August 28: Bitcoin Still Can’t Hold $80K as AI Infrastructure Creates a New Investment Trade

Bitcoin got as high as roughly $81,300 overnight and still couldn't maintain $80K. The battle is getting clearer. ETF demand remains strong, with another $242 million entering U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs Thursday and roughly $3 billion arriving during nine consecutive positive sessions, but traders keep taking profits above $80K. The real breakout probably requires Bitcoin to turn $80K into support and then clear roughly $81K-$83K.

The biggest macro catalyst today is Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole. Treasury yields are still elevated, inflation remains uncomfortable, and markets are even considering whether the Fed may have to raise rates again. A hawkish Warsh could strengthen the dollar and yields and make Bitcoin's $80K problem worse. A more balanced Warsh could give ETF buyers another opportunity to push through.

And then there's SanDisk, which may be one of the craziest stock stories of the AI boom. The stock is up more than 500% this year, but there is a real business transformation behind it: annual revenue rose 175%, data-center revenue surged 437%, Q4 gross margins reached nearly 85%, NAND prices exploded, and AI companies are consuming memory faster than manufacturers can supply it. The risk is that memory is still cyclical. SanDisk's run continues as long as AI demand and memory shortages remain stronger than new supply.

Happy HODLing.

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August 27: Bitcoin Is Still Fighting $80K, but the Fed Could Change the Story

Bitcoin finally broke $80K, but it could not hold it. That makes today's price action a rejection, not a confirmed breakout. The good news is that Bitcoin has real demand underneath it: U.S. spot ETFs...

27 Elo 15min

August 26: Bitcoin Keeps Bouncing Off $80K. What Will It Take to Break Through?

Bitcoin keeps bouncing off the $80,000 resistance level, and Matt explains why profit-taking is the biggest obstacle right now. Institutional investors are locking in strong gains, the short squeeze t...

26 Elo 12min

Bitcoin Just Changed the Picture

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25 Elo 5min

August 25: Bitcoin Breaks $80K, Gets Rejected, and Now the Real Test Begins

Bitcoin briefly broke above $80,000, reaching roughly $81,100, before profit-taking pushed it back into the upper $70Ks. Matt explains why $80K remains an important psychological resistance level, wit...

25 Elo 14min

August 22: Bitcoin Hits $79K, but $80K Is the First Real Test

Bitcoin is pushing against the $80,000 barrier after one of its strongest weeks in months, driven by improving Treasury-market liquidity, nearly $2 billion in Bitcoin ETF inflows, short liquidations, ...

24 Elo 16min

August 21: Bitcoin Hits $77K as Liquidity Floods Back Into Crypto

Bitcoin’s rally is accelerating, with BTC climbing toward $78,000 as improving global liquidity, heavy ETF buying, and another massive short squeeze drive the market higher. Matt breaks down roughly $...

21 Elo 15min

August 20: Bitcoin Rips Above $70K as Global Liquidity and Short Liquidations Hit the Market

Bitcoin finally broke out, surging above $70,000 as several catalysts hit at once. Matt looks at Trump’s White House meeting with crypto executives, Treasury moves supporting broader liquidity, and a ...

20 Elo 15min