Finding the Market’s Most Overlooked Macro Themes and Profiting from Global Volatility | Harris Kupperman

Monetary Matters listeners can save $1000 on their first-year subscription to KEDM Research with coupon code mm2026: https://kedm.com/?add-to-cart=4175&apply_coupon=mm2026 Harris Kupperman and Roderick van Zuylen join Monetary Matters to discuss the intersection of thematic macro trends and event-driven catalysts. They dives deep into the severe supply-demand imbalances creating massive tailwinds for the refining industry, alongside the political shifts making Latin American equities a highly lucrative trade. They also discuss the rising volatility driving commodity brokers like Marex, and why the eldercare sector is primed for a breakout due to a halt in new facility construction. Follow KEDM Research on X: https://x.com/KEDM_COM Follow Harris Kupperman on X: https://x.com/hkuppy Follow Roderick van Zuylen on X: https://x.com/roojoo3 Follow Max Wiethe on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Jack Farley on X: https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 01:10 Refiners Theme Setup 02:06 Why Cracks Tightened 05:18 Picking Refiner Winners 08:26 Earnings Path Dependence 14:22 Analyst Estimates Mispriced 17:54 Latin America Tailwinds 20:57 Brazil Financials Bet 24:01 Finding Mispriced Setups 30:28 KEDM Offer 31:15 Long Vol Through Brokers 34:03 Marex and Stonex Tailwinds 34:33 Macro Drivers of Volumes 36:11 CFO Hedging Incentives 37:57 Prediction Markets Opportunity 39:32 Eldercare Theme Setup 44:53 When Themes Meet Catalysts 46:17 Investor Days as Signals 48:45 Fallen Angels Returns 53:15 AI Automation for Monitors 54:23 CEO Pay as a Tell 55:26 US Consumer Weakness This podcast is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, legal, tax, or other professional advice. Any views expressed are the personal opinions of the speakers and do not necessarily reflect the views of their employers, affiliates, clients, or any related parties. Listeners should conduct their own research and consult their own advisers before making any investment or financial decision. The appearance of any speaker, guest, company, product, or service on this podcast does not constitute an endorsement, recommendation, or approval by any participant or third party. Any investments discussed are illustrative only and are not intended to reflect any actual portfolio. Examples are meant to show aspects of an investment approach, and while some may highlight successful trades, not all trades are successful or profitable.