Is Inflation Actually Slowing in the U.S. Now?
The U.S. Consumer Price Index report for January showed that inflation cooled off only slightly — less than most economists’ expectations. Andreas Steno Larsen dives deeper into the numbers to find out whether U.S. inflation is, in fact, retreating. He also takes a step back to look at liquidity on a global scale as the Bank of Japan picks Kazuo Ueda to become its next governor. Recorded on February 15, 2023. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
4 Maalis 202327min
How High Will Rates Fly?
Federal Reserve officials this week warned of more upcoming interest rate hikes in light of recent U.S. economic data. Maggie Lake is joined by Dominique Dwor-Frecaut, senior macro strategist at Macro Hive, to discuss the market’s positive response to today’s ISM services data and why she thinks the Fed is falling behind against inflation. We’ll also review what our other Daily Briefing guests this week said when asked what they think about the Fed’s current framework. In the second half of today’s extended Daily Briefing, we’ll dive into Dominique’s three reasons why she is still calling for an 8% terminal fed funds rate. You can find more of Dominique’s work here: http://MacroHive.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
3 Maalis 202332min
If Cash Is King, Are Stocks Trash?
U.S. equities were relatively unchanged, but apparently they missed the message from the bond market. Across the board, U.S. Treasury yields are now over 4%, with a confluence of economic data in the States and Europe muddying the macro picture. Maggie Lake is joined by Tavi Costa, partner and portfolio manager at Crescat Capital, to hear why he believes this is the beginning of an exciting period for macro and value investors. Plus, we’ll also hear from Andreas on what persistent services inflation means for the U.S. and the rest of the world. Watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3J3ny3I. And you can check out more from Tavi here: https://www.crescat.net. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
2 Maalis 202339min
Time To Tune In To Heavy Metals?
Industrial metals bounced after strong economic data out of China, while U.S. equities logged another red day to start the month of March. Maggie Lake is joined by Michele “Mish” Schneider, the Director of Trade Education and Research at MarketGauge.com, to hear where she thinks this market is headed and how she’s playing everything from metals, energy, and agriculture to tech. Plus, we’ll hear from bond market veteran Jeff Moore in a conversation with Raoul about why inflation is so pivotal to the next move in bonds. You can watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3ENUNpk and see more of Mish’s work here: https://marketgauge.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
2 Maalis 202338min
Does This Oil Bounce Back Have Legs?
U.S. Treasury yields added to their monthly gains and equities chopped along as investors weighed the consequence of tighter monetary policy for longer. Meanwhile, oil rallied 2% on more bullish news coming out of China. Maggie Lake is joined by Tony Greer, founder of TG Macro and the editor of the Morning Navigator, to hear his views on stocks, metals, an energy rotation, and the dollar breakout. Plus, we’ll hear from Jamie McDonald on why investors need to pay attention to copper. You can watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3ZoqlKg. And check out more of Tony’s work here: https://tgmacro.substack.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
28 Helmi 202334min
What Are Global Money Flows Telling Us?
Tech stocks are leading U.S. equities higher as bond yields pull back — but not until after the 2-Year Treasury note hit its the highest level since January 2007. Maggie Lake is joined by Geo Chen, director of Three Quays Pte. Ltd. and the author of Fidenza Macro, to hear how bond market volatility and global liquidity dynamics are moving markets. Plus, we’ll hear from Simplify chief strategist Mike Green, who explains why he’s so worried that the current environment looks like 1929. You can watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3IYdyZB You can read all of Geo’s work here: https://fidenza.substack.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
27 Helmi 202337min
Mark Ritchie on the Theology Behind His Trading
The legendary investor Mark Ritchie walks us through his life, from his early years growing up in Afghanistan to the Chicago Board of Trade to meeting his future wife, and how it all ties into his trading philosophy. He also shares a famous quote — attributed to Mark Twain — that has greatly influenced his life both on and off the trading floor: What are the two most important days in your life? "The day you are born and the day you find out why." Mark joins Maggie Lake for a deep dive into why this quote inspired him, how he learned about the importance of sizing trades, the right time to cut and run, maintaining patience, and much more from his storied trading career. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
26 Helmi 202340min
Why Energy Is Underperforming
The energy sector has been the weakest performer in the U.S. equity market over the past month, despite China ending its zero-covid policy. So, what’s going on with everyone’s favorite sector of 2022? Andreas Steno Larsen lays out the bearish case for oil and gas and offers his take on what commodities you should be buying instead. Recorded on February 8, 2023. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
25 Helmi 202325min
