America is the Real Turkey – Ep.  378

America is the Real Turkey – Ep. 378

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Turkey is the Epicenter of Emerging Market Concerns
Right now, the epicenter of the concerns about the emerging markets is coming from Turkey. What is the problem with the Turkish lira? Turkish President Erdogan is veering off into some very dangerous territory with his stance with the Central Bank of Turkey and now the political battle of egos that he is having with President Trump over the release of an American pastor who is imprisoned in Turkey. As a result of this, the President is now turning up the heat on Turkey with sanctions, which is compounding Turkey's problems. Today was probably the biggest one day drop in the Turkish lira. Today, the Turkish lira might have been down about 20% intra day.
Trump Doubling Down on Tariffs with Turkey
Throwing fuel on the fire, early in the morning, when the lira was already down 12%, Trump announced that he would be doubling the existing tariffs on Turkish steel and aluminum. Turkey has a trade surplus with the U.S. like just about everybody else. Is this going to hurt Turkey? A little bit. Obviously it hurts Americans more because now Turkish steel is that much more expensive.
Speculative Frenzy Shorting the Turkish Lira
All of this is adding fuel to the speculative frenzy to short the Turkish lira. I think you have a lot of hot speculative money that has been leaning down on that currency. It is basically fueling an even bigger problem. They have high inflation, they have very high bond yields. The yields in Turkey up until recently, even though inflation was high, you had 400-500 basis points of positive bond yields.
Turkish Economy Essentially Strong
The Turkish economy has actually been quite strong over the years. As a result of that a lot of international money has been invested in Turkey. Foreign direct investment has been going into the Turkish economy, participating in the Turkish equity market, lenders have been loaning money. Some of that debt of course, is dollar denominated and euro denominated which is the problem now, because if you are a company generating revenue in Turkish lira, if you have dollar or euro debt. Now a lot of people hedge; if your obligations are in a different currency, you would hedge that currency to the lira. But the weakness in the lira drives inflation even higher, because as the lira loses value, you need more lira to buy stuff and as inflation goes higher, there is more pressure on the central bank to raise interest rates to try to fight that inflation. But higher rates also feed into inflation by increasing costs.
Turkish Debt to GDP Much Lower than in the U.S.
President Erdogan is putting pressure on the central bank not to raise interest rates high enough to crush all the speculators who are shorting the Turkish lira. What also should be done is they should dramatically reduce government spending in Turkey. Not that it was out of control to begin with, but they want to make sure they don't have deficits. If you look at the debt to GDP in Turkey it is considerably lower than in the U.S.
The U.S. Dollar is Not the Subject of a Run - Yet
The U.S. is in far worse shape than in Turkey, in fact it's not even close. But the difference is the U.S. dollar is not the subject of a run right now. But if you think about the predicament that Turkey is in, this is the same predicament that the U.S. is going to be in - we're just not there yet.

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The 2023 Financial Crisis Has Started - Ep 878

The 2023 Financial Crisis Has Started - Ep 878

· Live podcast.Go to https://bambee.com and type in Peter Schiff under PODCAST when you sign upJoin my Locals community to get The Peter Schiff Show ad-free and a day early! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member.Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/investRATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/newsBuy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrashFollow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiffOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

14 Maalis 202353min

Will the Fed Pivot to Postpone Another Financial Crisis? - Ep 877

Will the Fed Pivot to Postpone Another Financial Crisis? - Ep 877

· Live podcast and audience Q&A.Get an extra 3 months. https://expressvpn.com/goldSign up for a $1/month trial period at https://shopify.com/goldJoin my Locals community to get The Peter Schiff Show ad-free and a day early! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member.Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/investRATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/newsBuy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrashFollow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiffOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

11 Maalis 202359min

ABC Four Corners’ Fake News Exposed - Ep 876

ABC Four Corners’ Fake News Exposed - Ep 876

· Corrupt media deliberately distorts the truth and lies to the Australian people in order to advance a political agenda that is detrimental to the living standards and freedoms of every Australian.Visit https://indeed.com/peter to start hiring now.Join my Locals community to get The Peter Schiff Show ad-free and a day early! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member.Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/investRATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/newsBuy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrashFollow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiffOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

7 Maalis 202340min

All Roads Lead To Higher Inflation and Hard Landing - Ep 875

All Roads Lead To Higher Inflation and Hard Landing - Ep 875

· Strong week for the stock market and gold stocks.· ECB’s inflation goals were asinine.· The Fed will soon break its money losing record.· Debt is going to spiral out of control.· Big money is leaving crypto.· Markets don’t get that inflation isn’t coming down.Thanks Headspace. Try it free for 30 days at https://headspace.com/gold30dayThanks ClearComp. Book a demo at https://clearcomp.comJoin my Locals community to get The Peter Schiff Show ad-free and a day early! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member.Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/investRATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/newsBuy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrashFollow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiffOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

5 Maalis 202353min

Hotter Inflation Chills Stock Market- Ep 874

Hotter Inflation Chills Stock Market- Ep 874

· The inflation genie is impossible to put back in the bottle.· CPI and PPI are lagging for a number of reasons.· Beaten down stocks of 2022 enjoyed a short-lived dead cat bounce in 2023.· Consumer spending in January surged after a record decline in tax revenue.· The PCE is the most inaccurate way to measure inflation and it’s no coincidence that it’s also the Fed’s favorite way.· The progress the Fed claimed to have made against inflation is already lost.· The inverted yield curve is now even more inverted.Visit https://indeed.com/peter to start hiring now.Cut your wireless bill to $15 a month at https://mintmobile.com/goldJoin my Locals community to get The Peter Schiff Show ad-free and a day early! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member.Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/investRATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/newsBuy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrashFollow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiffOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

26 Helmi 202354min

The Fed Brought a Knife to an Inflation Gun Fight - Ep 873

The Fed Brought a Knife to an Inflation Gun Fight - Ep 873

· People who think that we've seen the worst of inflation are wrong. · Surge in credit card debt proves labor market is weak.· Ronald Reagan’s tax system was the closest we’ve been to a flat tax since 1913.· Presidents’ Day is about honoring George Washington, not Joe Biden.Thanks HelloFresh! Go to https://hellofresh.com/gold65 and use code gold65 for 65% off plus free shipping!Thanks ClearComp. Book a demo at https://clearcomp.com.Join my Locals community to get The Peter Schiff Show ad-free and a day early! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member.Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/investRATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/newsBuy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrashFollow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiffOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

19 Helmi 202348min

CPI Shows Disinflation Trend May Have Turned - Ep 872

CPI Shows Disinflation Trend May Have Turned - Ep 872

· Biden putting America in much more vulnerable position with continued selling of strategic oil reserves.· Replacing full-time jobs with part-time jobs is not a sign of a strong labor market.· The National Debt is the same thing as having a National Credit Card.· Politicians claiming to care about Social Security are voting to destroy the value of it.· Gold and silver will take off when investors realize inflation is not going back to 2%.Visit https://indeed.com/peter to start hiring now.Join my Locals community to get The Peter Schiff Show ad-free and a day early! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member.Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/investRATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/newsBuy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrashFollow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiffOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

15 Helmi 202337min

Neither Biden nor Powell Understands the State of the Union - Ep 871

Neither Biden nor Powell Understands the State of the Union - Ep 871

· As an American, Biden’s State of the Union was horrible.· Inflation Reduction Act will increase prices.· Republicans supporting Trump deficits paved the way for Biden deficits.· Biden is cutting Social Security through inflation.· Biden promises to save your pennies while stealing your dollars.· More savings reduces inflation through decreased demand and increased supply.Go to https://bambee.com and type in Peter Schiff under PODCAST when you sign upJoin my Locals community to get The Peter Schiff Show ad-free and a day early! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member.Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/investRATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/newsBuy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrashFollow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiffOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

9 Helmi 202343min

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