E168: Can Google save itself? AI takes over Customer Support, Reddit IPO teardown

(0:00) Bestie intros: Friedberg's interview with NASA Astronaut Woody Hoburg, live from the ISS! (2:58) All-In Tequila update (10:04) Nvidia smashes earnings, GPU market outlook (37:39) Arm files for IPO: positive sign or plank walk? Plus: State of the IPO market (49:51) Sacks on current investable metrics right now in VC (55:33) GOP Debate breakdown: Vivek's statement, DeSantis's strategy, Haley & Christie solidify positions (1:39:46) Vivek's comments on the Climate Agenda (1:47:07) Prigozhin crash   Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/friedberg/status/1694506279954526487 https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1693441068036169785 https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1693524941721731189 https://www.wine.com/product/21-seeds-tequila-trio/633617 https://www.villadeste.com https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NVDA:NASDAQ https://nvidianews.nvidia.com/news/nvidia-announces-financial-results-for-second-quarter-fiscal-2024 https://companiesmarketcap.com https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1694457666289225776 https://electrek.co/2023/06/21/tesla-dojo-supercomputer-is-finally-coming-next-month https://prospect.org/features/great-telecom-implosion https://www.statista.com/chart/6780/only-5-countries-have-a-bigger-gdp-than-california https://twitter.com/OpenAI/status/1694062483462594959 https://openai.com/blog/gpt-3-5-turbo-fine-tuning-and-api-updates https://twitter.com/nathanbenaich/status/1694073194351648932 https://commoncrawl.org/about/team https://adsense.googleblog.com/2005/10/spotlight-on-weblogs-inc.html https://twitter.com/twistartups/status/1694399138194952363 https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1973239/000119312523216983/d393891df1.htm https://www.theverge.com/2023/7/13/23793969/adobe-figma-merger-acquisition-uk-cma-regulator-investigation https://venturebeat.com/games/microsoft-signs-15-year-cloud-streaming-deal-with-ubisoft-in-latest-bid-to-win-activision-blizzard-approval https://www.stonealgo.com https://youtu.be/f51Yd9h9ZXo https://www.natesilver.net/p/ramaswamy-and-the-physics-of-multi https://www.cnn.com/2023/08/04/politics/cnn-poll-ukraine/index.html https://www.mediaite.com/politics/whopping-ninety-six-percent-oppose-supporting-ukraine-against-russia-in-turning-points-action-straw-poll

25 Elo 20231h 52min

(0:00) Sacks' big night (2:56) Sacks on spirits (14:27) "Rich Men North of Richmond" goes viral and debuts at #1 on Apple Music, upward mobility issues in America, solutions (53:01) Michael Burry's bet against the market: overblown? (58:33) Real estate capital crunch (1:12:26) Trump's newest indictment (1:23:31) What Adyen's big drop means for Stripe's valuation Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://youtu.be/sqSA-SY5Hro https://www.azlyrics.com/lyrics/oliveranthony/richmennorthofrichmond.html https://ricochet.com/942803/qotd-solzhenitsyn-on-the-liars https://www.advisorperspectives.com/dshort/updates/2021/10/25/updated-u-s-household-incomes-a-50-year-perspective https://www.cnn.com/2023/08/15/investing/michael-burry-stock-market-crash/index.html https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1649339/000090514823000689/xslForm13F_X02/informationtable.xml https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MORTGAGE30US https://www.wsj.com/articles/wall-street-is-ready-to-scoop-up-commercial-real-estateon-the-cheap-6edac64f https://twitter.com/rothcre/status/1691910066952351963 https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1691789175786246246 https://d3i6fh83elv35t.cloudfront.net/static/2023/08/CRIMINAL-INDICTMENT-Trump-Fulton-County-GA.pdf https://www.lawfaremedia.org/article/what-the-heck-happened-in-coffee-county-georgia https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ADYEY:OTCMKTS

18 Elo 20231h 30min

(0:00) Bestie intros: Friedberg's bad haircut (1:17) Welcome BG^2! Biography recommendations and film talk (22:27) VC market update: State of Series A's (33:43) Dry powder misconceptions, marking incentives (48:57) IPO window starting to open, IPO down rounds, incentives to go public (1:03:17) Cyclical venture cycles, managing distributions, benchmarking VC performance vs public market (1:22:26) Tragic Maui wildfires, extreme temperatures (1:26:11) Macro picture: inflation cools, deflation risk? Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg https://twitter.com/altcap https://twitter.com/bgurley Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://youtu.be/xmYekD6-PZ8 https://www.amazon.com/Setting-Table-Transforming-Hospitality-Business/dp/0060742755 https://www.amazon.com/Steve-Jobs-Walter-Isaacson/dp/147770146X https://www.amazon.com/Elon-Musk-Spanish-Walter-Isaacson/dp/B0CBTHK86N https://www.amazon.com/Good-Great-Some-Companies-Others/dp/0066620996 https://www.amazon.com/Man-Arena-Selected-Writings-Roosevelt/dp/0765306700 https://www.amazon.com/Shoe-Dog-Memoir-Creator-Nike/dp/1501135910 https://www.amazon.com/Alexander-Hamilton-Ron-Chernow/dp/1594200092 https://www.amazon.com/Something-Autobiography-Vintage-Akira-Kurosawa/dp/B0C3D5NDJX https://www.amazon.com/Born-Standing-Up-Comics-Martin/dp/B017QUU3EO https://www.amazon.com/Writing-Memoir-Craft-Stephen-King/dp/1439193630 https://www.amazon.com/Autobiography-Malcolm-told-Alex-Haley/dp/0345379756 https://www.linkedin.com/posts/peterjameswalker_cartadata-seriesa-valuations-activity-7092542118803488768-vOcY https://www.theinformation.com/articles/venture-firms-still-writing-small-checks-despite-271-billion-in-dry-powder https://twitter.com/bgurley/status/1688605654188224512 https://finance.yahoo.com/chart/SN https://www.google.com/finance/quote/CAVA:NYSE https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SRFM https://twitter.com/altcap/status/1686086247029055489 https://www.wsj.com/articles/university-endowments-mint-billions-in-golden-era-of-venture-capital-11632907802 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hhy7JUinlu0 https://twitter.com/gokulr/status/1680006171149869056 https://www.statista.com/statistics/277501/venture-capital-amount-invested-in-the-united-states-since-1995 https://www.bls.gov/charts/consumer-price-index/consumer-price-index-by-category-line-chart.htm https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2023-08-10/disinflation-wave-the-bloomberg-open-americas-edition https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/09/business/china-economy-inflation.html https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1689010884062904320

11 Elo 20231h 36min

(0:00) Bestie intros! (0:53) LK-99 breakdown (24:39) Funding landscape for breakthrough science, sclerotic establishments, boomer incumbents (46:04) Fitch downgrades US debt rating (1:09:12) Trump's newest indictment Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://arxiv.org/ftp/arxiv/papers/2307/2307.12008.pdf https://arxiv.org/pdf/2307.12037.pdf https://manifold.markets/QuantumObserver/will-the-lk99-room-temp-ambient-pre?r=RWxpZXplcll1ZGtvd3NreQ https://twitter.com/667keos/status/1686490898480173056 https://twitter.com/iris_IGB/status/1685731177523449856 https://twitter.com/VCBrags/status/1684591950387716097 https://stanforddaily.com/2023/07/19/stanford-president-resigns-over-manipulated-research-will-retract-at-least-3-papers https://www.socialcapital.com/ideas/2021-annual-letter https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)30418-9/fulltext https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-07-24/sam-altman-valley-vcs-bet-48-million-on-blood-testing-startup https://www.fitchratings.com/research/sovereigns/fitch-downgrades-united-states-long-term-ratings-to-aa-from-aaa-outlook-stable-01-08-2023 https://www.npr.org/2023/08/02/1178215888/fitch-downgrade-credit-rating-deficits-debt-economy https://twitter.com/BillAckman/status/1686906272937869312 https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/jy1670 https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2023/07/22/gop-social-security-trump-rivals-cuts https://www.commondreams.org/news/republicans-cut-social-security https://sgp.fas.org/crs/misc/RS22331.pdf https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MORTGAGE30US https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTSJOL https://apnews.com/trump-election-2020-indictment https://apnews.com/article/trump-indicted-jan-6-investigation-special-counsel-debb59bb7a4d9f93f7e2dace01feccdc https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-r/2024/national https://www.reuters.com/world/us/new-defendant-added-trump-classified-documents-case-court-papers-2023-07-27 https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/03/briefing/trump-indictment.html https://twitter.com/mtracey/status/1686843918317486081

4 Elo 20231h 29min

(0:00) All-In in Italy!: Recapping Chamath's wedding (11:55) Discourse around obesity and weight loss in the US (21:56) Are there too many VCs? (38:18) Actors/Writers unions vs. Corporate Hollywood, endgame for the modern Hollywood machine (54:07) Equity participations vs. unions, ownership upside vs. downside protections (1:05:04) Potential impact of room-temp superconductors   Special thanks to our Italian audio/video team!: https://twitter.com/domdalmatico https://www.mattiacaruso.com   Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg   Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast   Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg   Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect   Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1684176015948488704 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sPelOnd7Sik https://www.vice.com/en/article/4a3az9/venture-capital-vcs-existential-too-many https://twitter.com/jason/status/1681985828820766720 https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1679765658517610496 https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1679935918164135936 https://arxiv.org/pdf/2307.12008.pdf

27 Heinä 20231h 17min

(0:00) Bestie intros! (1:08) Vivek's background, corporate political / ESG distractions, why he's running for president (19:16) Energy policy, unemployment work requirements, immigration (30:24) Foreign policy: How to handle Ukraine/Russia and Taiwan/China (44:46) Media strategy, Silicon Valley Bank's implosion (54:09) Thoughts on Trump (1:06:16) Campaign strategy, establishment appeal (1:14:10) Social issues: Abolishing the DOE, abortion, trans rights (1:29:31) Defense budget, Military Industrial Complex, GOP division over Ukraine (1:39:27) Bestie update! (1:41:33) Post-interview debrief Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow Vivek Ramaswamy: https://twitter.com/VivekGRamaswamy Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2023/07/20/vivek-ramaswamy-pete-buttigieg-00107193 https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-r/2024/national/ https://twitter.com/PatrickRuffini/status/1680204156953407488 https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1680205700738211840 https://twitter.com/charliekirk11/status/1680665098765975558

21 Heinä 20232h 10min

(0:00) Addressing the podcast hack (2:55) Macro picture: inflation cools, what happens to rates, market sentiment, soft landing, tech run-up (20:34) Consumer sentiment: demand crash coming? (30:31) BREAKING: Ripple gets big win in SEC case, token rips (36:33) Lina Khan's losing streak, "spray and pray" strategy, overzealous regulators (51:08) EV supply/demand mismatch (1:04:58) Fraught NATO summit, ammo crisis, Sweden joins NATO (1:18:52) Science Corner: New paper on reversing cellular aging Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.wsj.com/articles/consumer-price-index-report-june-inflation-ede7f4b1 https://fortune.com/2023/06/05/larry-summers-floats-idea-half-point-interest-rate-hike-july https://www.wsj.com/articles/as-inflation-goes-down-soft-landing-odds-improve-5166e6af https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE https://www.wsj.com/articles/disney-world-crowds-universal-studios-florida-36b0a579 https://www.statista.com/statistics/290673/auto-loan-rates-usa https://www.axios.com/2023/07/10/used-cars-prices-us-economy https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/DIS/disney/revenue https://www.reuters.com/legal/us-judge-says-sec-lawsuit-vs-ripple-labs-can-proceed-trial-some-claims-2023-07-13 https://www.wsj.com/articles/microsoft-activision-blizzard-deal-ftc-hearing-d42675f1 https://www.ftc.gov/advice-guidance/competition-guidance/guide-antitrust-laws/single-firm-conduct/predatory-or-below-cost-pricing https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2023/07/13/ftc-openai-chatgpt-sam-altman-lina-khan https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1678526061154295808 https://www.axios.com/2023/07/10/unsold-electric-cars-are-piling-up-on-dealer-lots https://mdevelopers.com/blog/technology-adoption-curve-everything-that-you-need-to-know https://www.investing.com/analysis/brics-countries-planning-new-goldbacked-currency-200639843 https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/blogs/economic-policy/how-brics-countries-have-overtaken-the-g7-in-gdp-based-on-ppps https://moderndiplomacy.eu/2023/05/24/more-than-30-countries-want-to-join-the-brics https://www.google.com/finance/quote/BTC-USD https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1679141703603703808 https://twitter.com/tobi/status/1679114154756669441 https://www.wsj.com/articles/sweden-races-to-secure-turkish-support-for-nato-bid-2452c14f https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1679229577732792320 https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/jun/14/ukraine-will-not-be-offered-timeline-for-nato-membership-at-summit-in-july https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/07/11/zelensky-nato-ukraine-membership-timeline https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/12/world/europe/uk-ukraine-ben-wallace.html https://www.wsj.com/articles/american-munitions-shortage-ukraine-joe-biden-pentagon-defense-military-congress-4e6d6576 https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1678463164864667658 https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12276665/President-claims-Zelensky-NEEDS-cluster-munitions-running-ammunition.html https://edition.cnn.com/2023/07/07/politics/joe-biden-cluster-munitions-ukraine/index.html https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russia-says-it-may-use-similar-weapons-if-us-supplies-cluster-bombs-ukraine-2023-07-11 https://www.cbsnews.com/news/nato-countries-maps-list-membership-requirements https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jun/29/russia-condemns-nato-invitation-finland-sweden https://www.aging-us.com/article/204896/pdf

14 Heinä 20231h 28min

(0:00) We hacked the pod! Jcal is on vaca (5:34) Meta launches Threads (17:15) Chat AI interest in decline? (28:36) Fed meeting minutes, economic data and outlook, and EU risk (56:07) Florida Senate Bill 1718, jobs, and immigration debate (1:21:48) Chinese balloon: political farce? (1:31:47) Gerstner Science Corner: preventative heart health Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

9 Heinä 20231h 38min