077 - The Conjunction Fallacy

077 - The Conjunction Fallacy

Here is a logic puzzle created by psychologists Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky.

Linda is single, outspoken, and very bright. She majored in philosophy. As a student, she was deeply concerned with the issue of discrimination and social justice, and also participated in demonstrations. Which of the following is more probable: Linda is a bank teller or Linda is a bank teller AND is active in the feminist movement?

In studies, when asked this question, more than 80 percent of people chose number two. Most people said it was more probably that Linda is a bank teller AND active in the feminist movement, but that's wrong. Can you tell why?

This thinking mistake is an example of the subject of this episode - the conjunction fallacy. Listen as three experts in logic and reasoning explain why people get this question wrong, why it is wrong, and how you can avoid committing the conjunction fallacy in other situations.

Patreon: http://patreon.com/youarenotsosmart


Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Jaksot(332)

037 - Motivation - Daniel Pink

037 - Motivation - Daniel Pink

What motivates you to keep going, to reach for your dreams, to persist and endure? Psychology has, over the last 40 years, learned a great deal about human motivation and drive. In this episode we ask...

23 Marras 20141h 14min

036 - The Dunning-Kruger Effect

036 - The Dunning-Kruger Effect

Have you ever been confronted with the fact that you were in over your head, or that you had no idea what you were doing, or that you thought you were more skilled at something than you actually were?...

10 Marras 20141h 31min

035 - Inbetweenisode - The Sunk Cost Fallacy

035 - Inbetweenisode - The Sunk Cost Fallacy

Are you throwing good money after bad? Are you stuck in a job, a relationship, a degree, or some other situation that you know you should abandon but fear you'll have wasted years of time and effort? ...

2 Marras 201440min

034 - The Post Hoc Fallacy

034 - The Post Hoc Fallacy

Do you believe in magical amulets? Apparently, in 2011, enough people did to allow one company to earn $34 million making and selling them to professional athletes, celebrities, and even a former pres...

14 Loka 201440min

033 - Belief - Will Storr

033 - Belief - Will Storr

Do you think that everything you believe is true? If not, then what are you wrong about? It is a difficult question to answer, and it leads to many others. Where do our beliefs come from, and how do w...

30 Syys 20141h 38min

032 - Ego Depletion

032 - Ego Depletion

Many see willpower as something you develop like a muscle, something you can strengthen through practice and mental exercise, but the latest research suggests willpower runs on an internal battery, on...

13 Syys 201454min

031 - Extinction Burst

031 - Extinction Burst

Why do you so often fail at removing bad habits from your life?You try to diet, to exercise, to stop smoking, to stop staying up until 2 a.m. stuck in a hamster wheel of internet diversions, and right...

27 Elo 201432min

030 - Practice - David Epstein

030 - Practice - David Epstein

Is it true that all it takes to be an expert is 10,000 hours of practice? What about professional athletes? Do different people get more out of practice than others, and if so, is it nature or nurture...

14 Elo 20141h 6min

Suosittua kategoriassa Koulutus

rss-murhan-anatomia
voi-hyvin-meditaatiot-2
rss-narsisti
adhd-podi
psykopodiaa-podcast
rss-rahamania
rss-uskonto-on-tylsaa
rss-valo-minussa-2
mielipaivakirja
rss-vapaudu-voimaasi
rss-niinku-asia-on
rss-duodecim-lehti
rahapuhetta
ilona-rauhala
aamukahvilla
aloita-meditaatio
kesken
dear-ladies
rss-eron-alkemiaa
rss-arkea-ja-aurinkoa-podcast-espanjasta