E141: State of Series A's, VC dry powder, IPO window opens + more with Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner

(0:00) Sacks is back! (1:01) Sacks recaps his week off (3:13) Elon finalizes Twitter deal, immediate content moderation decisions, platform potential (31:19) Meta's historic bet on VR and stock price predicament, governance structure, and more (1:02:52) Big tech's 2022 decline, macro outlook, market breakdown (1:06:32) Ukraine update: Progressives call for diplomacy, then flip flop, chip sanctions on China (1:27:29) Science corner: Gut microbiome advancements Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TWTR:NYSE https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1586059953311137792 https://medium.com/@alt.cap/time-to-get-fit-an-open-letter-from-altimeter-to-mark-zuckerberg-and-the-meta-board-of-392d94e80a18 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/META:NASDAQ https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTSJOL https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/EFFR https://thehill.com/homenews/house/3702113-progressives-urge-biden-to-push-harder-for-ukraine-peace-talks https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2022/10/26/progressives-thought-crime-on-ukraine-00063621 https://twitter.com/BillAckman/status/1581831084219645952

29 Loka 20221h 36min

(0:00) Bestie intros: Brad Gerstner joins in place of Sacks, and brigadoons! (2:02) Ye's current situation and acquisition of Parler (14:17) Snap drops ~30%, corporate misgovernance, super-voting shares (32:53) Macro outlook, Stability AI $101M fundraise, VC fund metrics (1:05:38) The difficulty of active stock picking and valuing businesses (1:21:38) Lyft vs Gavin Newsom on Prop 30, PSA from Chamath Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SNAP:NYSE https://www.statista.com/statistics/545967/snapchat-app-dau https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2022/10/20/musk-twitter-acquisition-staff-cuts https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-17/digital-media-firm-stability-ai-raises-funds-at-1-billion-value https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1520643441994387456 https://www.wsj.com/articles/lyft-battles-gavin-newsom-over-california-measure-to-fund-evs-11665864256 https://voterguide.sos.ca.gov/propositions/30 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GFDEGDQ188S

22 Loka 20221h 41min

(0:00) Bestie intros are back! (6:35) Reflecting on the first 100 episodes and what makes the show special (29:12) Fan questions: Building in a downturn, how to be successful in tech, importance of uncapped upside, and more (53:43) Ukraine/Russia update: Nuclear escalation, when to draw a line in the sand, how inflation could deescalate any WWIII scenario (1:14:57) Reacting to Amazon CEO Andy Jassy's comments at an all-hands meeting earlier this week, VC firms buying public tech stocks Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.businessinsider.com/leaked-amazon-slides-instruct-employees-to-double-down-frugality-2022-10 https://www.cnbc.com/2022/10/12/amazon-cost-cuts-under-andy-jassy-reflect-new-reality-after-25-years.html https://www.wsj.com/articles/venture-firms-are-betting-on-public-tech-stocks-as-startup-market-stalls-11665653404 https://www.nytimes.com/live/2022/10/13/business/inflation-cpi-report https://www.nytimes.com/2022/10/12/opinion/china-semiconductors-exports.html

14 Loka 20221h 29min

0:00 Bestie intros! 1:34 Breaking down major cheating scandals: chess, poker, fishing 16:13 Twitter deal updates 30:05 AI making rapid advancements: Tesla AI Day, Meta's text-to-video tool, where this all leads 49:45 Biden pardons all prior federal offenses of marijuana possession 59:24 SCOTUS will hear cases regarding Section 230, common carrier, algorithmic recommendations Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.wsj.com/articles/chess-cheating-hans-niemann-report-magnus-carlsen-11664911524 https://twitter.com/Billyhottakes/status/1576246821139070976 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-04/musk-proposes-to-proceed-with-twitter-deal-at-54-20-a-share https://makeavideo.studio https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTSJOL https://twitter.com/POTUS/status/1578097875480895489 https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2018/12/22/18146338/marijuana-legalization-2018-win https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-03/social-media-company-liability-draws-us-supreme-court-scrutiny

7 Loka 20221h 25min

0:00 Bestie intros! 1:36 Big tech starts making cuts, plus what this means for the broader economy and startups 31:09 Global debt numbers, Fed incompetency 54:06 RIP Coolio 1:00:30 Russia / Ukraine update Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-29/meta-announces-hiring-freeze-warns-employees-of-restructuring https://www.google.com/finance/quote/META:NASDAQ https://www.google.com/finance/quote/AAPL:NASDAQ https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GOOG:NASDAQ https://www.cnbc.com/2022/09/28/stanley-druckenmiller-sees-hard-landing-in-2023-with-a-possible-deeper-recession-than-many-expect.html https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NFLX:NASDAQ https://www.mckinsey.com/capabilities/mckinsey-digital/our-insights/if-youre-going-to-build-something-from-scratch-this-might-be-as-good-a-time-as-in-a-decade https://www.forbes.com/sites/jonathanponciano/2021/05/11/billionaire-investor-druckenmiller-blasts-feds-radical-stimulus-policy-warns-it-risks-stock-bubble-blowing-up https://www.cnbc.com/2022/09/28/cnbc-transcript-duquesne-family-office-chairman-ceo-stanley-druckenmiller-speaks-with-cnbcs-joe-kernen-live-during-the-cnbc-delivering-alpha-conference-today.html https://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=GBP&to=USD&view=1M https://www.bls.gov/charts/job-openings-and-labor-turnover/unemp-per-job-opening.htm https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTSJOL https://www.wsj.com/articles/a-nation-of-quitters-great-enabling-exodus-working-age-men-parents-stimulus-covid-quit-retirement-bohemian-videogame-11664112795 https://goop.com/subscribe https://www.reuters.com/world/putin-host-kremlin-ceremony-annexing-parts-ukraine-2022-09-29 https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/zelenskiy-says-ukraine-applying-nato-membership-2022-09-30 https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/qa-nord-stream-gas-sabotage-whos-being-blamed-why-2022-09-30 https://www.aa.com.tr/en/economy/former-polish-foreign-minister-thanks-us-for-damaging-nord-stream-pipeline/2696530 https://www.theamericanconservative.com/should-america-go-all-in-on-ukraine

1 Loka 20221h 19min

0:00 Bestie intros! 1:03 SPAC updates, state of the public/private markets 20:26 US VCs have $290B in dry powder and raised a record amount in H1 2022, is the market nearing a bottom? 31:14 Risks of backing Putin into a corner, Russia's end game, conditions for conflict 50:45 Government-heavy climate plans, Dilbert/ESG backlash 1:01:20 Poker plans, chess cheating scandal Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://youtu.be/AODfsBMGzGQ https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1461453308623659010 https://marketbrief.edweek.org/marketplace-k-12/byjus-releases-delayed-audit-report-showing-large-losses-2021 https://pitchbook.com/news/reports/q2-2022-pitchbook-nvca-venture-monitor https://techcrunch.com/2022/05/10/tiger-global-hit-by-17b-hedge-fund-losses-has-nearly-depleted-its-latest-vc-fund https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/10/world/europe/russia-ukraine-retreat-putin.html https://warfarehistorynetwork.com/douglas-macarthur-atomic-bombs-will-win-the-korean-war/ https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/10/world/europe/russia-ukraine-retreat-putin.html https://sites.tufts.edu/css/mip-research/#:~:text=According%20to%20our%20data%2C%20the,these%20missions%20occurred%20after%201999 https://www.brown.edu/news/2021-09-01/costsofwar https://www.wsj.com/articles/gavin-newsoms-2024-climate-platform-california-40-climate-bills-energy-electricity-blackouts-11663702766 https://twitter.com/UncommonYield/status/1572743593508638722 https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1572399621389062145

23 Syys 20221h 24min

0:00 Bestie intro! 0:59 Adobe agrees to acquire Figma for $20B 19:21 How Adobe might bundle Figma, regulatory implications 38:59 Analyzing Google's "one off" acquisition of YouTube 49:33 Friedberg breaks down the latest TPB SPAC news 1:00:37 Pfizer sued for Title VI violation, substantial legislation change in 2022 1:05:07 FedEx drops after CEO says we're in a global recession, Russia/Ukraine update, UN chimes in on global famine Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ADBE:NASDAQ https://www.figma.com/blog/a-new-collaboration-with-adobe https://www.cnbc.com/2022/09/15/fedex-ceo-says-he-expects-the-economy-to-enter-a-worldwide-recession.html https://justthenews.com/government/courts-law/pfizer-sued-racial-bias-over-minorities-only-fellowship https://twitter.com/LizAnnSonders/status/1570711614277419009 https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/13/us/politics/ukraine-russia-pentagon.html https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/exclusive-war-began-putin-rejected-ukraine-peace-deal-recommended-by-his-aide-2022-09-14/ https://www.axios.com/2022/09/16/un-345-million-starvation-risk-ukraine-war-worsens-crisis

17 Syys 20221h 31min

0:00 Bestie intros: Luxury brand influencers, Birthday Party stories and more! 3:34 Jason reflects on the final Kara Swisher-hosted Code Conference, All-In media and hit piece requests 12:53 Passing of Queen Elizabeth II 15:39 Winter is Coming: Europe's energy crisis, potential fracturing of the Western Alliance, how we got here, endgame, and more 53:03 Kim Kardashian's new PE firm, content as the dominant distribution channel, what will mega-influencers do to legacy brands 1:03:46 Overprescribing of amphetamines to children Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/theallinpod/status/1568294657632907268 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FfJv9QYrlwg https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/pages/europe-energy-crisis-is-at-a-tipping-point.html https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/truss-ukraine-ally-tory-leadership-race-b2151390.html https://www.voanews.com/a/scholz-g-7-will-support-ukraine-for-as-long-as-necessary-/6623196.html https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/macron-vows-to-prevent-russia-from-winning-war-in-ukraine/2022/09/01/ba57cb7a-29f3-11ed-a90a-fce4015dfc8f_story.html https://twitter.com/aaronjmate/status/1566484400224993280

10 Syys 20221h 15min