Rising Prices Reflect Inflation Not Growth – Ep. 411

Rising Prices Reflect Inflation Not Growth – Ep. 411

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Dead Cat Bounce Flattens Out
The Dow Jones was down a little over 200 today, closing back below 26,000. NASDAQ composite down 124 - that's a bigger percentage decline, 1.7%, approximately. The Composite is being led lower by the tech stocks, particularly the FANG stocks once again taking a bite out of the market. The markets, though, were positive on the week, thanks to that huge relief rally that took place on Wednesday following the results of the midterm elections on Tuesday. But as I said on my Wednesday podcast, I thought that relief rally was just another dead cat bounce, that the fundamentals and the technicals still looked horrible for the U.S. stock market. I expected that rally to reverse, and of course that process had already begun Thursday and Friday. I think it will continue next week and I think the rest of those gains will be surrendered.
Higher than Expected PPI Sparked Sell-Off
The catalyst for today's selloff was a much hotter than expected Producer Price Index number. The PPI was up .6% in 1 month, which is a big gain. In fact this is the biggest jump in the PPI in 6 years. On a year-over-year basis, producer prices are up 2.8%. The market was looking for an increase half that size: .3%, Even year-over-year, when you strip out food and energy we were still up 2.6%, which is considerably above the 2% level that the Fed is looking at. Of course, the Fed is looking at consumer prices, not producer prices, but of course, nobody can consume what is not produced. These are really wholesale prices and of course they are going to get passed on to the consumer, so consumer prices are headed higher.
The Markets Don't Get It
But, again, the markets don't get it. Gold dropped the minute this number came out, gold dumped about $10. It was already down on the day, and then it sold off and never recovered. On the other hand, bonds were relatively stable when the number came out. Maybe rates ticked up just a smidgen, but actually bonds rallied on the day. Now maybe the weak stock market had a little bit to do with it, but the irony of it is that you get these numbers that show much more than expected inflation, and what do investors do? They sell gold and they buy U.S. treasuries. Now, that is the worse thing to do if there's more inflation. Gold is an inflation hedge. So, if inflation is picking up, you would want to own gold to protect yourself from inflation. On the other hand, the one asset that suffers the most, where the most value is eroded away because of inflation is a bond. A bond is specifically payments of cash in the future, and the more inflation we have, the less that future cash is worth. Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 4

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 4

Episode 4 Synopsis * Launch of the iPhone 6 * Surprising employment arbitration results * Housing market rolls over * Hotel minimum wage * World Bank head claims that QE works Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

28 Syys 20142h 23min

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 3

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 3

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 3 Synopsis: * FOMC: Janet Yellen's official statement and her response to her Q&A, later in the day * Market reaction to Yellen's statement, and the "walk" vs the "talk". * The Ali Baba IPO * The breakdown in the price of Bitcoin * My crazy email exchange with CNBC's Joe Kernen * Scotland votes to remain in the UK Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

21 Syys 20142h 4min

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 2

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 2

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 2 Synopsis * Economic Data - More weak data * Purchase applications index declined by 7.2% - biggest decline in 14 years * Treasury yields slightly up for the week * Retail sales up - Buying more or paying more? * auto purchases with cheap money * inflation not taken into account * Auto loans increasingly delinquent * Fed Policy * I'll admit to being wrong if the Fed raises interest rates back to normal and shrinks its balance sheet back to normal, as promised, and does not produce a financial crisis. * Interest Rates * Negative Interest Rates in Japan and in Switzerland * Inflation * Paul Krugman says we should be at 4% inflation and a minimum wage of $10.10 * Commentary on Henry Blodgett's inflation comments * Column from David K. Johnson on how corporations are getting rich by paying taxes * Employment * Jobless claims up, indicating a trend change * The Economy * Recognizing bubbles ahead of the crisis * Europe - Poll on Scottish independence * Social Issues: * The NBA in the hot seat for racism * Over-reaction to the Ray Rice story Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

15 Syys 20142h 3min

Schiff Radio Podcast Episode 1

Schiff Radio Podcast Episode 1

Schiff Radio Podcast Episode 1  Synopsis: * Wall Street foolishly dismisses August's horrible Jobs Report * ECB cuts rates in misguided push for higher inflation. * "Shrink-flation," what is it and why those using the term still don't get it. * Implications of Switzerland's coming gold reserve vote . * Protesting Fast food workers determined to put themselves out of work. * Does Alibaba's biggest IPO in history shows portent more interest in foreign stocks? * Countrywide's Anthony Mozilo is not the real villain. * NY Fed concedes 25% of college grads wasted their time and money. Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

9 Syys 20141h 52min

Schiff Radio – January 1, 2014

Schiff Radio – January 1, 2014

Happy Holidays!, Due to the holidays, Peter Schiff Show is airing best-of broadcasts. Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

2 Tammi 201449min

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