Is Recession the Only Answer to Inflation?

Is Recession the Only Answer to Inflation?

As Jared Dillian puts it, when the prices of things we need are going higher and the prices of things we want are going lower, “it creates economic misery.” Things we need include fossil fuels and agricultural commodities. Things we want include stocks and bonds. In 2022, with stock and bond prices falling and commodity prices rising, wealth has evaporated, and the cost of living has increased. And the thing is, to seriously take on rising prices, the Federal Reserve is going to have to accelerate its monetary tightening cycle. “In order to stop inflation,” writes Dillian, “the Fed will have to engineer a recession.” We’re starting to see indications from sections of the yield curve that a downturn is imminent – for example, the yield on the five-year U.S. Treasury note exceeded the yield on the 30-year bond earlier today. Stocks, meanwhile, have enjoyed a two-week rally. Is there a way out for the Fed that doesn’t include recession? Dillian, author of The Daily Dirtnap, joins Real Vision’s Maggie Lake for today’s Daily Briefing to talk about the Fed, interest rates, economic misery, and recession. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3IMaiNH Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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The Knock-On Effect #9 - Trade Fears to Clarify Diamonds?

The Knock-On Effect #9 - Trade Fears to Clarify Diamonds?

Why will rising concerns about China’s trade-related retaliation lead diamonds to become clearer? Justine and Alex discuss – also touching on Jules Verne novels, iPhone batteries and a new version of ...

20 Heinä 201832min

The Knock-On Effect #8 - Stock Rally to Spur Foot Picking?

The Knock-On Effect #8 - Stock Rally to Spur Foot Picking?

Why will higher stock prices lead more American to pick feet? Alex and Justine discuss, also touching on income inequality, one very fancy Manhattan store, and the marital habits of reptile owners. Pl...

13 Heinä 201838min

Real Vision Rewind #1 – Godfather of Central Banking

Real Vision Rewind #1 – Godfather of Central Banking

How did the modern age of central banking begin? In this story previously heard in a 2017 episode of “Adventures in Finance,” Grant Williams, Aaron Chan and Ben Hunt look at the fascinating history o...

6 Heinä 201843min

The Knock-On Effect #7 - Rising dollar to unleash unusual ice cream flavors?

The Knock-On Effect #7 - Rising dollar to unleash unusual ice cream flavors?

Why will a rising dollar lead to a proliferation of ice cream flavors that go far beyond vanilla? Justine and Alex discuss, touching on thieves in Madagascar, beaver glands, whisky maturation and the ...

29 Kesä 201837min

The Knock-On Effect #6 - Fed Hikes to Quash Lottery Ticket Sales?

The Knock-On Effect #6 - Fed Hikes to Quash Lottery Ticket Sales?

Why will a higher fed funds rates lead to a decline in the number of Americans who play the lottery? Alex and Justine discuss, along the way touching on the future of transportation, moving to L.A., t...

22 Kesä 201829min

The Knock-On Effect #5 - Demographics and Doorways

The Knock-On Effect #5 - Demographics and Doorways

Why will changing Chinese demographics lead to an increase of plastic strips in doorways? Justine and Alex discuss - and in so doing, also touch on Ikea trips, online dating, modern food production, a...

15 Kesä 201848min

The Knock-On Effect #4 - Tariffs and Cork

The Knock-On Effect #4 - Tariffs and Cork

Why will U.S. tariffs lead to a resurgence for the global cork industry? Justine and Alex explain, along the way discussing Australian wine, cork shoes and the Chinese consumer. Learn more about your ...

8 Kesä 201827min

The Knock-On Effect #3 - Crude Oil Boom, Craft Beer Gloom

The Knock-On Effect #3 - Crude Oil Boom, Craft Beer Gloom

Why will higher oil prices result in disappointed craft beer drinkers? Justine and Alex discuss. Plus, Alex delves into the world of academia, and discusses an interesting finding about the way stocks...

1 Kesä 201834min

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