SI133: Volatility Targeting ft. Rob Carver

Rob Carver joins us today to discuss whether it’s a good idea to adjust your strategy during different periods of volatility, Bitcoin’s expected role as an inflation-hedge, whether commodities are more suited to shorter-term trading than other markets, the NFT frenzy & its credibility as an investment asset, volume analysis and whether it can be play worthwhile part in a Trend Following system, and why volatility may not be a good measure of risk.

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In this episode, we discuss:

• The case for and against Volatility Targeting
• Whether Bitcoin can offset any risks from a high-inflationary environment
• Whether commodities can be suitable for long-term strategies
• The credibility of NFTs as an asset class
• Volume analysis as a trading signal
• Volatility as a measure of risk

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Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 – Intro

02:24 – Macro recap from Niels

04:17 – Weekly review of performance

31:32 – Q1; Dennis: How can a retail trader with limited capital access the commodity markets?

41:47 - Q2; Dennis: How would you deal with big intraday volatility such as in 2020?

51:02 - Q3; Cat: Is volume analysis overrated?

56:16 - Q4; Gustavo: Why should we be worried about volatility if it is going our way?

01:05:52 - Q5; Emra: How often should you recalibrate your system? Why do you recommend not locking in profits early, after unusually sharp portfolio increases?

01:16:08 – Benchmark performance update

01:12:25 – Recommended listening or reading this week: Howard Marks’ latest memo

01:27:35 – Recommended listening or reading this week: MacroVoices Podcast featuring Juliette Declercq

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