Moneyball and US State Department
ChinaTalk22 Elo 2022

Moneyball and US State Department

Wouldn't it be nice to have a world where important policy decisions were decided based on evidence and data rather than narratives and turf battles? Dan Spokojny thought so too, and that's why he's the founder of fp21, a think tank dedicated to changing the processes and institutions of US foreign policy. Along with Jon Bateman, a senior fellow in the technology and international affairs program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, in this episode we talk about some of the failings of contemporary foreign policy decision making processes and what can be done to fix them, including: How to bring more rigor to making policy decisions Why the current system loves a good storyteller What sort of training future foreign policy makers should be getting - but aren't Outro music: Good Bayesian by Baba Brinkman, MC Lars and Mega Ran https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qV6Wc_f1Cgo&t=195s I HAVE CHINATALK NEWSLETTER WHICH YOU SHOULD ALL SIGN UP TO READ! I even bought a new url for you: chinatalk.media Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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WarTalk: AI, Nukes, Iran and Autonomous War

WarTalk: AI, Nukes, Iran and Autonomous War

WarTalk launches! We chat with Pranay Vaddi (MIT, Sandia, formerly Biden NSC) and Chris McGuire (State, NSC, now CFR) about AI, nuclear command and control, deterrence, and how new military technologi...

16 Maalis 1h 59min

Iran: No Save Point

Iran: No Save Point

Two weeks into the US-Iran war, CENTCOM has struck 6,000 targets, but Hormuz is closed, oil is at $100 a barrel, the regime hasn’t fallen, and 400 kilograms of highly enriched uranium sit somewhere un...

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Why it Sucks to Work in AI in China + Open Source with Kevin Xu

Why it Sucks to Work in AI in China + Open Source with Kevin Xu

Kevin Xu of http://interconnected.blog/ and I did a liveshow on substack! We chat about why working in Chinese AI looks so much tougher than building in the West: less compute, lower upside, more po...

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Software Abundance for Government With Cognition's Russell Kaplan

Software Abundance for Government With Cognition's Russell Kaplan

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Second Breakfast: Iran and the DIB with Fmr SECAF Frank Kendall

Second Breakfast: Iran and the DIB with Fmr SECAF Frank Kendall

Frank Kendall served as the 26th Secretary of the Air Force from 2021 to 2025. Before that he was Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology and Logistics under Obama. His new book, Lethal...

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Autonomous Weapons 101 + Anthropic v DoW

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Mike Horowitz, Penn Professor and Biden DoD official who wrote 3000.09, clears up some autonomous weapons misconceptions! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Emergency Pod: Iran + Anthropic

Emergency Pod: Iran + Anthropic

An all-star cast today with: Emmy Probasco, a fellow at Georgetown's Center for Security and Emerging Technology (CSET) and former Navy officer with deep expertise in autonomous weapons and military ...

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Second Breakfast: Anthropic, SecDefs being weird

Second Breakfast: Anthropic, SecDefs being weird

what a mess! Wario Amodei's slow jam vibe: https://suno.com/s/cf3KDdVQ5F0KCjow Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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