting the Turkish Lira
All of this is adding fuel to the speculative frenzy to short the Turkish lira. I think you have a lot of hot speculative money that has been leaning down on that currency. It is basically fueling an even bigger problem. They have high inflation, they have very high bond yields. The yields in Turkey up until recently, even though inflation was high, you had 400-500 basis points of positive bond yields.
Turkish Economy Essentially Strong
The Turkish economy has actually been quite strong over the years. As a result of that a lot of international money has been invested in Turkey. Foreign direct investment has been going into the Turkish economy, participating in the Turkish equity market, lenders have been loaning money. Some of that debt of course, is dollar denominated and euro denominated which is the problem now, because if you are a company generating revenue in Turkish lira, if you have dollar or euro debt. Now a lot of people hedge; if your obligations are in a different currency, you would hedge that currency to the lira. But the weakness in the lira drives inflation even higher, because as the lira loses value, you need more lira to buy stuff and as inflation goes higher, there is more pressure on the central bank to raise interest rates to try to fight that inflation. But higher rates also feed into inflation by increasing costs.
Turkish Debt to GDP Much Lower than in the U.S.
President Erdogan is putting pressure on the central bank not to raise interest rates high enough to crush all the speculators who are shorting the Turkish lira. What also should be done is they should dramatically reduce government spending in Turkey. Not that it was out of control to begin with, but they want to make sure they don't have deficits. If you look at the debt to GDP in Turkey it is considerably lower than in the U.S.
The U.S. Dollar is Not the Subject of a Run - Yet
The U.S. is in far worse shape than in Turkey, in fact it's not even close. But the difference is the U.S. dollar is not the subject of a run right now. But if you think about the predicament that Turkey is in, this is the same predicament that the U.S. is going to be in - we're just not there yet.

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Jaksot(1085)

Gold Tops $4K as World Prepares to Go Off Dollar Standard - Ep 1045

Gold Tops $4K as World Prepares to Go Off Dollar Standard - Ep 1045

Peter Schiff examines gold's historic surge past $4,000, critiques the dollar's decline, and warns of looming economic crises and fiscal irresponsibility.This episode is sponsored by NetSuite. Download the free “CFO’s Guide to AI and Machine Learning” at https://netsuite.com/goldIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, host Peter Schiff delves into the alarming rise of gold prices, which recently surpassed $4,000, signaling a potential dollar crisis. He explores the historical context of gold's surge, drawing parallels to the economic turmoil of the 1970s when the United States abandoned the gold standard. Schiff emphasizes the implications of central banks diversifying away from the dollar and warns of the impending economic collapse as the U.S. grapples with unsustainable fiscal policies. With personal anecdotes and keen insights, Schiff articulates the urgency for investors to reconsider their strategies in light of these developments, positioning gold as a crucial safe haven amid rising inflation and currency devaluation. Tune in for a thought-provoking discussion on the future of the global economy and the significance of gold in these turbulent times.Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks00:56 Gold's Historic Surge04:57 The 1970s Gold Standard and Its Impact10:06 The Dollar's Decline and Global Implications17:24 Personal Anecdote and Upcoming Events18:43 The Shift from Dollar to Gold Standard20:15 Central Banks and Fiscal Policies26:39 The Looming Dollar Crisis31:37 Gold's Rising Significance on Wall Street32:19 Personal Experiences with Gold Predictions34:03 Gold vs. Bitcoin: A Media Bias36:32 Gold as the Canary in the Coal Mine38:27 Kudlow's Dismissal of Gold's Warning41:24 The Looming Economic Crisis43:52 Investment Strategies Amidst Economic Uncertainty47:44 The Global Economic Shift59:57 Final Thoughts and Upcoming EventsFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#gold #dollarcrisis #economiccollapseOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

9 Loka 59min

The Government Shutdown Hides a Weak Economy Trump Can’t Fix - Ep 1044

The Government Shutdown Hides a Weak Economy Trump Can’t Fix - Ep 1044

Peter Schiff critiques the government shutdown's impact on economic data, dissects Trump's controversial drug pricing plans, and addresses misguided tariff policies.This episode is sponsored by Lucy. Go to https://lucy.co/gold and use promo code GOLD to get 20% off your first orderIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, host Peter Schiff delves into the ongoing U.S. government shutdown and its implications for the economy. He discusses the troubling job market, highlighted by disappointing job reports, and offers insights into the rising trends in the gold and silver markets. Peter criticizes the government's response to economic challenges and addresses the controversial tariff policies introduced by former President Trump. He also tackles the impact of these policies on various industries, including pharmaceuticals and entertainment. Listeners can expect a candid analysis of the current economic landscape, emphasizing the importance of understanding real value in the face of inflation and government intervention.Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks03:36 Government Shutdown and Its Implications09:47 Economic Analysis: Jobs Report and Market Performance15:34 Gold and Silver Market Insights23:16 Upcoming Appearances and Conferences28:11 Market Recap: Gold and Silver Trends29:21 Pharmaceutical Stocks Surge Amid Trump's Drug Price Plan32:41 Trump's Controversial Tariff Policies37:34 The Movie Tariff Proposal: A Misunderstanding of Tariffs48:12 The Hypocrisy of Hollywood's Capitalism Critique54:43 Conclusion and AnnouncementsFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#governmentshutdown #economicanalysis #TrumpRXOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

4 Loka 54min

Trump Hits Americans With More Tariffs - Ep 1043

Trump Hits Americans With More Tariffs - Ep 1043

Peter Schiff discusses the surge in precious metals, critiques Trump's tariffs on various industries, and warns of impending economic challenges ahead.This episode is sponsored by Policygenius. Head to https://policygenius.com/gold to compare free life insurance quotes from top companies and see how much you could save.In this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, host Peter Schiff delves into the pressing issues affecting the global economy, including the surge in precious metals, the implications of new tariffs imposed by the Trump administration, and the shifting landscape of investment portfolios. Peter highlights the recent performance of gold and silver as inflation hedges, scrutinizing the misguided narratives surrounding cryptocurrency and stock market valuations. He emphasizes the critical need for sound economic policies that prioritize free market principles over government intervention. As he breaks down the latest market trends and economic indicators, Peter Schiff provides listeners with a reality check on the true state of the economy while advocating for the importance of gold and silver in any investment strategy. Tune in for an insightful analysis that challenges mainstream economic beliefs.Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks01:02 Precious Metals Market Update02:57 Gold and Silver Performance Analysis06:38 Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency Insights08:52 Morgan Stanley's Portfolio Adjustment22:44 Stock Market Valuation and AI Investments29:33 Inflation and Rising Costs29:59 Disney's Price Hike and Real Inflation30:57 Personal Income and Spending Data32:14 Fed's Rate Cuts and Economic Impact34:13 Trump's H-1B Visa Policy39:46 Impact of Tariffs on Economy53:58 Trump's Gold and Platinum Cards56:16 Conclusion and Call to ActionFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#TrumpTariffs #GoldInvesting #PreciousMetalsMarketOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

26 Syys 56min

Fed's Biggest Policy Mistake Yet - Ep 1042

Fed's Biggest Policy Mistake Yet - Ep 1042

Peter Schiff critiques the Fed's latest rate cuts, discusses inflationary pressures, and highlights the looming housing affordability crisis.This episode is sponsored by Hims. Start your free online visit today at https://hims.com/goldIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, host Peter Schiff delves into the Federal Reserve's latest rate cuts, discussing the implications of these policy decisions on the economy and inflation. With a sharp critique of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's recent statements, Schiff highlights the potential risks to economic stability and the growing divergence of opinions within the Fed. He explores the impact of tariffs on inflation, the ongoing housing affordability crisis, and the dangers of cutting rates amidst record-high asset prices. Schiff's insights underscore the fallacy of the Fed's mandates and the dire consequences of monetary policy missteps, positioning him as a critical voice amid economic uncertainty. Tune in for a thought-provoking analysis that challenges mainstream narratives and exposes the reality behind the Fed's actions.Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks00:58 Fed Rate Announcement and Market Expectations02:00 Press Conference Highlights and Powell's Statements10:03 Discussion on Tariffs and Inflation19:27 Threats to Fed Independence and Political Influence21:38 Divergence of Opinions within the Fed30:25 Debating Interest Rates and Inflation31:12 The Fed's Impossible Mandates33:42 Unemployment Rate Realities35:09 Quantitative Tightening and Market Reactions37:33 Housing Affordability Crisis40:59 Government Policies and Market Solutions46:42 Stock Market and Gold Predictions52:59 Investment Strategies and Final ThoughtsFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#FedPolicy #InterestRates #InflationOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

18 Syys 54min

Charlie Kirk Was Right - Ep 1041

Charlie Kirk Was Right - Ep 1041

Peter Schiff critiques the August CPI report, warns of rising inflation, and reflects on the tragic assassination of Charlie Kirk.This episode is sponsored by NetSuite. Download the free ebook “navigating global trade: 3 insights for leaders” at https://netsuite.com/goldIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, host Peter Schiff delves into the latest economic insights surrounding the August Consumer Price Data and its implications for Federal Reserve policy. He critiques government labor market statistics, asserting their unreliability and the significant discrepancies between reported job growth and actual economic conditions. Schiff discusses the potential repercussions of anticipated rate cuts, the rising concerns over inflation, and the implications for gold and silver investments. He also reflects on recent tragic events, including the assassination of prominent political commentator Charlie Kirk, highlighting the societal implications of such violence. Tune in as Schiff navigates these pressing topics, offering his unfiltered perspective on the current economic landscape and its future trajectory.Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks00:58 Anticipation of August Consumer Price Data01:43 Analysis of CPI Report and Fed's Inflation Target03:26 Critique of Government Data and Labor Market04:53 Impact of Job Market on Fed's Rate Decisions07:05 Historical Context and Fed's Policy Shifts07:50 Market Reactions and Predictions22:48 Gold and Silver Investment Insights27:33 Performance of Gold Stocks vs. S&P 50037:22 Economic Outlook and Policy Implications39:38 Economic Challenges and Predictions40:45 The Future of Gold and Inflation42:44 Government Jobs and Economic Impact45:04 Trump's Renaming of Departments47:08 Remembering 9/11 and Its Aftermath48:25 The Tragic Assassination of Charlie Kirk53:18 Racial Double Standards in Media01:02:14 Impact of Welfare Policies on Black Families01:16:49 Concluding Thoughts and ReflectionsFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#CharlieKirk #Inflation #EconomicOutlookOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

12 Syys 1h 16min

An Independent Fed May Be Ruled Unconstitutional - Ep 1040

An Independent Fed May Be Ruled Unconstitutional - Ep 1040

Peter Schiff critiques the August jobs report, analyzes the Federal Reserve's actions, and discusses the implications for gold and the U.S. dollar.This episode is sponsored by Lucy. Go to https://lucy.co/gold and use promo code GOLD to get 20% off your first orderIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, host Peter Schiff dives deep into critical economic issues affecting the United States, including a thorough analysis of the latest August Jobs Report, which reveals a troubling trend of job losses reminiscent of the Great Recession. He critiques the economic policies of former President Trump, highlighting the stark contrast between the current labor market and its portrayal as robust by the Federal Reserve. Schiff also explores the implications of a potential constitutional ruling on the independence of the Federal Reserve and its impact on inflation and the dollar. Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks01:26 Discussion on the August Jobs Report04:04 Critique of Trump's Economic Policies07:47 Analysis of the Federal Reserve's Actions14:18 Housing Market Concerns26:29 Gold and Silver Market Insights30:57 Bitcoin vs. Gold: A Comparative Analysis31:29 Bitcoin's Performance Over the Years31:49 The Rise of Bitcoin ETFs and Treasury Companies34:00 The Supreme Court and the Federal Reserve35:40 Constitutional Scrutiny of the Federal Reserve37:16 The Independence of the Federal Reserve48:04 Historical Context of Paper Money in the U.S.55:07 The Future of Gold and the U.S. Dollar56:03 Investment Opportunities and Final ThoughtsFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#FederalReserve #BitcoinVsGold #EconomicAnalysisOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

5 Syys 57min

Donald Trump Is Wrong - The Peter Schiff Show Ep 1039

Donald Trump Is Wrong - The Peter Schiff Show Ep 1039

Peter Schiff examines Trump's unconstitutional tariffs, the implications for the gold market, and the potential economic consequences ahead.This episode is sponsored by Hims. Start your free online visit today at https://hims.com/goldIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, host Peter Schiff dives deep into the pressing economic issues surrounding Donald Trump's policies, including his controversial tariffs and their constitutional implications. Schiff provides a thorough analysis of the gold market, illustrating its current strength amidst a backdrop of increasing uncertainty in the dollar's value. He discusses Trump's attempts to influence the Federal Reserve, highlighting the potential legal and ethical ramifications of such actions. With a critical eye, Schiff underscores the economic consequences of these policies and advocates for investing in gold as a hedge against the impending financial turmoil. Join Schiff for an insightful exploration of the realities facing the economy today and the strategies for navigating them successfully.Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks00:54 Labor Day Weekend Podcast Announcement02:08 Gold Market Analysis04:28 Trump's Tariffs and the Constitution15:58 Commercial Break17:49 Market Reactions and Predictions27:16 Trump and the Federal Reserve30:27 Trump's Strategy to Control the Fed31:50 Legal and Ethical Implications35:56 Economic Consequences of Trump's Policies47:07 The Role of Gold in Economic Stability51:44 Investment Strategies and Market Predictions56:58 Conclusion and Final ThoughtsFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#DonaldTrump #GoldMarket #EconomicPoliciesOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

1 Syys 55min

Powell Gets His Mind Right - The Peter Schiff Show Ep 1038

Powell Gets His Mind Right - The Peter Schiff Show Ep 1038

Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole speech marks a major pivot at the Federal Reserve. Peter Schiff explains how political pressure from the Trump administration has forced Powell’s hand, why stagflation is now undeniable, and what this means for gold, the dollar, and the future of the U.S. economy.This episode is sponsored by NetSuite. Download the free ebook “Navigating Global Trade: 3 Insights for Leaders” at https://netsuite.com/goldIn this Sunday Night Live edition of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter compares Powell’s capitulation to the “mind right” scene in Cool Hand Luke, warns about the Fed’s coming return to QE, and exposes the dangerous precedent of the U.S. government seizing a 10% stake in Intel. Schiff lays out why gold, silver, and foreign stocks are outperforming, and why the next phase of the crisis will be even more severe.00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks02:15 Powell’s Jackson Hole Speech: A Sober Assessment06:48 Trump’s Pressure and Powell’s “Mind Right” Moment12:02 Comparing Trump and Biden Economies18:37 Stagflation Confirmed: Weak Growth, Stronger Inflation24:10 Fed Policy, Employment Risks, and Inflation Mandate29:44 The End of Inflation Averaging at 2%36:50 Rate Cuts, Quantitative Tightening, and QE Ahead44:15 Market Reactions: Stocks, Bonds, and the Dollar51:28 Gold and Silver Surge vs. Bitcoin’s Underperformance58:44 Mining Stocks: GDX and GDXJ Leading 2025 Returns01:05:37 Foreign Stocks and the Great Rotation Out of U.S. Equities01:12:52 Intel’s 10% Government Stake and Rising Corporatism01:20:46 Investment Strategy: Gold, Mining, and Foreign Markets01:28:14 Conclusion and Schiff Sovereign UpdateFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#federalreserve #stagflation #gold #inflation #dollarcollapse #economyOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

25 Elo 1h 1min

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