One Year Anniversary of the Market Bottom -- What Could Go Wrong?

With more rate hikes looming, the market is trying to find its footing. But is it safest for investors to just hold cash? Maggie Lake is joined by Real Vision’s Mike Coolbaugh, founder and CIO at Strom Capital Management, and Dave Floyd, founder of Aspen Trading Group, for a discussion on how to trade this price action and the broader macro landscape. As a discretionary macro trader, Mike will update us on how the market is pricing in the Fed and other macro trends he’s watching. Then, Dave will join for a technical breakdown of how he’s trading this environment. Plus, we’ll hear from Real Vision co-founder and CEO Raoul Pal on why this might be the best time to buy and hold Tech for the next 20 years. Check out that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3ITzWCb. You can find more of Mike’s work here: https://www.elementmacro.com. And you can follow Dave’s trades here: https://www.aspentrading.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

6 Maalis 202337min

Ross Gerber has made headlines recently for calling out Elon Musk’s management of Tesla and for seeking a seat on the board. But in this episode of 3 Ideas, find out why he still thinks Musk is the visionary Tesla needs, and more importantly, why he’s bullish on the stock. Stick around to hear what other names Gerber likes and why China’s reopening is a major part of his bullish thesis. Recorded on Friday, February 3, 2023. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

5 Maalis 202341min

The U.S. Consumer Price Index report for January showed that inflation cooled off only slightly — less than most economists’ expectations. Andreas Steno Larsen dives deeper into the numbers to find out whether U.S. inflation is, in fact, retreating. He also takes a step back to look at liquidity on a global scale as the Bank of Japan picks Kazuo Ueda to become its next governor. Recorded on February 15, 2023. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

4 Maalis 202327min

Federal Reserve officials this week warned of more upcoming interest rate hikes in light of recent U.S. economic data. Maggie Lake is joined by Dominique Dwor-Frecaut, senior macro strategist at Macro Hive, to discuss the market’s positive response to today’s ISM services data and why she thinks the Fed is falling behind against inflation. We’ll also review what our other Daily Briefing guests this week said when asked what they think about the Fed’s current framework. In the second half of today’s extended Daily Briefing, we’ll dive into Dominique’s three reasons why she is still calling for an 8% terminal fed funds rate. You can find more of Dominique’s work here: http://MacroHive.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

3 Maalis 202332min

U.S. equities were relatively unchanged, but apparently they missed the message from the bond market. Across the board, U.S. Treasury yields are now over 4%, with a confluence of economic data in the States and Europe muddying the macro picture. Maggie Lake is joined by Tavi Costa, partner and portfolio manager at Crescat Capital, to hear why he believes this is the beginning of an exciting period for macro and value investors. Plus, we’ll also hear from Andreas on what persistent services inflation means for the U.S. and the rest of the world. Watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3J3ny3I. And you can check out more from Tavi here: https://www.crescat.net. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

2 Maalis 202339min

Industrial metals bounced after strong economic data out of China, while U.S. equities logged another red day to start the month of March. Maggie Lake is joined by Michele “Mish” Schneider, the Director of Trade Education and Research at MarketGauge.com, to hear where she thinks this market is headed and how she’s playing everything from metals, energy, and agriculture to tech. Plus, we’ll hear from bond market veteran Jeff Moore in a conversation with Raoul about why inflation is so pivotal to the next move in bonds. You can watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3ENUNpk and see more of Mish’s work here: https://marketgauge.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

2 Maalis 202338min

U.S. Treasury yields added to their monthly gains and equities chopped along as investors weighed the consequence of tighter monetary policy for longer. Meanwhile, oil rallied 2% on more bullish news coming out of China. Maggie Lake is joined by Tony Greer, founder of TG Macro and the editor of the Morning Navigator, to hear his views on stocks, metals, an energy rotation, and the dollar breakout. Plus, we’ll hear from Jamie McDonald on why investors need to pay attention to copper. You can watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3ZoqlKg. And check out more of Tony’s work here: https://tgmacro.substack.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

28 Helmi 202334min

Tech stocks are leading U.S. equities higher as bond yields pull back — but not until after the 2-Year Treasury note hit its the highest level since January 2007. Maggie Lake is joined by Geo Chen, director of Three Quays Pte. Ltd. and the author of Fidenza Macro, to hear how bond market volatility and global liquidity dynamics are moving markets. Plus, we’ll hear from Simplify chief strategist Mike Green, who explains why he’s so worried that the current environment looks like 1929. You can watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3IYdyZB You can read all of Geo’s work here: https://fidenza.substack.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

27 Helmi 202337min