Investment Ideas for a Hard Winter in the Real Economy (w/ Ed Harrison and Gary Shilling)

Investment Ideas for a Hard Winter in the Real Economy (w/ Ed Harrison and Gary Shilling)

The Interview: Recorded on Dec 4 , 2020: With cases spiking and economic data surrounding the recovery slowing or outright rolling over in many cases, it appears as though a hard winter is in store for the global economy. Gary Shilling, president of A. Gary Shilling & Co., is well known for having forecasted these types of downturns in the past and, along with Real Vision's Ed Harrison, discusses why he thinks we are in store for another economic downturn this winter. Shilling highlights real economic data like slowing job gains, increased COVID-19 deaths, and the potential for renewed economic shutdowns, but he cautions that the strange correlation, where bad news equals more stimulus and thus is bullish for equities, can draw out irrationality longer than investors might expect — even if stimulus fails to fully replace economic losses in the long-term. Shilling and Harrison also discuss his investment ideas that arise from this forecast: cautiously short equities, short dollar, and long treasuries. Key Learnings: The real economy and market are once again moving in the opposite direction. Shilling argues that this disconnect will close and that the long bond may be the best way to play to it. He also sees the stimulus feedback loop as putting more downward pressure on the dollar. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Jaksot(2091)

Adventures in Finance - 2017 Summer Series 1: Milton's Mailbag

Adventures in Finance - 2017 Summer Series 1: Milton's Mailbag

Grant and Aaron kick off the 2017 Summer Series by addressing some of the most pressing listener questions during the first season of Adventures in Finance. The guys are also joined by Jeffrey Snider,...

4 Elo 201745min

Adventures in Finance 26 - Season Finale: Market Wizardry and the Power of Picking the Right indicator

Adventures in Finance 26 - Season Finale: Market Wizardry and the Power of Picking the Right indicator

Our season finale brings you three world-leading analysts and investors as they share their frameworks and favorite indicators, and help you to become a better investor. Featuring Jesse Felder of the ...

28 Heinä 20171h 15min

Adventures in Finance 25 - The Hedge Fund That Almost Broke the World

Adventures in Finance 25 - The Hedge Fund That Almost Broke the World

Before the hundreds of billions in corporate bailouts and trillions in central bank interventions, there was a time when we believed there was no way our financial models and investment strategies cou...

21 Heinä 20171h 12min

Adventures in Finance 24 - Demons, Angels and the Enemy Within

Adventures in Finance 24 - Demons, Angels and the Enemy Within

Look in the mirror and you will find your greatest ally and your mortal enemy. You will find someone who will play tricks on you, appeal to your worst emotions, but who holds the keys to your trading ...

13 Heinä 20171h 11min

Adventures in Finance 23 - Fast Cars, Fake IDs, and Billion Dollar Fraudsters

Adventures in Finance 23 - Fast Cars, Fake IDs, and Billion Dollar Fraudsters

Enter the shadowy world where people use complex strategies and cutting edge technology to hide their identities to defraud multinational companies out of millions of dollars. This week, we speak with...

7 Heinä 201758min

Adventures in Finance 22 - Murderer, Gambler, Aristocrat & Pauper. John Law, The Godfather of Central Banking (Financial History - Part 2)

Adventures in Finance 22 - Murderer, Gambler, Aristocrat & Pauper. John Law, The Godfather of Central Banking (Financial History - Part 2)

Meet an 18th-century murderer, banker, convict, laughing stock, and the godfather of central banking, John Law. Accompanied by Dr. Ben Hunt, the Chief Investment Strategist at Salient Partners and aut...

30 Kesä 20171h 5min

Adventures in Finance 21 - Ponzi Hunters: Harry Markopolos and His Dogs of Fraud

Adventures in Finance 21 - Ponzi Hunters: Harry Markopolos and His Dogs of Fraud

Harry Markopolos was the lone whistleblower on Bernie Maddoff's $18 billion Ponzi scheme and, in this interview, takes the whole regulatory and accounting apparatus to task in a way that will have you...

23 Kesä 20171h 9min

Adventures in Finance 20 - Cyber Warfare: Welcome to the New Normal

Adventures in Finance 20 - Cyber Warfare: Welcome to the New Normal

For years, cyberattacks on a global scale were the stuff of fiction; they have now become reality. And if the NSA isn’t safe then no one is safe. This week, we decode a potential existential threat to...

16 Kesä 20171h 18min

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