Numbers Always Look Good When Recessions Begin – Ep. 405
The Peter Schiff Show Podcast27 Loka 2018

Numbers Always Look Good When Recessions Begin – Ep. 405

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Look Carefully at the Price Index
The GDP number came out yesterday; 3/5% did slightly beat the consensus of 3.3%, but remember, for a while the Atlanta Fed was looking for a print in the 4's. But the New York Fed was at 2.2%, so the print was much higher than what the New York Fed was looking for. But if you look at the internals, the biggest reason that we got 3.5% was because of the price index - the "deflator". Last quarter, when we had 4.2%, the government said that prices rose at an annualized rate of 3%. But in Q3, they said that prices only rose at an annualized rate of 1.7%.
Calling B.S. on that Number
Now I call B.S. on that number. I don't think we had that significant a slowdown in the annualized rate of inflation between the second quarter of the year and the third quarter of the year. If the 3% inflation rate had held steady, then Q2 GDP would have been just 2.2%. So, obviously not nearly as good a headline as 3.5%. We'll see if they revise this thing down after the election. Obviously the Republicans can still campaign on 3.5% even if it turns out that 3.5% was an over-estimate.
Largest Trade Deficit in History
I think new data is going to come out - particularly on trade. Donald Trump is out there again bragging about how we're winning the trade war. I talked about that. That was the topic of my last podcast because we just printed the worse Merchandise Trade Deficit on a monthly basis in U.S. history.
Trade Deficit Amounted to the Largest Subtraction from GDP in 33 Years
The trade deficit was so large in the third quarter that it subtracted 1.78 percentage points from the GDP number. That is the largest subtraction from GDP that we have had from trade during a quarter in 33 years. What happens, when you calculate GDP, you take government spending, you take consumer spending and business spending and then you add in your trade surplus or you subtract out your trade deficit. Now, since we never have a trade surplus, trade is always a net subtraction from the GDP.

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Jaksot(1085)

Something’s Gotta Give – Ep 798

Something’s Gotta Give – Ep 798

* Bond bulls haven’t thrown in the towel yet. * Biden wants to expand Obamacare. * Bitcoin moves from diamond hands to paper hands. Get an extra 3 months. https://expressvpn.com/gold Thanks Ladder. Go to https://ladderlife.com/gold today to see if you’re instantly approved Join my Locals community to get The Peter Schiff Show ad-free and a day early! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://peterschiff.locals.com/ to become a member. Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

10 Huhti 20221h 5min

It’s Much Later Than the Fed Thinks – Ep 797

It’s Much Later Than the Fed Thinks – Ep 797

* You can't have normal interest rates unless you have normal inflation. * Politicians are pandering to crypto enthusiasts. * Peter Thiel delivers pie in the sky speech at Miami Bitcoin Conference. * The only time government can do good, is when it undoes bad things it’s previously done. * The constitution doesn’t authorize the federal government to ban marijuana or any other drugs. Free $75 credit to boost your post at https://indeed.com/peter. Terms and conditions apply. Offer valid through 4/30/22 Cut your wireless bill to $15/month at https://mintmobile.com/gold Join me and other world class speakers on the Traders Summit live online conference 8th-10th April! Register FREE here with one click: https://tradersummit.net/event-2022/?ref=1012 Join my Locals community to get The Peter Schiff Show ad-free and a day early! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://peterschiff.locals.com/ to become a member. Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

8 Huhti 20221h 5min

Fed Doves Pretending to Be Inflation Hawks Are Chickenhawks – Ep 796

Fed Doves Pretending to Be Inflation Hawks Are Chickenhawks – Ep 796

* Bond market continues getting beaten up. * Lael Brainard spooks the markets with sudden hawk talk. * When you live in a glass White House, don’t throw stones. * Sanctions created a bottom and bull market for the Russian ruble. Join me and other world class speakers on the Traders Summit live online conference 8th-10th April! Register FREE here with one click: https://tradersummit.net/event-2022/?ref=1012 Join my Locals community to get The Peter Schiff Show ad-free and a day early! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://peterschiff.locals.com/ to become a member. Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

6 Huhti 202243min

Q1 Ends as Market and Economic Pain Begins – Ep 795

Q1 Ends as Market and Economic Pain Begins – Ep 795

* Fools bought the dip in March. * Don’t wait to sell in May and go away. * Cathie Wood turns down debate invitation. * Meme stocks pumped, peaked, and dumped. * Dollar’s tailwind in Q1 will become a headwind in Q2. * Bonds suffer their worst quarter in 40 years. * Commodities experience their best quarter in 32 years. * America is headed for stagflation. Go to https://bambee.com/gold to schedule your FREE HR audit. Thanks Athletic Greens. Go to https://athleticgreens.com/peter to get a FREE 1 year supply of immune-supporting Vitamin D AND 5 FREE travel packs with your first purchase. INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

2 Huhti 202256min

German CPI Exposes ECB’s Low Inflation Lies – Ep 794

German CPI Exposes ECB’s Low Inflation Lies – Ep 794

* Europe has a serious inflation problem. * The ECB says the cost of living isn’t rising fast enough. * Politicians and central bankers are using covid and Putin as scapegoats for inflation. * The bigger the government, the bigger the problems. * Gold and oil react to peace talks in Ukraine. Get $300 off and FREE shipping at https://liveouter.com/gold INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

31 Maalis 202244min

The Fed Will Be Turning Japanese, I Really Think So – Ep 793

The Fed Will Be Turning Japanese, I Really Think So – Ep 793

* Japanese will pay higher taxes, officially or through inflation. * All bonds, not just treasuries, will fall in price. * Biden calls for new wealth tax. Thanks https://avast.com! Thanks Ladder. Go to https://ladderlife.com/gold today to see if you’re instantly approved. INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

28 Maalis 202255min

Stock Investors Bathing in Bond Blood Bath – Ep 792

Stock Investors Bathing in Bond Blood Bath – Ep 792

* Bond market has worst quarter since 1980. * Recession will not take care of inflation. * Mortgage rates will double far sooner than income. * Gold stocks outperforming tech stocks is a sign of things changing. * Biden will prolong the Russian invasion to scapegoat inflation crisis. * Ukraine is fighting for sovereignty, not freedom. * Idiot reporter asks Biden stupidest question ever. Thanks https://avast.com! Go to https://athleticgreens.com/peter to get a FREE 1 year supply of immune-supporting Vitamin D AND 5 FREE travel packs with your first purchase. INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

26 Maalis 20221h 3min

Government Solutions Worsen Every Problem Government Creates – Ep 791

Government Solutions Worsen Every Problem Government Creates – Ep 791

* Stocks are going up and down while gold is just going up. * Bond prices are a function of government intervention and nothing else. * Bitcoin, tech, and meme stocks caught up in bear market rally. * Democrats’ Gas Rebate Act will fuel the inflation fire. Go to https://novo.co/gold and get your FREE business checking account INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

25 Maalis 202239min

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