In Moscow's Shadows 183: War and Peace (and Public Opinion)
In Moscow's Shadows12 Tammi 2025

In Moscow's Shadows 183: War and Peace (and Public Opinion)

We pundits have done more than our fair share speculating on whether, how, when and with what consequences there could be peace or a ceasefire in Ukraine, but instead it seems a good time to see what various research projects suggest about what ordinary Russians and Ukrainians think. This is something that is actually harder to ascertain than one might assume, but it important, not least for conditioning the decisions the respective governments may make. The various articles and surveys I ci...

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In Moscow's Shadows Cellcast: 18 January 2021: What does the Kremlin do with Navalny?

In Moscow's Shadows Cellcast: 18 January 2021: What does the Kremlin do with Navalny?

Another short 'cellcast', though given its timeliness, going public straightaway.In this cellcast, recorded on 18 January 2021, I take a very speculative, un-thought-through look at the Kremlin's opti...

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In Moscow's Shadows 21: The Federal Protection Service (FSO) and Russian security politics; and Three Stories About the Opposition

In Moscow's Shadows 21: The Federal Protection Service (FSO) and Russian security politics; and Three Stories About the Opposition

The FSO, the Federal Protection Service (or Federal Guard Service) is more that just Putin's dark-suited bodyguards, or the goose-stepping soldiers at the Eternal Flame. In my latest exploration of Ru...

11 Tammi 202144min

Twelve Days of Shadowy Christmas: 4 January: Kulikovo, 1380 to 2021

Twelve Days of Shadowy Christmas: 4 January: Kulikovo, 1380 to 2021

So Russia has a new laser system, called Peresvet. Pere-who? This gets me talking, for the last of the Twelve Days of Shadowy Christmas cellcasts, about the battle of Kulikovo in 1380 - and why it mat...

11 Tammi 202116min

Twelve Days of Shadowy Christmas: 1 January: Sergei Kuzhugetovich Shoigu

Twelve Days of Shadowy Christmas: 1 January: Sergei Kuzhugetovich Shoigu

How did Defence Minister Shoigu make it from graduating from Krasnoyarsk Poly as a construction engineer to being discussed as a potential future president? In this third cellcast of the 2020-21 Twelv...

8 Tammi 202121min

Twelve Days of Shadowy Christmas: 28 December: Directorate K and the FSB's dilemma

Twelve Days of Shadowy Christmas: 28 December: Directorate K and the FSB's dilemma

How might a scandal from 2019 affect who runs the FSB in 2021? And should we consider levels of elite embezzlement a good index of their confidence? In this second cellcast of the 2020-21 Twelve Days ...

4 Tammi 202120min

Twelve Days of Shadowy Christmas: 25 December: Afghan Christmas

Twelve Days of Shadowy Christmas: 25 December: Afghan Christmas

Today in 1979, Afghanistan was waking up under Soviet domination. In this first cellcast of the 2020-21 Twelve Days of Shadowy Christmas, I pull out three aspects of that conflict of relevance today. ...

1 Tammi 202120min

In Moscow's Shadows 20: Spooks: more Navalny, will the FSB change tack, and did the SVR carry out a 'cyberattack'?

In Moscow's Shadows 20: Spooks: more Navalny, will the FSB change tack, and did the SVR carry out a 'cyberattack'?

More on the Navalny case, the story that keeps unfolding, following the publication of his conversation with one of his would-be killers, and a rumination on whether there will be implications for the...

22 Joulu 202036min

In Moscow's Shadows 19: The Navalny Hit (after the Bellingcat/Insider report)

In Moscow's Shadows 19: The Navalny Hit (after the Bellingcat/Insider report)

An impressively detailed investigation by Bellingcat and The Insider meticulously details the Russian Federal Security Service operation against Alexei Navalny, so here is a short podcast episode devo...

15 Joulu 202025min

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