The Great Divergence, Chips With Everything, Africa's New Rumble In The Jungle
Multipolarity2 Maalis 2023

The Great Divergence, Chips With Everything, Africa's New Rumble In The Jungle

This week, Philip Pilkington is hammering a term he claims will soon be everywhere: "The Great Divergence".

What becomes of the global balance of power when, as seems likely in 2023, there is simultaneously a recession in the West, and a boom in the East? It's never happened before. So how will we learn to live on a two speed planet?


Meanwhile, the chip ban has failed. Touted only months ago as a major new plank in Biden foreign policy, the figures are now in: the only real impact has been to allow China to dominate the Russian semiconductor market. Trade, like life, finds a way. But didn't we already know this?


As the duo point out, it holds lessons for economists, who seem ever-more off their brief since the pandemic.


Finally, suave technocrat Tony Blair has decided that the West needs to combat rival poles like Russia and China, as they gobble up influence in Africa. The democratic powers seem to be on the back foot, but as Andrew Collingwood points out, given Africa's long-standing instability, the route to influence is anything but straightforward. On this continent at least, coups will continue to dominate the great game...


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Iran: The Oil Price War With Conventional War Characteristics

Iran: The Oil Price War With Conventional War Characteristics

This week: two audio essays, on one big Iran cluster-frig. In the Collingwood corner: Donald Trump has become an unreadable politician. His credibility has burst through various levels of ‘madman the...

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Slipping and Sliding, Spit and Polish

Slipping and Sliding, Spit and Polish

It’s an oil rush. Fill your boots, fellers, America is releasing its strategic petroleum reserves, ostensibly to see down Iranian pressure. Good news for voters, great news for foreign countries who w...

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Pilkington Vs Collingwood: A Multipolarity Q&A Special

Pilkington Vs Collingwood: A Multipolarity Q&A Special

This week on Multipolarity, we’re taking your questions.It’s a Q&A episode, involving queries sent in by our loyal listeners.Questions like:How did you guys meet?(Drunk, at a party).Which EU country w...

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No Deal Is Better Than An Islama-bad Deal, The Godmother, Two Year Keir

No Deal Is Better Than An Islama-bad Deal, The Godmother, Two Year Keir

Iran’s 14 points: making the world safe for Shia Theocracy. Obviously, Donald Trump putting his John Hancock to the Islamabad Memorandum at Versailles carries absolutely no historical resonance. But a...

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Multipolarity Dialogues: The Other Superweapon - Adventures In Chinese AI, with TP Huang

Multipolarity Dialogues: The Other Superweapon - Adventures In Chinese AI, with TP Huang

Fable — a short fantastical tale with a moral message. For weeks, Anthropic’s Dario Amodei was telling anyone who’d listen that he’d invented an AI so powerful it could walk through walls, shoot spar...

18 Kesä 53min

Strait To Hell, Kim Jong Boom, Armenian Roulette

Strait To Hell, Kim Jong Boom, Armenian Roulette

It’s war in our time. After flirting with peace for a few miserable hours, the US and Iran are back to what they know best: taking uneven chunks out of each other amidst the world’s prime oil pathway....

11 Kesä 1h 5min

Two Audio Essays: The Escalation Ladder & Weaponised Interdependence

Two Audio Essays: The Escalation Ladder & Weaponised Interdependence

This week: two audio essays. First up, they’re calling it the Poor Man’s Tomahawk. Ukraine is firing up to 2000 long range drones a week into Russia. The production facilities supplying them are scatt...

4 Kesä 11min

Crossing The Orange Line, Hard Bargain, Sino Silicon

Crossing The Orange Line, Hard Bargain, Sino Silicon

Russia has rained Oreshnik hypersonic missiles on Kiev. Four people killed. 549 missiles apparently shot down. This was a message. The Oreshnik travels at Mach 10. It was designed to deliver nukes. As...

28 Touko 1h 3min

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