#192 – Annie Jacobsen on what would happen if North Korea launched a nuclear weapon at the US
80,000 Hours Podcast12 Heinä 2024

#192 – Annie Jacobsen on what would happen if North Korea launched a nuclear weapon at the US

"Ring one: total annihilation; no cellular life remains. Ring two, another three-mile diameter out: everything is ablaze. Ring three, another three or five miles out on every side: third-degree burns among almost everyone. You are talking about people who may have gone down into the secret tunnels beneath Washington, DC, escaped from the Capitol and such: people are now broiling to death; people are dying from carbon monoxide poisoning; people who followed instructions and went into their basement are dying of suffocation. Everywhere there is death, everywhere there is fire.

"That iconic mushroom stem and cap that represents a nuclear blast — when a nuclear weapon has been exploded on a city — that stem and cap is made up of people. What is left over of people and of human civilisation." —Annie Jacobsen

In today’s episode, host Luisa Rodriguez speaks to Pulitzer Prize finalist and New York Times bestselling author Annie Jacobsen about her latest book, Nuclear War: A Scenario.

Links to learn more, highlights, and full transcript.

They cover:

  • The most harrowing findings from Annie’s hundreds of hours of interviews with nuclear experts.
  • What happens during the window that the US president would have to decide about nuclear retaliation after hearing news of a possible nuclear attack.
  • The horrific humanitarian impacts on millions of innocent civilians from nuclear strikes.
  • The overlooked dangers of a nuclear-triggered electromagnetic pulse (EMP) attack crippling critical infrastructure within seconds.
  • How we’re on the razor’s edge between the logic of nuclear deterrence and catastrophe, and urgently need reforms to move away from hair-trigger alert nuclear postures.
  • And plenty more.

Chapters:

  • Cold open (00:00:00)
  • Luisa’s intro (00:01:03)
  • The interview begins (00:02:28)
  • The first 24 minutes (00:02:59)
  • The Black Book and presidential advisors (00:13:35)
  • False alarms (00:40:43)
  • Russian misperception of US counterattack (00:44:50)
  • A narcissistic madman with a nuclear arsenal (01:00:13)
  • Is escalation inevitable? (01:02:53)
  • Firestorms and rings of annihilation (01:12:56)
  • Nuclear electromagnetic pulses (01:27:34)
  • Continuity of government (01:36:35)
  • Rays of hope (01:41:07)
  • Where we’re headed (01:43:52)
  • Avoiding politics (01:50:34)
  • Luisa’s outro (01:52:29)

Producer and editor: Keiran Harris
Audio engineering team: Ben Cordell, Simon Monsour, Milo McGuire, and Dominic Armstrong
Additional content editing: Katy Moore and Luisa Rodriguez
Transcriptions: Katy Moore

Jaksot(324)

#44 Classic episode - Paul Christiano on finding real solutions to the AI alignment problem

#44 Classic episode - Paul Christiano on finding real solutions to the AI alignment problem

Rebroadcast: this episode was originally released in October 2018. Paul Christiano is one of the smartest people I know. After our first session produced such great material, we decided to do a seco...

15 Tammi 20203h 51min

#33 Classic episode - Anders Sandberg on cryonics, solar flares, and the annual odds of nuclear war

#33 Classic episode - Anders Sandberg on cryonics, solar flares, and the annual odds of nuclear war

Rebroadcast: this episode was originally released in May 2018. Joseph Stalin had a life-extension program dedicated to making himself immortal. What if he had succeeded? According to Bryan Caplan ...

8 Tammi 20201h 25min

#17 Classic episode - Will MacAskill on moral uncertainty, utilitarianism & how to avoid being a moral monster

#17 Classic episode - Will MacAskill on moral uncertainty, utilitarianism & how to avoid being a moral monster

Rebroadcast: this episode was originally released in January 2018. Immanuel Kant is a profoundly influential figure in modern philosophy, and was one of the earliest proponents for universal democracy...

31 Joulu 20191h 52min

#67 – David Chalmers on the nature and ethics of consciousness

#67 – David Chalmers on the nature and ethics of consciousness

What is it like to be you right now? You're seeing this text on the screen, smelling the coffee next to you, and feeling the warmth of the cup. There’s a lot going on in your head — your conscious exp...

16 Joulu 20194h 41min

#66 – Peter Singer on being provocative, effective altruism, & how his moral views have changed

#66 – Peter Singer on being provocative, effective altruism, & how his moral views have changed

In 1989, the professor of moral philosophy Peter Singer was all over the news for his inflammatory opinions about abortion. But the controversy stemmed from Practical Ethics — a book he’d actually rel...

5 Joulu 20192h 1min

#65 – Ambassador Bonnie Jenkins on 8 years pursuing WMD arms control, & diversity in diplomacy

#65 – Ambassador Bonnie Jenkins on 8 years pursuing WMD arms control, & diversity in diplomacy

"…it started when the Soviet Union fell apart and there was a real desire to ensure security of nuclear materials and pathogens, and that scientists with [WMD-related] knowledge could get paid so that...

19 Marras 20191h 40min

#64 – Bruce Schneier on how insecure electronic voting could break the United States — and surveillance without tyranny

#64 – Bruce Schneier on how insecure electronic voting could break the United States — and surveillance without tyranny

November 3 2020, 10:32PM: CNN, NBC, and FOX report that Donald Trump has narrowly won Florida, and with it, re-election.  November 3 2020, 11:46PM: The NY Times and Wall Street Journal report that so...

25 Loka 20192h 11min

Rob Wiblin on plastic straws, nicotine, doping, & whether changing the long-term is really possible

Rob Wiblin on plastic straws, nicotine, doping, & whether changing the long-term is really possible

Today's episode is a compilation of interviews I recently recorded for two other shows, Love Your Work and The Neoliberal Podcast.  If you've listened to absolutely everything on this podcast feed, y...

25 Syys 20193h 14min

Suosittua kategoriassa Koulutus

rss-murhan-anatomia
voi-hyvin-meditaatiot-2
rss-narsisti
rss-uskonto-on-tylsaa
rss-vapaudu-voimaasi
psykologia
rss-liian-kuuma-peruna
psykopodiaa-podcast
rss-duodecim-lehti
adhd-podi
aamukahvilla
kesken
rss-valo-minussa-2
rss-tietoinen-yhteys-podcast-2
rss-hereilla
filocast-filosofian-perusteet
rss-taloustaito-podcast
rss-turun-yliopisto
rss-luonnollinen-synnytys-podcast
rss-synapselingo-opi-englantia