The "Right" Price for Bonds, Demographics and Inflation, and Cheap Bets on Volatility ( w/ Harley Bassman)

The "Right" Price for Bonds, Demographics and Inflation, and Cheap Bets on Volatility ( w/ Harley Bassman)

The Interview: With bonds selling off alongside equities and the volatility of both asset classes rising, there is perhaps no better time to hear from The Convexity Maven himself, Harley Bassman. In this interview with Logica Capital Advisors partner, chief strategist, and PM Mike Green, Bassman outlines his view that this move higher in rates is the bond market finally moving towards the "right" price after a decade of interest rate suppression. Green and Bassman discuss the positive and negative consequences of higher rates, a steeper yield curve, and monetary and fiscal policies like negative interest rates and stimulus checks. They also touch on the current opportunities that Bassman sees and his prediction of inflationary impulse due to demographics sometime between 2023 and 2025. Harley Bassman has provided a slide deck to accompany this interview which can be found here: https://rvtv.io/3cai4CR and his commentary on convexity can be found here: https://rvtv.io/38eiXZS. Recorded on March 3, 2021. Key Learnings: Bassman believes interest rates have been kept artificially low, and the current sell-off in bonds is the market moving towards the "right" price. He also advocates for investors to be long convexity and believes that OTM calls on equities and long-dated options on interest rates are extremely cheap. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Jaksot(2005)

Adventures in Finance 13 - What Lies Beneath: Volatility in a Peaceful World

Adventures in Finance 13 - What Lies Beneath: Volatility in a Peaceful World

Volatility permeates markets, nature, and life. Yet, it is monumentally misunderstood, and often to ruinous consequences. Stephen Diggle, Founder of Vulpes Investment Management, and Chris Cole, Managing Partner at Artemis Capital Management, get at the heart of what individual investors need to know about volatility. 'In Things I Got Wrong', Chris Martenson, Founder of PeakProsperity.com, shares what he got wrong with market structure and communicating emotionally charged ideas. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

28 Huhti 20171h 13min

Adventures in Finance 12 - Bass and Burbank, A Masterclass

Adventures in Finance 12 - Bass and Burbank, A Masterclass

Learn from hedge fund legends as Kyle Bass interviews John Burbank III to reveal insights and ideas that differentiate truly independent market thinkers from amateur speculators. In 'Things I Got Wrong', John Netto, the Protean Trader and Author of The Global Macro Edge, discusses his error in preparing for catalysts and the evaluation framework that sprung from this experience. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

21 Huhti 20171h 7min

Adventures in Finance 11 - Broken Promises: The Impending Global Pension Crisis

Adventures in Finance 11 - Broken Promises: The Impending Global Pension Crisis

The financial system will soon witness a collision between an unstoppable force and an immovable object. Pensions around the world are being crushed under the weight of trillions in unfunded liabilities while hundreds of millions of Baby Boomers are advancing to retirement in ever greater numbers, creating a perfect storm for the next crisis that is all but mathematically certain to happen. In 'Things I Got Wrong', Preston Pysh (@PrestonPysh), co-host of The Investors Podcast, shares crucial lessons about applying value investing principles in times of crisis. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

14 Huhti 20171h 10min

Adventures in Finance 10 - Carson Block: Short-selling Legend and Market Vigilante

Adventures in Finance 10 - Carson Block: Short-selling Legend and Market Vigilante

Carson Block, Founder of Muddy Waters Research, single-handedly dismantles fraudulent companies and his research can cause stocks to plummet 90% in market cap. As one of the world's preeminent short-sellers, Carson shares his incredible story and process for identifying fraudulent targets. In 'Things I Got Wrong', Dr. Steve Keen, professor of economics at Kingston University London, fesses up to misjudging the Australian real estate bubble. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

7 Huhti 201750min

Adventures in Finance 9 - Reflation: American Dream or Political Nightmare?

Adventures in Finance 9 - Reflation: American Dream or Political Nightmare?

Deconstruct the Trump Reflation Trade as unsightly political realities emerge from the shadows. In 'Things I Got Wrong', David Hay, CIO of Evergreen Gavekal, confesses to underestimating central bank firepower and the usefulness of extreme market sentiment readings. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

30 Maalis 20171h 2min

Adventures in Finance 8 - Over the Barrel: A Journey From Boom to Bust

Adventures in Finance 8 - Over the Barrel: A Journey From Boom to Bust

The repercussions of a boom-bust energy cycle and massive infrastructure investment means a supply glut and potentially lower oil prices for much longer than anyone expects. In 'Things I Got Wrong', Michael Lewitt sets aside his ego and trusts in the machines and artificial intelligence. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

23 Maalis 20171h 2min

Adventures in Finance 7 - The Triggering: Article 50 and Brexit

Adventures in Finance 7 - The Triggering: Article 50 and Brexit

Uncertainty reigns, as political and economic forces build before the historic negotiations which could alter the shape of Great Britain and the EU forever. In 'Things I Got Wrong', Bill Fleckenstein, CEO of Fleckenstein Capital discusses the mistakes he made in underestimating the folly and largesse of Central Bankers. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

17 Maalis 201758min

Adventures in Finance 6 - Satellites, Big Data and Finance

Adventures in Finance 6 - Satellites, Big Data and Finance

Explore how satellite imagery data is being utilized to drive financial insights, with advice from James Crawford, CEO of Oribital Insights. In ‘The Things I Got Wrong’, Jawad Mian, Founder of Stray Reflections, sits down to share his slip-ups about silver and managing your ego. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

9 Maalis 201755min

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