Thinking About Macro

Thinking About Macro

Howard Marks doesn’t make bets on economic predictions. That’s especially true now when the biggest wildcard is inflation – a phenomenon no one fully understands. But just because something is unknowable doesn’t mean it’s unimportant. That’s why Howard has devoted his latest memo to a topic he largely disavows: macro forecasting. (July 29, 2021)

You can read the memo here (https://www.oaktreecapital.com/docs/default-source/memos/thinkingaboutmacro.pdf).

The memo is read by LJ Ganser.

Jaksot(74)

The Rewind: It’s All a Big Mistake

The Rewind: It’s All a Big Mistake

Howard reflects on this memo originally published on June 20, 2012. He discusses why understanding mistakes – both your own and others’ – is key to superior investing. He’s joined by Bob O’Leary, Glo...

24 Helmi 202253min

Introducing "Behind The Memo": Selling Out

Introducing "Behind The Memo": Selling Out

Listen to the first episode of our new series Behind the Memo, in which Howard breaks down his latest memo, discussing its origins, themes and key insights. In Selling Out, published on January 13, 20...

21 Tammi 202232min

Selling Out

Selling Out

Howard Marks’s latest memo considers one of investing’s most fundamental questions: when to sell. Howard explains that it’s foolish to sell because prices are up and because they’re down – and why, mo...

13 Tammi 202235min

The Rewind: Uncertainty

The Rewind: Uncertainty

Howard reflects on this memo originally published on May 11, 2020.  Writing near the beginning of the Covid-19 crisis, he discusses the power of saying “I don’t know” and the danger of confirmation bi...

20 Joulu 20211h 1min

The Winds of Change

The Winds of Change

The last 20 months have taught us to question everything. What is the future of work? Can American democracy survive? Will Baby Boomers keep consuming more than their fair share? And what comes after ...

30 Marras 20211h 2min

The Rewind: What Does The Market Know?

The Rewind: What Does The Market Know?

Howard reflects on this memo originally published on January 19, 2016. In the second episode of a two-part series, he discusses the problems with taking advice from the market. But he also draws on in...

7 Loka 202152min

The Rewind: On The Couch

The Rewind: On The Couch

Howard reflects on this memo originally published on January 14, 2016. In the first of a two-part series, he analyzes investors’ irrationality and discusses why things that are obvious in investing ar...

30 Syys 20211h 13min

The Rewind: Us and Them

The Rewind: Us and Them

Howard reflects on this memo originally published on May 7, 2004. In a discussion that namechecks both psychologist Amos Tversky and tennis great Pete Sampras, Howard explains why too much confidence ...

26 Elo 202143min

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