On Bubble Watch

On Bubble Watch

On January 2, 2000, Howard Marks published his first memo to garner any reader response, bubble.com, calling attention to excesses he detected in the market for tech and internet stocks. His newest memo revisits the subject of bubbles. Howard expresses his view that they’re more a state of mind than a quantitative calculation and describes bubble thinking as irrational, often underlaid by a widespread belief that ‘‘this time is different.’’ Rather than opining on whether we’re in a bubble, Howard lists the signs he sees today and suggests how you might think about them . . . just as he did 25 years ago.

You can read the memo here (https://www.oaktreecapital.com/insights/memo/on-bubble-watch).

Jaksot(74)

Thinking About Macro

Thinking About Macro

Howard Marks doesn’t make bets on economic predictions. That’s especially true now when the biggest wildcard is inflation – a phenomenon no one fully understands. But just because something is unknowa...

30 Heinä 202150min

The Rewind: It Is What It Is

The Rewind: It Is What It Is

Howard reflects on this memo originally published on March 27, 2006. In this wide-ranging discussion, he weaves together the Japanese concept of mujo, probability theory and the Super Bowl to suggest ...

24 Kesä 202143min

The Rewind: Dare to Be Great II

The Rewind: Dare to Be Great II

Howard reflects on this memo originally published on April 8, 2014. In the second episode of a two-part series, he asks whether investors are willing to do what is necessary in order to be great – inc...

5 Touko 202145min

The Rewind: Dare to Be Great

The Rewind: Dare to Be Great

Howard reflects on this memo originally published on September 7, 2006. In the first episode of a two-part series, he offers suggestions to those daring to be superior investors. There are no formulas...

29 Huhti 202154min

2020 in Review

2020 in Review

Last year featured a jaw-dropping list of extremes, from a once-in-a-century pandemic to record-breaking market moves. Howard Marks writes in his latest memo about approaching the investment environme...

19 Maalis 202131min

The Rewind: You Can’t Predict. You Can Prepare.

The Rewind: You Can’t Predict. You Can Prepare.

Howard looks back on this memo, originally published on November 20, 2001. The title was inspired by a TV commercial tagline from that time: “It's almost a Yogi Berra type statement that makes no appa...

24 Helmi 202152min

Something of Value

Something of Value

The dichotomy of “value” and “growth” investing has become a sharp stylistic divide. But is it helpful? In his latest memo, Howard Marks discusses how he views the art and science of value investing, ...

14 Tammi 20211h 3min

The Rewind: bubble.com

The Rewind: bubble.com

Howard looks back on his memo titled “bubble.com,” originally published on January 2, 2000, and credited with making his memo writing an “overnight success” after 10 years without a single response.To...

21 Joulu 202052min

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