GM76: Are We Being Deceived by Economic Data? ft. Paul Donovan

GM76: Are We Being Deceived by Economic Data? ft. Paul Donovan

Alan Dunne welcomes Paul Donovan, Chief Economist of UBS Global Wealth Management, to this episode for a thought-provoking discussion on the global economic outlook. Together, they explore the structural challenges facing Europe and whether the current wave of pessimism is overstated. Paul highlights how data mismeasurement contributes to the gap between perception and reality while acknowledging the hurdles for productivity growth in Europe. They also consider whether comparisons between Europe’s economic trajectory and Japan’s stagnation are valid and discuss the prospects for U.S. growth under President Trump. The conversation also examines the recent inflation cycle, the potential effects of new U.S. tariffs on inflation, and the implications for Federal Reserve policy.

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Episode TimeStamps:

02:28 - Introduction to Paul Donovan

06:02 - The state of the European economy

09:19 - The notion of fairness is changing

13:55 - Can a new economic model emerge?

18:54 - Has Europe become Japanified?

22:21 - Should Europe worry about lagging behind on tech?

29:04 - An economic plague in the UK

34:02 - How can economists address the happiness of the people

38:15 - What have the cost of things stayed high?

44:32 - The potential for supply...

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IL44: From AI Hype to Transformative AGI ft. Aubrie Pagano

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In this Ideas Lab episode, Kevin Coldiron speaks with venture capitalist and former founder Aubrie Pagano about what stands between today’s AI hype and a truly transformative AGI economy. Rather than ...

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SI380: Dispersion Is the Story This Year (Group Conversation Part 1)

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Niels is joined by all 9 amazing co-hosts, to discuss a year that refused to behave. In part one of the annual "roundtable", Niels and the group map why 2025 produced such striking dispersion across t...

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OI20: Why Commodities Refuse to Trend Forever ft. Doug King

OI20: Why Commodities Refuse to Trend Forever ft. Doug King

Moritz Siebert speaks with Doug King about what it really means to trade commodities through cycles, distortions, and stress. Drawing on decades at Cargill and more than twenty years running a commodi...

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SI379: The Illusion of Safety in a Fully Invested Market ft. Cem Karsan

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Niels and Cem reflect on a year marked by concentration, confidence, and growing structural fragility beneath calm markets. They examine extreme positioning, record low cash levels, and the quiet domi...

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GM92: Politics in an Age of Hard Borders and Rising Hegemons ft. Gary Gerstle

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In this conversation, the veneer of political continuity is stripped back to reveal a world drifting toward harder borders, sharper identities and a reshaping of power once thought unthinkable. Gary G...

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SI377: What's New in SG Indices in 2026? + The Regime-Adaptive Portfolio ft. Alan Dunne

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