Is Success Due to Hard Work, Talent, or Luck?

Is Success Due to Hard Work, Talent, or Luck?

How to survive in a world where luck and randomness play a pivotal role.

Topics covered include:

  • What are power laws
  • What are the narrative fallacy and hindsight bias
  • What are examples of domains where randomness has contributed to success
  • What are ways to distinguish investing skill from luck
  • How sixth-century philosopher Boethius had an accurate view of chance
  • What are ways we can benefit from good luck while protecting ourselves from bad luck


For more information on this episode click here.

Sponsors

Copper

Money For the Rest of Us Plus

Show Notes

Redacted messages to and from Elon Musk—Delaware’s Court of Chancery

Elon Musk’s Texts Shatter the Myth of the Tech Genius by Charlie Warzel—The Atlantic

Talent Versus Luck: The Role of Randomness In Success and Failure by Alessandro Pluchino, Alessio Emanuele Biondo, and Andrea Rapisarda

Susan Alexandra

Welcome to Susan Alexandra’s Dream World by Sophia Herring—Clever, Architectural Digest

The Fashion Set Can’t Get Enough of Susan Alexandra’s Colorful, Kitschy Designs by Noah Lehava—Coveteur

Quantifying the evolution of individual scientific impact by Roberta Sinatra et al.

What's in a Surname? The Effects of Surname Initials on Academic Success by Liran Einav and Leeat Yariv

Middle names make you look smarter—University of Southhampton

Admission to Selective Schools, Alphabetically by Štěpán Jurajda and Daniel Münich

It Pays to Be Herr Kaiser: Germans With Noble-Sounding Surnames More Often Work as Managers Than as Employees by Raphael Silberzahn and Eric Luis Uhlmann

The relative-age effect and career success: Evidence from corporate CEOs by Qianqian Du, Huasheng Gao, Maurice D. Levi

The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Were Those Great Returns the Result of Skill — or Just Luck? by Julie Segal—Institutional Investor

Related Episodes

323: The Economy Is Not A Machine

See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Jaksot(571)

Resilient Wealth in an Era of Infinite Money

Resilient Wealth in an Era of Infinite Money

What happens when the money supply grows too slowly or too quickly? From gold-standard deflation to QE-driven inflation and inequality, we trace the lessons of monetary history, and what we can do tod...

17 Syys 202525min

Forests, Fakes, and the Fight for the Real

Forests, Fakes, and the Fight for the Real

From salmon leaping along the Vancouver Island coast to fake bands on Spotify, this episode explores the divide between the physical and digital economy, and what lumber markets, managed forests, and ...

10 Syys 202522min

Why Central Banking Is So Hard and Why Fed Independence Matters

Why Central Banking Is So Hard and Why Fed Independence Matters

Central bankers set policy with incomplete information, unobservable targets, and constant trade-offs between growth, inflation, and employment. In this episode, we delve into how the fight for Federa...

27 Elo 202524min

How To Invest During a Bubble

How To Invest During a Bubble

From the dot-com boom to today’s AI frenzy, bubbles follow a familiar script. This episode explores how to recognize them, what sustains them, and how to position your portfolio without getting swept ...

20 Elo 202521min

Six Principles for Thriving Under Uncertainty and How Big Tech Is Doing the Opposite

Six Principles for Thriving Under Uncertainty and How Big Tech Is Doing the Opposite

A practical framework for making better decisions, managing risk, and finding opportunity in unpredictable environments. We contrast these principles with the massive $2.9 trillion AI data center buil...

13 Elo 202525min

Why Most Hedge Funds Fail but This One Didn’t with Dave Thomas

Why Most Hedge Funds Fail but This One Didn’t with Dave Thomas

Dave Thomas, CIO and Founder of long/short hedge fund, Atalan Capital Partners, shares why most hedge funds fail and the keys to being a long-term successful investor.Episode SponsorDelete Me – Use co...

6 Elo 202539min

How To Better Navigate Money, Risk, Time, and Uncertainty with Carl Richards

How To Better Navigate Money, Risk, Time, and Uncertainty with Carl Richards

David converses with renowned illustrator and financial philosopher Carl Richards on the abstraction of money, attention capital, distinguishing risk from uncertainty, and the importance of taking mic...

30 Heinä 202538min

Should Private Assets, Gold, and Crypto Be Investment Options in 401k and other Defined Contribution Plans?

Should Private Assets, Gold, and Crypto Be Investment Options in 401k and other Defined Contribution Plans?

A new executive order could radically reshape retirement investing by allowing private equity, crypto, and gold in 401(k) plans. This episode examines the factors driving the demand for alternative as...

23 Heinä 202520min

Suosittua kategoriassa Liike-elämä ja talous

sijotuskasti
mimmit-sijoittaa
psykopodiaa-podcast
rss-rahapodi
rss-rahamania
ostan-asuntoja-podcast
rahapuhetta
rss-laakispodi
rss-sisalto-kuntoon
herrasmieshakkerit
sijoituspodi
rss-draivi
inderespodi
rss-sami-miettinen-neuvottelija
rss-lahtijat
rss-bisnesta-bebeja
rss-karon-grilli
rss-seuraava-potilas
rss-paasipodi
vapauta-supervoimasi-podcast