Jonathan Garner: Japan’s Equities Continue to Rally

Jonathan Garner: Japan’s Equities Continue to Rally

While Japan's equities have continued to rally, a roster of sector leading companies and a weak Yen could signal this bullish story is only just beginning.


----- Transcript -----

Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Jonathan Garner, Chief Asia and Emerging Market Equity Strategist at Morgan Stanley. Along with my colleagues bringing you a variety of perspectives, I'll be sharing why Japan Equities could be a key part of the bullish story in Asia this year. It's Thursday, May the 25th at 10 a.m. in New York.


Japan equities have rallied substantially during the current earnings season and we think further gains are increasingly likely. The theme of return on equity improvement, driven by productive CapEx and better balance sheet management, is clearly finding traction with a wide group of international investors. We first introduced this theme in our 2018 Blue Paper on Japan, where we described a journey from laggard to leader, which we felt was starting to take place due to a confluence of structural reforms such as the Corporate Governance Code and Institutional Investor Stewardship Code, as well as changes in company board composition and outside activist investor pressure.


Japan has a formidable roster of world class firms, which we have identified as productivity and innovation leaders in areas such as semiconductor equipment, optical, healthcare, medtech, robotics and traditional heavy industrial automotive, agricultural and commodities trading, specialty chemicals. As well as more recent additions in Internet and E-commerce, many of which sell products far beyond Japan's borders.


For the market overall, listed equities ROE has more than doubled in the last ten years, and it's now set to approach our medium term target of 11 to 12% by 2025. Company buybacks are analyzing at a record pace and total shareholder return, that is the sum of dividends and buybacks, is running at 3.6% of market capitalization.


Yet Japan equities are still trading on only around 13 times forward price to earnings. And Japanese firms have a low cost of capital, given the country's status as a high income sovereign, with membership of the G7, as highlighted by Premier Kishida hosting its recent summit in his home town of Hiroshima.


An additional near-term catalyst for Japan equities is that the yen is tracking significantly weaker year to date at around 135 to the U.S. dollar than company modeling, which was for around 125. Given the export earnings skew of the market, this is a positive.


All in all, Japan equities are set, we think, to more than hold their own versus global peers and be a key part of a bullish story in Asian equities this year.


Thanks for listening. If you enjoyed the show, please leave us a review on Apple Podcasts and recommend Thoughts on the Market to a friend or colleague today.

Jaksot(1512)

Andrew Sheets: The Cost of Easy Policy: A 10 Year Outlook

Andrew Sheets: The Cost of Easy Policy: A 10 Year Outlook

On today's episode, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets takes a look at expected market returns over the next decade and explains how current policy affects future returns.

1 Marras 20193min

Michael Zezas: How Do Markets View Major Policy Proposals? (Replay)

Michael Zezas: How Do Markets View Major Policy Proposals? (Replay)

On today's episode, Head of U.S. Public Policy Michael Zezas takes a look at transformative policy proposals by 2020 Presidential candidates. How could big policies like Medicare-for-All reshape markets?

30 Loka 20192min

Mike Wilson: Are U.S. Equities Defying Gravity?

Mike Wilson: Are U.S. Equities Defying Gravity?

On today’s episode, a curious paradox: Although major indices are making new highs, many defensive stocks are leading the pack. Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson explains why.

28 Loka 20193min

Andrew Sheets: Can Sentiment Alone Drive Markets Higher?

Andrew Sheets: Can Sentiment Alone Drive Markets Higher?

On today's episode, Optimism in markets has risen significantly over the past three weeks. But Chief-Across Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets asks, “Is optimism enough?”

25 Loka 20193min

Michael Zezas: Could “Phase One” Be the Turning Point?

Michael Zezas: Could “Phase One” Be the Turning Point?

On this episode, Head of U.S. Public Policy Michael Zezas explains why a global growth rebound could largely hinge on trade negotiations ahead of the December 15th tariffs.

23 Loka 20191min

Mike Wilson: 5 Pockets of Opportunity for Equities Investors

Mike Wilson: 5 Pockets of Opportunity for Equities Investors

On today's episode, Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson says investors may want to steer clear of expensive growth stocks in favor of some defensive and cheaper-priced stocks.

21 Loka 20193min

Andrew Sheets: One Market We Feel Good About

Andrew Sheets: One Market We Feel Good About

On today’s episode, Chief Cross Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets highlights the one market in which the currency, government bonds and equities may all be solid defensive plays.

18 Loka 20192min

Michael Zezas: A “Durable Pause” on U.S.-China Trade Tensions?

Michael Zezas: A “Durable Pause” on U.S.-China Trade Tensions?

On today’s episode, Head of Public Policy Michael Zezas says unlike prior tariff pauses, the “phase one” agreement could have durability. However, much uncertainty remains.

16 Loka 20192min

Suosittua kategoriassa Liike-elämä ja talous

sijotuskasti
mimmit-sijoittaa
psykopodiaa-podcast
rss-rahapodi
lakicast
herrasmieshakkerit
rss-rahamania
ostan-asuntoja-podcast
rss-neuvottelija-sami-miettinen
rss-lahtijat
rss-startup-ministerio
oppimisen-psykologia
taloudellinen-mielenrauha
pomojen-suusta
rss-strategian-seurassa
rss-myyntipodi
rss-uskalla-yrittaa
rss-ammattipodcast
rss-markkinointiradio
rss-karon-grilli