Resetting our Long-Term Expectations for the Markets as "Sound Money" Returns

Resetting our Long-Term Expectations for the Markets as "Sound Money" Returns

Joe Davis, Vanguard's Chief Global Economist, explains why the return of "Sound Money", with interest rates higher than the rate of inflation, will be good news for long-term investors, but will mean more muted returns for stocks than the past ten years. Plus, why he fears the Fed may cut too soon in 2024, bringing back memories of 1967. And, 2023 delivered some banner returns for certain stocks across sectors. Is this the beginning of new leadership in the stock market, or were those just last year's charms? LINKS FOR SHOW NOTES https://www.investopedia.com/what-can-investors-expect-for-the-economy-stock-market-bonds-and-crypto-in-2024-8414327 https://insight.factset.com/sp-500-cy-2024-earnings-preview-analysts-expect-double-digit-earnings-growth https://www.investopedia.com/what-to-expect-in-the-markets-this-week-8420755 https://www.investopedia.com/terms/j/januarybarometer.asp https://investor.vanguard.com/investor-resources-education/news/vanguard-economic-market-outlook-2024-global-summary https://corporate.vanguard.com/content/corporatesite/us/en/corp/what-we-think/bios.html Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Jaksot(284)

Going Back to School with Stock Market Fundamentals

Going Back to School with Stock Market Fundamentals

Brian Feroldi, the author of, "Why Does the Stock Market Go Up?", joins the show as we go back to the fundamentals of the stock market and how to invest for the long term as the market switches cycles. Plus, we dig into the charts and indicators that tell us if this rally is for real, or just another bear trap. And, Benjamin Graham explains why the experts often get it so wrong in a rare piece of footage of The Intelligent Investor. LINKS FOR SHOW NOTES https://www.investopedia.com/terms/b/breadth-thrust-indicator.asp https://www.investopedia.com/what-to-expect-for-the-markets-next-week-4584772 http://mindset.brianferoldi.com/ https://www.amazon.com/Brian-Feroldi/e/B09NRXZ9SG https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/reverserepurchaseagreement.asp https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yuqLGAbFurE Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

15 Elo 202230min

Live from InvestFest with Downtown Josh Brown, BitBoy Crypto, and Lamar Wilson

Live from InvestFest with Downtown Josh Brown, BitBoy Crypto, and Lamar Wilson

The Express steamed down to Atlanta for InvestFest by Earn Your Leisure, and we caught up with Downtown Josh Brown to talk about why this market is the ideal time for young investors to learn the right lessons to build wealth in the future. Plus, how to make sense of the Crypto Winter with BitBoy Crypto, and Lamar Wilson, founder of the Black Bitcoin Billionaire Network. And, more government spending is on the way via the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022. Tune in to find out how we are paying for it. SHOW NOTES https://advantage.factset.com/hubfs/Website/Resources%20Section/Research%20Desk/Earnings%20Insight/EarningsInsight_080522A.pdf https://www.investopedia.com/investors-slowly-warming-to-market-realities-6362529 https://thehill.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2022/08/Inflation-Reduction-Act-of-2022.pdf https://www.instagram.com/downtownjoshbrown/ https://investfest.com/ https://bitboycrypto.com/ https://www.blackbitcoinbillionaire.com/author/lamarwilson/ https://www.investopedia.com/bitcoin-halving-4843769 https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/milton-friedman.asp Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

8 Elo 202231min

Examining the Health of the Stock Market with Dr. Ed Yardeni

Examining the Health of the Stock Market with Dr. Ed Yardeni

Dr. Ed Yardeni, the founder, president and Chief Investment Officer of Yardeni Research on why the stock market may have bottomed in June, and what key health indicators we should focus on to see if the patient is on the road to full recovery. Plus, Yardeni shares his favorite investing and finance shows and movies, and why his favorite term, "Bond Vigilantes", is about to become popular again. LINKS FOR SHOW NOTES https://www.yardeni.com/ https://www.yardeniquicktakes.com/ https://www.yardeni.com/#StockMarketFundamentalsMetrics https://www.amazon.com/dp/B077VGFZBD/ref=cm_sw_r_cp_ep_dp_w1IyAb30XKCAR https://insight.factset.com/topic/earnings https://www.investopedia.com/terms/d/deflation.asp https://ir.wingstop.com/news-and-events/news/press-release-details/2022/Wingstop-Inc.-Reports-Fiscal-Second-Quarter-Financial-Results/default.aspx Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

1 Elo 202230min

Untangling the Economic Enigma that is Argentina

Untangling the Economic Enigma that is Argentina

How could such a beautiful country blessed with abundant natural resources, a well-educated workforce, and access to trading partners around the world be mired with sky-high inflation and an unstable currency? The answers are complicated and entangled in decades of tumultuous political history. The Express heads to the Rio de la Plata on a journey of economic discovery. SHOW LINKS: https://www.proshares.com/our-etfs/leveraged-and-inverse/sqqq https://www.cefeidas.com/about/juan-cruz-diaz/# https://www.investopedia.com/terms/forex/a/arp-argentinian-peso.asp https://www.investopedia.com/terms/d/devaluation.asp https://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/capitulation.asp Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

25 Heinä 202239min

Exploring the Depths of the Downturn with Dan Niles

Exploring the Depths of the Downturn with Dan Niles

Dan Niles, the legendary investor and founder of The Satori Fund, explains why the stock market could fall another 20-35% from here, and why this cycle is different from anything most investors have ever experienced. Plus, Dan explains how we will know when it's safe to start buying again. And, why margin calls are ringing across the crypto-verse, and the trouble brewing on the other end of the line. Thanks LINKS FOR SHOW NOTES https://www.danniles.com/ https://insight.factset.com/sp-500-earnings-season-update-july-15-2022 https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/margincall.asp https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/parityprice.asp https://www.investopedia.com/top-100-financial-advisors-5323670 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

18 Heinä 202236min

Introducing the Express-o Awards with Sam Ro

Introducing the Express-o Awards with Sam Ro

Sam Ro, the veteran business news journalist and author of the TK'er substack joins the Express to help us launch the Express-o Awards, where we honor the best, worst and most dynamic stories of the first half of the year. Plus, Elon Musk is pulling out of his bid to buy Twitter and the lawsuits are about to start flying. We break down what happened, and what's next for Musk and Twitter. LINKS REFERENCED: https://www.tker.co/ https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow https://advantage.factset.com/hubfs/Website/Resources%20Section/Research%20Desk/Earnings%20Insight/EarningsInsight_070822.pdf https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1418091/000110465922078413/tm2220599d1_ex99-p.htm Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

11 Heinä 202234min

Building a 2nd Half Playbook with Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson

Building a 2nd Half Playbook with Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson

Mike Wilson, the Chief U.S. Equity Strategist for Morgan Stanley, says the market could fall further as corporate earnings roll over and the chances of a recession increase. Still, long-term investors can still find opportunities to stabilize and grow their portfolios in this tumultuous environment, and why we need to look at the U.S. economy in the 1940's for comparison. And, the 60/40 portfolio just had its worst six-month period in history, turning decades of investing principles on their head. We try to turn things around on The Express. LINKS FOR SHOW NOTES: archive.org/details/essaysinearlierh01daviuoft https://www.morganstanley.com/profiles/mike-wilson-chief-investment-officer https://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/062714/100-minus-your-age-outdated.asp https://www.investopedia.com/terms/f/federalfundsrate.asp https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/riskrewardratio.asp Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

5 Heinä 202231min

What the Business Cycle is Telling us About a Recession

What the Business Cycle is Telling us About a Recession

Lakshman Achuthan of The Economic Cycle Research Institute rejoins the show to discuss what leading business cycle indicators are saying about the probability, depth and duration of a recession, and how investors should prepare for it. Plus, a mini-rally breaks a multi-week slide for stocks. Is this support, or just another Bear trap? And, heavy metals are sinking as the global economy loses pace. What that means for the capital markets. LINKS FOR SHOW NOTES: https://www.businesscycle.com/ecri-about/staff-achuthan-banerji https://dealogic.com/insights/ https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/rebalancing.asp Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

27 Kesä 202231min

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