In Moscow's Shadows 116: Putin's "Forever War" (which isn't)

In Moscow's Shadows 116: Putin's "Forever War" (which isn't)

The easy cliche that the Ukraine conflict may become a 'forever war' is a convenient notion for Putin - it may help dismay his enemies, and provides an organising principle for 'late Putinism.' To paraphrase the SF game Warhammer 40,000, in the grim darkness of the present, there is only war. Yet, of course, no war last forever and, in particular, Russians themselves don't seem to be buying this notion. Even government pollsters suggest only a small minority are really enthused by the war - ...

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Jaksot(269)

In Moscow's Shadows 59: Imagining a Ukrainian peace deal

In Moscow's Shadows 59: Imagining a Ukrainian peace deal

It may well be, as US/UK leaders are saying, that it is too late, that Putin is determined to wage war on Ukraine, but even as we assiduously wargame the potential routes of advance and attack, we sho...

20 Helmi 202231min

In Moscow's Shadows 58: Ukrainian thoughts, welcome to stagnation, and more 2022 predictions

In Moscow's Shadows 58: Ukrainian thoughts, welcome to stagnation, and more 2022 predictions

With Schrodinger's War both imminent and unthinkable there is, to be blunt, only so much that can usefully be said about Russia and Ukraine. I start with a few observations on whether insiders are try...

14 Helmi 202232min

In Moscow's Shadows 57: Who's Trapping Whom on Ukraine, and some 2022 Predictions for Russia

In Moscow's Shadows 57: Who's Trapping Whom on Ukraine, and some 2022 Predictions for Russia

I spin a post on the Nezygar Telegram channel out to explore the current uncertain state of play over Ukraine, covering topics from the current US claims of what its intelligence says about both Zelen...

30 Tammi 202252min

Twelve Days of Shadowy Christmas 2021-22 (6): A Christmas Scandal

Twelve Days of Shadowy Christmas 2021-22 (6): A Christmas Scandal

One of the short bonuses provided to Patrons over the 2021-22 Christmas and New Year season, released generally a month later. A Christmas tale of villainy and corruption. There are all kinds of rumo...

28 Tammi 202211min

Twelve Days of Shadowy Christmas: 24 December 2021: Dmitry Mironov

Twelve Days of Shadowy Christmas: 24 December 2021: Dmitry Mironov

One of the short bonuses provided to Patrons over the 2021-22 Christmas and New Year season, released generally a month later. Who is Lt. Gen. Dmitry Mironov? It may prove worth knowing about this bo...

24 Tammi 202213min

In Moscow's Shadows 56: Jaw-Jaw so Far, not War-War (brief thoughts on the state of play)

In Moscow's Shadows 56: Jaw-Jaw so Far, not War-War (brief thoughts on the state of play)

After the Blinken-Lavrov talks, a brief one-segment podcast with a few thoughts on the current state of the dialogue, the risks of conflict, and the chances that Moscow will formally recognise the Don...

22 Tammi 202222min

Twelve Days of Shadowy Christmas 2021-22 (7): Russia’s Planet Business in 2022

Twelve Days of Shadowy Christmas 2021-22 (7): Russia’s Planet Business in 2022

One of the short bonuses provided to Patrons over the 2021-22 Christmas and New Year season, released later: usually a month, in this case a fortnight, as I think it's worth hearing early in the year!...

12 Tammi 202214min

In Moscow's Shadows 55: Kazakhstan, through the Russian lens

In Moscow's Shadows 55: Kazakhstan, through the Russian lens

A Russian-led force deploying into Kazakhstan has inevitably had some people talking invasion, some stabilisation. I make no claims to being a Kazakhstan expert and look forward to people who are havi...

9 Tammi 202239min

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