The Macro "Endgame": Growth, Gold, Deflation, and the Dollar ( w/ Eric Basmajian )

The Macro "Endgame": Growth, Gold, Deflation, and the Dollar ( w/ Eric Basmajian )

Eric Basmajian, founder and editor at EPB Macro Research, joins Lyn Alden of Lyn Alden Investment Strategy to break down his near-term outlook on the global economy as well his longer-term framework for macro investing. Basmajian notes that the growth rate in industrial output, the pick-up in demand for commodities, and a steepening yield curve indicate a growth pick-up. Alden and Basmajian explore the significance of the underperformance of banks (particularly regional ones) and energy relative to the S&P 500 and then dive head-first into more macro issues on a longer-term time horizon such as the interplay of debt, inflation, the dollar, interest rates, and the velocity of money. Recorded on January 26, 2021. Key learnings: The strength of cyclical economic momentum indicators, particularly in industrials, indicates growth will continue in the short-term. Within a longer-term time horizon, Basmajian believes that extreme debt levels incurred on corporate as well as government balance sheets will hamper growth, ultimately leading to deflation. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Jaksot(2006)

The Knock-On Effect #17 - Why does increased NASA funding mean Qatar could lose an honor?

The Knock-On Effect #17 - Why does increased NASA funding mean Qatar could lose an honor?

Who stands to profit from the next era of space exploration? Alex, Justine and Roger discuss, touching on international space law, libertarians on Mars, and Justine's favorite intergalactic snack food. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

28 Syys 201830min

The Knock-On Effect #16 - Online ads and grocery store shifts?

The Knock-On Effect #16 - Online ads and grocery store shifts?

What impact will the growth of online advertising have on your local grocery store? Justine, Alex and Roger discuss — also touching on cookie wars, mysterious Senate hearing testimony, and Roger’s favorite breakfast. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

21 Syys 201840min

The Knock-On Effect #15 - South African Meat and Large-Cap Tech

The Knock-On Effect #15 - South African Meat and Large-Cap Tech

What does cheaper South African biltong have to do with a rally in large-cap U.S. tech stocks? Roger, Justine and Alex discuss the knock-on effects of the shifts in emerging market currencies— also touching on earnings excuses, the myopic U.S. rally, and romantic questions. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

14 Syys 201825min

The Knock-On Effect #14 - Why will asthma cases change cargo shipping?

The Knock-On Effect #14 - Why will asthma cases change cargo shipping?

What impact will the proliferation of asthma have on innovation in the cargo shipping industry? Justine and Alex discuss in this podcast-only episode of the Knock-On Effect, also touching on massive kites, the dregs of the fuel-making process, and Alex’s Model UN days. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

7 Syys 201830min

The Knock-On Effect #13 - Why China’s waste ban matters

The Knock-On Effect #13 - Why China’s waste ban matters

Why will China’s efforts to clean up its image put more water bottles inside shoes, lead to a recycling black market and raise the costs for shipping garbage? Alex and Justine discuss — also touching on virgin plastics, the voyage of a garbage barge in the 1980s, and the Polish trash mafia. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

31 Elo 201847min

The Knock-On Effect #12 - Turkey Troubles and Spicy Hazelnuts

The Knock-On Effect #12 - Turkey Troubles and Spicy Hazelnuts

Why will the crisis in Turkey lead hazelnuts to be covered in wasabi? Alex and Justine discuss — also touching on Nutella, “hot money,” and Japanese snacking habits. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

24 Elo 201826min

The Knock-On Effect Summer Series #2 - Raoul Pal on Turkey

The Knock-On Effect Summer Series #2 - Raoul Pal on Turkey

Will turmoil in Turkey send global markets skidding? And why might such an economically small country have an incredibly outsized effect? Raoul Pal, co-founder CEO of Real Vision and founder of The Global Macro Investor, discusses with Justine and Alex. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

17 Elo 201827min

The Knock-On Effect Summer Series #1 - Mark Dow on Liquidity

The Knock-On Effect Summer Series #1 - Mark Dow on Liquidity

Are market participants misunderstanding the current state of liquidity - and if so, what are the potential knock-on effects? Mark Dow, founder of Dow Global Advisors and author of the Behavioral Macro Blog, discusses with Roger, Justine and Alex. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

10 Elo 201836min

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