Kamala surges, Trump at NABJ, recession fears, Middle East escalation, Ackman postpones IPO

Kamala surges, Trump at NABJ, recession fears, Middle East escalation, Ackman postpones IPO

(0:00) Bestie intros!

(0:38) Election update: Dems energize around Kamala, policy questions remain

(19:33) Trump's NABJ interview: smart or risky?

(33:07) Markets expect rate cut in September, but are we already in a recession?

(40:58) AI buildout causing short-term volatility

(45:46) Assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh: are we inching closer to war in the Middle East?

(1:06:17) Bill Ackman withdraws Pershing Square USA IPO

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

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Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/harris-boycotts-netanyahu-snubs-israeli-leaders-wartime-address-give-sorority-speech

https://nypost.com/2024/07/24/us-news/media-change-tune-on-calling-kamala-harris-border-czar-despite-giving-her-the-title

https://x.com/jeffstorobinsky/status/1818722254542590012

https://apnews.com/business/inflation-general-news-31d83873be23c658d66526745482d572

https://x.com/grdecter/status/1819362069797654784

https://www.wsj.com/economy/consumers/inflation-interest-rates-wealth-loans-51d4276e

https://www.foxbusiness.com/economy/initial-us-employment-reports-overstated-jobs

https://www.foxbusiness.com/personal-finance/q1-gdp-slows-inflation-dips

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amd-stock-jumps-after-earnings-beat-driven-by-ai-chip-sales-202456320.html

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/31/nvidia-stock-up-after-microsoft-amd-quell-fears-ai-buildout-too-fast.html

https://www.ft.com/content/bad6ca0b-82fb-4ddb-b6b8-bd09dacd47ae

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NVDA:NASDAQ

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/META:NASDAQ

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/01/world/middleeast/how-hamas-leader-haniyeh-killed-iran-bomb.html

https://archive.nytimes.com/www.nytimes.com/interactive/2012/06/01/world/middleeast/how-a-secret-cyberwar-program-worked.html?hp

https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/bill-ackman-pulls-investment-fund-ipo-after-shrinking-its-size-85ba1a17

Jaksot(366)

In conversation with Mark Cuban

In conversation with Mark Cuban

(0:00) The Besties intro Mark Cuban: Voting record, working with Ross Perot's campaign in 1992 (5:43) The history of Cuban's love/hate relationship with Trump (19:08) Trump's performance as President:...

3 Loka 20242h 6min

John Mearsheimer and Jeffrey Sachs | All-In Summit 2024

John Mearsheimer and Jeffrey Sachs | All-In Summit 2024

(0:00) Announcement from Friedberg! (0:21) Sacks intros John Mearsheimer and Jeffrey Sachs (1:32) What is the Deep State Party, and what are their goals? (13:56) Should America leverage its power agai...

1 Loka 202454min

OpenAI's $150B conversion, Meta's AR glasses, Blue-collar boom, Risk of nuclear war

OpenAI's $150B conversion, Meta's AR glasses, Blue-collar boom, Risk of nuclear war

(0:00) Bestie intros: In Memoriam (6:43) OpenAI's $150B valuation: bull and bear cases (24:46) Will AI hurt or help SaaS incumbents? (40:41) Implications from OpenAI's for-profit conversion (49:57) Me...

27 Syys 20241h 35min

Big Fed rate cuts, AI killing call centers, $50B govt boondoggle, VC's rough years, Trump/Kamala

Big Fed rate cuts, AI killing call centers, $50B govt boondoggle, VC's rough years, Trump/Kamala

(0:00) Bestie intros + All-In Summit recap (6:50) Fed cuts 50 bps: Economic tailwind, scary signal, or both? (17:35) AI is coming for call centers; how agent training works (33:41) US government wast...

20 Syys 20241h 24min

"Founder Mode," DOJ alleges Russian podcast op, Kamala flips proposals, Tech loses Section 230?

"Founder Mode," DOJ alleges Russian podcast op, Kamala flips proposals, Tech loses Section 230?

(0:00) Bestie intros! Jason goes "Founder Mode" (1:03) All-In Summit lineup announcement (9:01) Understanding "Founder Mode" (32:52) Bolt is back in the news as Ryan Breslow goes "Founder Mode" (52:28...

6 Syys 20241h 35min

In conversation with Reid Hoffman & Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

In conversation with Reid Hoffman & Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

(0:00) Bestie intros: Buttons are back for fall (1:48) Reid Hoffman joins the show, reminiscing on PayPal stories with Sacks (7:52) State of AI: Nvidia, cluster buildouts, competition (19:51) OpenAI's...

30 Elo 20242h 11min

Massive jobs revision, Kamala's wealth tax, polls vs prediction markets, end of race-based admissions

Massive jobs revision, Kamala's wealth tax, polls vs prediction markets, end of race-based admissions

(0:00) Bestie intros! (1:59) Labor department revises down nonfarm payrolls by 818K (15:02) MIT publishes data from first incoming class post race-based admissions ban (36:16) Decision 2024: State of ...

23 Elo 20241h 31min

Break up Google, Starbucks CEO out, Kamala's price controls, Boeing disaster, Kursk offensive

Break up Google, Starbucks CEO out, Kamala's price controls, Boeing disaster, Kursk offensive

(0:00) Bestie intros: Jason gets a dish named after him! (5:27) DOJ considers breaking up Google after last week's antitrust ruling (28:10) Starbucks replaces CEO with Chipotle chief (45:37) Work cult...

16 Elo 20241h 46min

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