Richard Koo: How Excessive Corporate Debt Could Thwart Future Economic Growth

Richard Koo: How Excessive Corporate Debt Could Thwart Future Economic Growth

Richard Koo, chief economist at Nomura Research Institute, returns to Real Vision to update his framework on how key economic variables such cash, liquidity, savings, and debt have been impacted by the global recession. In this interview with Real Vision managing editor Ed Harrison, Koo applies to the current situation his noted theory of a "balance sheet recession" in which liquidity is ample, but the private sector nevertheless remains focused on paying down debt. Koo and Harrison analyze the interplay between the economic shutdown and economic growth. Lastly, Koo shares his views about quantitative easing, negative interest rates, central bank digital currencies, and ongoing efforts by central banks to stem the damage wreaked by the pandemic. Recorded on January 29, 2021 Key learnings: Koo thinks that the unprecedented interventions of central banks were necessary to meet the once-in-a-lifetime crisis of COVID-19. Like many, Koo expects that economic growth will pick up once pent-up demand is unleashed. However, after this spurt of economic activity, Koo thinks that the overhang of debt could cause a significant balance sheet recession that is contractionary and deflationary. For our Listeners : Checkout skillshare.com and learn a new skill. You can use a unique promo link skillshare.com/realvision Protect your portfolio and join 130,000 members by signing up at masterworks.io with promo code REAL VISION today to skip the waitlist. See important information at masterworks.io/disclaimer Checkout Jordan Harbinger Show @ https://www.jordanharbinger.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Jaksot(2048)

Chinese Tech Continues to Get Battered and Eviction Moratorium Remains

Chinese Tech Continues to Get Battered and Eviction Moratorium Remains

DB-Aug20,2021: Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington welcomes Michael Green, chief strategist and portfolio manager at Simplify Asset Management, to discuss the day’s price action as well as Green’s thoughts on Chinese tech and the eviction moratorium in the U.S. With Chinese tech companies listed in the U.S. set to have their worst declines in more than a decade, Green explains his perspective on what China’s clampdown means for the sector. He also tackles the Biden administration’s intention to continue the latest eviction moratorium while rental assistance makes its way to tenants and landlords as well as what this may indicate about the health of the economy. Drop your questions for Michael here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/2WaEfol Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

21 Elo 202144min

Oil Declines After Taper Talks and Amazon and Facebook in the Spotlight

Oil Declines After Taper Talks and Amazon and Facebook in the Spotlight

BD-Aug19,2021: Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington welcomes Tommy Thornton, founder of Hedge Fund Telemetry, to update his framework for the U.S. economy and inflation as well as his outlook for equities, bonds, and commodities. After talks of tapering coming out of the FOMC minutes released yesterday, Thornton analyzes the market’s response with relatively little action in the major U.S. indices as well as the dollar's continued rise and commodities like oil and copper taking a hit. He offers his perspective on the state of antitrust concerns with the FAANGs with tech giants like Amazon’s plans to open department stores and Facebook’s move into the metaverse while a new antitrust suit is submitted against them by the FTC. Drop your questions for Tommy here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/2Xxhew2 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

20 Elo 202137min

The FOMC's Developing Thoughts on the Taper Timeline

The FOMC's Developing Thoughts on the Taper Timeline

DB-Aug18,2021:Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington welcomes back Darius Dale, founder and CEO of 42 Macro, to dig deep into the Fed minutes released today and discuss whether there’s signs of tapering on the horizon and what that means for the economy. Dale shares his perspective on the ways in which the Fed’s decision to taper, and when, will shape his outlook for future inflation and growth as well as his thoughts on how it will impact various asset classes such as bonds, equities, and commodities. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

19 Elo 202141min

Are Weakening Retail Sales a Sign of Increasing Inflationary Pressure?

Are Weakening Retail Sales a Sign of Increasing Inflationary Pressure?

DB-Aug17,2021: Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington welcomes back to Tony Greer of TG Macro to provide an update on his framework, the sectors he’s watching, and his thoughts on inflation. Greer analyzes whether the 1.1% fall in U.S. retail sales in July points toward more of a shift in consumer preferences or whether it’s more indicative of price inflation pressures, and he and Bennington also discuss what sort of knock-on effects China’s crackdown on tech will have on markets, particularly on the tech sector, as the NASDAQ Golden Dragon Index continues to suffer from declines. Finally, Bennington provides a brief update on the Poly Network hack. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

18 Elo 202136min

Will China's Slowdown and Taper Talks Derail The Reflation Trade?

Will China's Slowdown and Taper Talks Derail The Reflation Trade?

DB-Aug16,2021: Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington welcomes editor Jack Farley and Jared Dillian, editor of The Daily Dirtnap, to examine China’s economic slowdown in July and what risks that might pose to global economic growth as well as the Fed’s consideration of ending asset purchases by mid-2022. Dillian provides an update on his investment framework amidst concerning signals about the risks of an economic slowdown that would undermine the recovery in addition to the timeline of the Fed tapering and what the impact would be on markets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

17 Elo 202141min

Consumer Sentiment Is Dipping - Is the Economy Slowing?

Consumer Sentiment Is Dipping - Is the Economy Slowing?

DB-Aug13,2021: Real Vision editor Jack Farley and Maggie Lake welcomes Harry Melandri of MI2 Partners to discuss the day’s price action as well as address dipping consumer sentiment and the possibility of the U.S. economy slowing. Lake analyzes the contributing factors to explain why consumer sentiment may be falling, and Farley examines whether that is reflective of a slowing economy. The trio also dive into eurodollar futures, debt monetization, the trajectory of inflation, and the Fed’s response function to provide a clearer picture of future growth and the overall macro environment. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

14 Elo 202137min

Initial Jobless Claims Continue to Decline as Core CPI Misses Expectations

Initial Jobless Claims Continue to Decline as Core CPI Misses Expectations

DB-Aug12,2021: Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington and Petr Pinkhasov welcome Weston Nakamura to examine the weekly jobs data, how yesterday’s core CPI actually hit below expectations, and updates on the Poly Network hack as well as a new attack on DAO Maker. Even as the jobless claims data show a third consecutive decline in new unemployment claims, demonstrating a more sustained recovery in the labor market thus far, Nakamura draws attention to the fact that core CPI actually came in below economist expectations, which might be signaling a deceleration in inflation. He unpacks why this was the case and what it means for the economy and markets in the coming months. Bennington also provides an update on the Poly Network hack and discusses a new one on DAO Maker that occurred today. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

13 Elo 202139min

Bonds Rally and Cyclicals Thrive as CPI Rises 0.5%

Bonds Rally and Cyclicals Thrive as CPI Rises 0.5%

DB-Aug11,2021: Real Vision editor Jack Farley and markets reporter Dion Rabouin welcome Peter Boockvar, CIO of Bleakley Advisory Group and editor of The Boock Report, to unpack the U.S. CPI released today, showing a rise of 0.5% in July. Boockvar examines the July’s CPI data and discusses how it is driving today’s price action in equities and bonds and what it means for inflation, monetary and fiscal stimulus, and various asset classes such as stocks, bonds, and commodities going forward. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

12 Elo 202139min

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