13. On the disruptor in the White House (and his chances) – Allan Lichtman
Mind the Shift19 Elo 2020

13. On the disruptor in the White House (and his chances) – Allan Lichtman

Allan Lichtman, a professor of history at American University in Washington DC, has correctly predicted the winner of nine presidential elections in a row. He has a system with 13 ”keys” that seems almost foolproof (see below). Now he reveals his prediction for November 3, and you will hear it in this episode.

Lichtman is a Democrat, but he makes sure to shove his own opinions aside when he makes his predictions. The fact that he has picked five Republicans and four Democrats on beforehand gives him credibility enough. But his thoughts on how the incumbent is doing he doesn’t keep to himself:

”Trump has exposed lots of loopholes in our system. He has also shown how easy it is to deny information to the American people.”

”He is a coward. He can’t even fire people eye to eye. He hasn’t personally got the fortitude to actually, physically, fight a battle to stay in the White House.”

”Trump has virtually destroyed everything the Republican party ever stood for.”

Oh, and Allan is also a former steeplechase champion. And a 16-time quiz show winner.

Here are the 13 keys to the White House. If six or more of these statements are found to be false by this time, the incumbent party loses:

1) midterm gains 2) no primary contest 3) incumbent seeking re-election 4) no third party 5) strong short-term economy 6) strong long-term economy 7) major policy change 8) no social unrest 9) no scandal 10) no foreign/military failure 11) major foreign/military success 12) charismatic incumbent 13) uncharismatic challenger

Lichtman concludes that seven are now false – 1, 5, 6, 8, 9, 11 and 12

Jaksot(155)

130. Atlantis Has Been Hiding in Plain Sight – Jack Kelley

130. Atlantis Has Been Hiding in Plain Sight – Jack Kelley

Like most people, writer and filmmaker Jack Kelley thought Plato’s account of Atlantis was just an allegory when he, during a vacation on the Greek island of Santorini, was drawn into a world of resea...

14 Elo 20241h 41min

129. Wikipedia Is a Materialist Bastion – Craig Weiler

129. Wikipedia Is a Materialist Bastion – Craig Weiler

Everybody who has looked into parapsychology knows that it is a long-standing scientific discipline and that new fascinating findings are published in scientific journals regularly. Yet there are tena...

26 Kesä 20241h 7min

128. How Astrology Is Misconstrued – John L Lash

128. How Astrology Is Misconstrued – John L Lash

At the end of our previous conversation (released April 2023), mythologist, modern shaman and author John Lamb Lash and I had a brief exchange about astrology. It revealed an apparent difference in ho...

18 Kesä 20241h 19min

127. Dare to Choose New Paths – Agneta Sjödin

127. Dare to Choose New Paths – Agneta Sjödin

Agneta Sjödin is a media celebrity in Sweden. She started out her career as a tv entertainer and to some extent she also worked with journalism. But she was always a seeker, and lately, she has focuse...

29 Touko 202457min

126. Civilization is Insanely Old – Mario Buildreps

126. Civilization is Insanely Old – Mario Buildreps

For general info about Mario and his work, check out the first episode with him, including show notes: In this second episode we touch on a few novel issues: ✔ Mario and his associates have now foun...

15 Touko 20241h 41min

125. "Paranormal" is Perfectly Normal – Dean Radin

125. "Paranormal" is Perfectly Normal – Dean Radin

Professor Dean Radin is one of the world’s leading authorities on psychic phenomena. He is the chief scientist at IONS, the Institute of Noetic Sciences. “I don’t like the word ‘paranormal’ when refer...

24 Huhti 20241h 21min

124. Love and Time – Julia Mossbridge

124. Love and Time – Julia Mossbridge

Julia Mossbridge is a scientist in the true sense of the word, a curious and open-minded investigator and seeker. She has balanced beautifully on the perceived border between traditional science and t...

12 Huhti 20241h 22min

123. There Is No Death – Craig Hogan

123. There Is No Death – Craig Hogan

Why are we so afraid to die, I ask afterlife expert, researcher, coach and writer Craig Hogan. “It’s a misunderstanding. People think this life is all there is. But we don’t die. Transition happens se...

28 Maalis 20241h 3min

Suosittua kategoriassa Yhteiskunta

olipa-kerran-otsikko
i-dont-like-mondays
sita
siita-on-vaikea-puhua
kaksi-aitia
gogin-ja-janin-maailmanhistoria
uutiscast
poks
antin-palautepalvelu
kolme-kaannekohtaa
joku-tietaa-jotain-2
mamma-mia
aikalisa
yopuolen-tarinoita-2
rss-murhan-anatomia
rss-palmujen-varjoissa
rss-nikotellen
meidan-pitais-puhua
rss-haudattu
loukussa