Charlie Kirk Case: The "95% DNA Match" Headline Is Wrong, Tyler Robinson's Hearing Ends Today, D4vd's Preliminary Date Set, and 16 Children

Charlie Kirk Case: The "95% DNA Match" Headline Is Wrong, Tyler Robinson's Hearing Ends Today, D4vd's Preliminary Date Set, and 16 Children

A four-case roundup. In Provo, Utah, the preliminary hearing for Tyler Robinson — charged with aggravated murder in the September 2025 shooting of Turning Point USA co-founder Charlie Kirk — reaches its final scheduled day, and Judge Tony Graf may rule on whether the case proceeds to trial. Garret Fisher explains why the widely circulated "95% DNA match" headline misdescribes FBI examiner Amanda Bakker's testimony: 95% was a mixture ratio, not a probability of identification, and the actual likelihood ratio reported from the courtroom is orders of magnitude larger. Robinson has not entered a plea; the state is seeking the death penalty. In Los Angeles, David Anthony Burke, the 21-year-old musician who records as D4vd, has a July 21st preliminary hearing date in the killing of 14-year-old Celeste Rivas Hernandez; he has pleaded not guilty to all counts. In Payette, Idaho, Andrea Shaw, 23, indicted on two counts of first-degree murder in the deaths of her 18-month-old twins, Dallas and Tyson, asks a judge on July 14th to reduce her $2 million bond; she maintains her innocence, and the children's cause of death has not been publicly released. And in Vinton County, Ohio, one of four adults charged with sixteen counts of endangering children — after sixteen children were found living in a 12-by-12-foot room — was released on a recognizance bond because the county could not afford his hospital care. All four have pleaded not guilty. This episode discusses the deaths and abuse of children. The Childhelp National Child Abuse Hotline is available 24 hours a day at 1-800-422-4453.

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