SI315: Preparing for a Pivotal Time in Global Markets ft. Cem Karsan

SI315: Preparing for a Pivotal Time in Global Markets ft. Cem Karsan

In this week’s episode, Cem Karsan joins Alan Dunne to discuss the interplay between market flows and global macro developments as we enter a pivotal time of year for markets. They explore the potentially favourable setup for equities in the coming weeks, driven by flow dynamics and dealer positioning, while considering how recent policy moves in China could support the near-term bullish outlook. As the U.S. election approaches, Cem outlines how different outcomes could impact policy, the economy, and geopolitics—ultimately shaping the post-election market landscape. Despite recent U.S. inflation data showing lower prints, Karsan reaffirms his view of a structurally inflationary period ahead and shares key trades that could capitalize on this outlook in the current market environment.

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Episode TimeStamps:

01:17 - Industry performance update

05:36 - Seasonality in markets

17:49 - Are China losing the ability to protect their assets?

21:44 - A dangerous path for Chinese assets

25:36 - A structural downtrend in inflation?

35:30 - Is the market looking through the rate cuts?

39:37 - Trump vs. Harris - how will it impact markets?

46:19 - A global conflict perspective

50:40 - How the election might impact commodities

52:06 - Migration policy and its effect on inflation

53:57 - How markets might trade right after the election is over

57:13 - Dangerous...

Jaksot(907)

SI349: Navigating the Age of Uncertainty with Trend Following ft. Mark Rzepczynski

SI349: Navigating the Age of Uncertainty with Trend Following ft. Mark Rzepczynski

In this episode, Niels and Mark Rzepczynski examine a market where the usual relationships have broken down. Bonds offer no shelter, volatility moves without conviction, and political intervention kee...

24 Touko 20251h 6min

GM82: The Surprising Success of the U.S. Economy ft. Elroy Dimson & Kiran Ganesh

GM82: The Surprising Success of the U.S. Economy ft. Elroy Dimson & Kiran Ganesh

America's recent economic performance has been a surprise, as it's managed to outperform many other markets over the last quarter century. We review the insights from the Global Investment Returns Yea...

21 Touko 20251h 3min

SI348: The Quiet Cost of Overfitting ft. Andrew Beer

SI348: The Quiet Cost of Overfitting ft. Andrew Beer

Andrew Beer returns to confront a moment of reckoning for trend following. As managed futures suffer one of their worst periods in decades, he and Niels explore a deeper question: has the strategy evo...

17 Touko 20251h 15min

UGO02: Inequality, Inflation, and the End of Consensus ft. Jim Bianco

UGO02: Inequality, Inflation, and the End of Consensus ft. Jim Bianco

What if the volatility we’re seeing is not a pause in the cycle, but the start of something lasting? In this episode, Cem Karsan sits down with Jim Bianco to unpack the forces reshaping the market and...

13 Touko 20251h 3min

SI347: Stagflation, Storytelling, and the Search for a New Hero ft. Cem Karsan

SI347: Stagflation, Storytelling, and the Search for a New Hero ft. Cem Karsan

Today Cem and Niels dissect a world quietly shifting beneath our feet.As markets hum along, Cem explains why the real story lies beneath the surface: a structural liquidity drain, a creeping stagflati...

10 Touko 20251h 7min

GM81: What If Everything You Believe About Markets Is Wrong? ft. Demetri Kofinas

GM81: What If Everything You Believe About Markets Is Wrong? ft. Demetri Kofinas

What if the biggest risk in markets today isn’t volatility, inflation, or geopolitics - but the stories we believe to be true? In this unfiltered and thought-provoking episode, Demetri Kofinas joins C...

7 Touko 20251h 3min

SI346: Is the Trend Still Your Friend ft. Rob Carver

SI346: Is the Trend Still Your Friend ft. Rob Carver

This episode is all about understanding the nuances of trend-following and how current market dynamics are shaking things up. Together with Rob Carver, we discuss the turbulence that hit financial mar...

3 Touko 20251h 9min

IL38: Our Dollar, Your Problem ft. Kenneth Rogoff

IL38: Our Dollar, Your Problem ft. Kenneth Rogoff

What if the most dangerous thing in the global economy isn’t a shock — but the quiet collapse of the frameworks we still rely on?In this rare, unfiltered conversation, Kenneth Rogoff — Harvard profess...

30 Huhti 20251h 11min

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