Civilization #6: Elite Overproduction and the Bronze Age Collapse

Civilization #6: Elite Overproduction and the Bronze Age Collapse

In this lecture Jiang Xueqin explores with his Chinese students why the Bronze Age collapsed.In the year 1200 BCE the world was globalized and prosperous. Nations shared people, ideas, and goods. A few decades later, the Bronze Age collapsed. Mycenaean Greece and Hittite Anatolia were destroyed, and the Sea Peoples ravaged Egypt. Scholars disagree on what caused this collapse. Some argued it was a northern invasion, while others believed there was a cataclysmic natural disaster. The scholarly consensus now is this systems collapse was brought on by a perfect storm of earthquakes, climate change, and internal revolts. Jiang Xueqin argues that Peter Turchin’s theory of “elite overproduction” is a more convincing theory. Once vibrant empires had devolved into rentier economies, and had become less resilient against external and internal shocks. Rather than being an outlier, the Bronze Age collapse would find itself repeated throughout human history.

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Global Meet-Up #4 (Austin, Texas): American Prophecy

Global Meet-Up #4 (Austin, Texas): American Prophecy

On Sunday, August 23rd, Professor Jiang discusses Trump's 3rd Term in Austin, Texas. Thanks to Jintae Cho for organizing the meet-up, and David Rhoads for filming the event.Please follow David's work ...

1 Syys 2h 28min

Global Meet-Up #2 (Los Angeles): The "End of the World" US Tour

Global Meet-Up #2 (Los Angeles): The "End of the World" US Tour

On Saturday, August 8, 2026, Professor Jiang spoke at the Kinn (https://thekinn.co/) in Venice, California. Many thanks to Ally Fekaiki for organizing and moderating the event. Because of his generosi...

18 Elo 1h 39min

 Global Meet-Up #3 (New York City): The Eschatology of Capitalism

Global Meet-Up #3 (New York City): The Eschatology of Capitalism

On Saturday, August 15, 2026, Professor Jiang visited New York City to deliver a lecture on why the Iran started, and where it is going. He explains the origins of transnational capitalism, and how se...

16 Elo 2h 35min

Emergency Discussion #2: The Blackmailing of Spain

Emergency Discussion #2: The Blackmailing of Spain

In this Saturday, August 1 Zoom discussion, we examine and discuss why and how 50,000 migrants flooded the Spanish enclave of Ceuta.

2 Elo 3h 2min

Emergency Discussion #1: Spain Wins World Cup, US Plans Ground Invasion of Iran

Emergency Discussion #1: Spain Wins World Cup, US Plans Ground Invasion of Iran

In this July 20, 2026 Zoom discussion, Professor Jiang discusses current events, and answers questions from Substack subscribers.

20 Heinä 2h 25min

Live with Predictive History #2: US-Iran War, World Cup

Live with Predictive History #2: US-Iran War, World Cup

A recording from Predictive History's live videohttps://predictivehistory.substack.co...

18 Heinä 1h 26min

Global Meet-Up #1 (Tokyo): Japan's Geo-Political Outlook

Global Meet-Up #1 (Tokyo): Japan's Geo-Political Outlook

On Tuesday, July 14, 2026, Professor Jiang visited Tokyo, and discussed Japan's geo-political outlook. What follows are highlights from the 3-hour event. Much appreciation to Keito Ochi for organizing...

17 Heinä 41min

Substack Founding Members Livestream #2

Substack Founding Members Livestream #2

A Zoom discussion covering the war in Iran, the fate of Europe, education reform, and more.

15 Heinä 2h 55min

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