We’re MASSIVELY overstating our political violence problem — and that’s dangerous! | Sean Westwood

We’re MASSIVELY overstating our political violence problem — and that’s dangerous! | Sean Westwood

Many surveys and headlines have claimed there's a large percentage of Americans who support political violence. Some estimates have been around 25% – and some have gone as high as 40%! This is very scary; it ramps up fears of a violent and chaotic American future, and even fears of a civil war. But political polarization researchers like my guest Sean Westwood have shown that many people are massively overstating the problem. And that overstatement is leading to hysterical and unhelpful framings and debates. Worst of all, these exaggerated fears can even contribute to a self-reinforcing cycle… a self-fulfilling prophecy. Topics discussed include: what the faulty surveys and studies are missing; how bad survey design (ambiguous questions, or leading questions) can lead to faulty estimates; what more accurate survey results tell us; how exaggerated fears can contribute to a self-fulfilling prophecy; and why people embrace and promote overly pessimistic narratives. Learn more about the show and get transcripts at⁠ ⁠behavior-podcast.com⁠⁠. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jaksot(205)

The polarization of Elon Musk: His high-contempt approach to political disagreement

The polarization of Elon Musk: His high-contempt approach to political disagreement

In June of 2024, I got an op-ed published in TheHill.com about Elon Musk's polarization -- specifically his affective polarization, which refers to how people perceive and treat their political oppone...

12 Tammi 202520min

Explanations for those UFO videos released in 2017 (Gimbal, GoFast, others)

Explanations for those UFO videos released in 2017 (Gimbal, GoFast, others)

Brian Dunning, creator of the podcast Skeptoid, made a documentary that brings a skeptical, analytical eye to the recent UFO craze – including those three famous UFO videos released by the Pentagon th...

9 Tammi 202521min

Reading faces: A dumb 1960s book on reading physical facial traits

Reading faces: A dumb 1960s book on reading physical facial traits

I thought it'd be interesting to read a very dumb book from 1969 called "Face Reading: A Guide to How the Human Face Reveals Personality, Sexuality, Intelligence, Character, and More." It's about find...

21 Joulu 20241h 22min

I interrogate an 8-year-old about her belief in Santa, Easter Bunny, and other creatures

I interrogate an 8-year-old about her belief in Santa, Easter Bunny, and other creatures

I ruthlessly interrogate an 8-year-old about her belief in Santa Claus, the Tooth Fairy, the Easter Bunny, and other magical creatures.  Learn more about the show and get transcripts at⁠ ⁠behavior-po...

21 Joulu 20249min

The psychology behind the self-reinforcing nature of conflict and polarization

The psychology behind the self-reinforcing nature of conflict and polarization

A piece I wrote for my Defusing American Anger Substack (learn more at american-anger.com) about the psychological aspects of how toxic conflict grows and builds. When you see the self-reinforcing asp...

11 Marras 20247min

Many take Trump's words out of context: How this relates to toxic polarization

Many take Trump's words out of context: How this relates to toxic polarization

In a recent Fox News interview, Trump was asked whether he thought there would be chaos and violence if he won the election, and his response included mentioning that, if necessary, the National Guard...

22 Loka 202426min

Analyzing the behavior of Peter Todd, who's accused of being Bitcoin creator | Jeremy Clark

Analyzing the behavior of Peter Todd, who's accused of being Bitcoin creator | Jeremy Clark

In the documentary Money Electric, filmmaker Cullen Hoback put forth the theory that developer Peter Todd was Satoshi Nakamoto, the mysterious creator of Bitcoin. In this episode, I talk to cryptocurr...

18 Loka 202453min

Scammer on Nextdoor gets my personal info: Tips for spotting online marketplace scam tells

Scammer on Nextdoor gets my personal info: Tips for spotting online marketplace scam tells

On the Nextdoor app, a fake account succeeded in getting some personal info from me before I realized they were a scammer. I discuss how that scam went down, share an audio call I had with the scammer...

15 Loka 202415min

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