Oil Should Be $200 A Barrel Right Now — The Reason It Isn't Is Far Worse Than The War

Welcome to Impact Theory with Tom Bilyeu. In today’s deep dive, Tom unpacks why economic analysts missed the mark when predicting oil prices amid the ongoing war in Iran. Despite forecasts of oil soaring to $200 a barrel, prices unexpectedly plummeted—even as major shipping routes were disrupted and military tensions escalated. Tom takes us through a detailed timeline of the conflict, examines the surprising role of China’s shrinking oil demand, and reveals how outdated economic assumptions failed to account for a global downturn already brewing beneath the headlines. By connecting supply, demand, and the hidden frailties of both the Chinese and U.S. economies, Tom explains why falling demand—not war or supply shocks—now holds the key to understanding the global market’s future. Whether you’re an investor, entrepreneur, or simply curious about the forces shaping our world, this episode exposes the deeper story behind today’s economic anxiety and offers practical strategies for navigating uncertain times.

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