185: How to avoid creating trading strategies that degrade quickly - Timothy Masters

185: How to avoid creating trading strategies that degrade quickly - Timothy Masters

Numerical Computing specialist and author Timothy Masters joins us (in his only ever interview) to discuss trading strategy development and validation techniques, including:

  • Why trading strategies fall apart in live trading,
  • How luck impacts trading strategy results and the impact of selecting the 'best' trading system,
  • Why trades in an out of sample dataset are NOT representative of future trades,
  • 3 ways to use Monte Carlo Permutation tests in trading strategy development to avoid overfitting, evaluate strategy robustness and assess the quality of your strategy development process,
  • The danger of using out of sample trades to compute the probability of drawdowns,
  • Entropy and information of indicators and why it's important to strategy development,
  • How stationarity really impacts trading strategies and what strategy developers can do about it,
  • Using Walk Forward to determine how robust a strategy is in the market,
  • Incomplete Beta Distribution to track strategy deterioration,
  • Bootstrapping, granular Profit Factor, the predictive ability of technical indicators, counter-trend trading and much more.

Disclaimer:
Trading in the financial markets involves a substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. All content produced by Better System Trader is for informational or educational purposes only and does not constitute trading or investment advice. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Jaksot(242)

002: Brent Penfold discusses trading principles, money management, risk of ruin and how to overcome greed, hope and fear in trading

002: Brent Penfold discusses trading principles, money management, risk of ruin and how to overcome greed, hope and fear in trading

In this episode with Brent Penfold we cover fundamental topics that impacts traders of all levels, from beginner to advanced. We talk about some of the psychological issues traders face, the principles all traders need to accept to be successful, that elusive Holy Grail of trading and an extremely important mathematical concept that can identify if you’re going to blow up your account, so don’t miss that. The guest also provides actionable tips and tricks to overcome these issues along with a simple method to determine if a strategy is broken, which could save you lots of money and stress. Topics discussed: How to trades 24 markets actively and be finished by 9:30am The simple reason why most traders fail The principles all traders need to accept to be successful The one mathematical measure that can tell if you'll blow up your account - don't miss this! The Holy Grail The most important aspect of trading How to remove hope from your trading How to combat greed The impact fear can have on your trading and a hot tip to overcome it A simple method to determine if your strategy is broken, this tip could save you loads of money!   Disclaimer: Trading in the financial markets involves a substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. All content produced by Better System Trader is for informational or educational purposes only and does not constitute trading or investment advice. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

19 Huhti 20151h 12min

000: Welcome to Better System Trader

000: Welcome to Better System Trader

Welcome to Better System Trader, the podcast where expert traders share tips, tricks and actionable insights to improve trading results. In this episode I introduce Better System Trader, what its all about, what to expect, and a little background on myself.   Disclaimer: Trading in the financial markets involves a substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. All content produced by Better System Trader is for informational or educational purposes only and does not constitute trading or investment advice. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

11 Huhti 20155min

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