Ray Dalio | The All-In Interview

(0:00) The Besties intro Mark Cuban: Voting record, working with Ross Perot's campaign in 1992 (5:43) The history of Cuban's love/hate relationship with Trump (19:08) Trump's performance as President: what he got right and wrong (40:46) Party nominations: Kamala vs. Trump (49:18) Biden's performance as President: what he got right and wrong (55:45) Should Kamala share blame for Biden's failures? (1:07:01) International conflict, national debt, crypto regulation (1:21:33) General sense of Kamala Harris, why she's been avoiding adversarial interviews, why Sacks supports Trump (1:31:47) Selling a majority of his Mavericks stake, changing business landscape of the NBA, what he's working on at Cost Plus Drugs (1:44:50) Thoughts on AI, what's next for him (1:51:37) Relationship with Elon, re-evaluating the Twitter deal, OpenAI's new fundraise Follow Mark: https://x.com/mcuban Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=mcrfpus2&f=m https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GFDEBTN https://www.architecturaldigest.com/story/wait-are-windowless-bedrooms-going-to-be-a-thing https://washingtonreporter.news/editorial/scoop-kamala-harris-likely-to-nominate-gary-gensler-as-treasury-secretary-if-elected-senate-sources

3 Loka 20242h 6min

(0:00) Announcement from Friedberg! (0:21) Sacks intros John Mearsheimer and Jeffrey Sachs (1:32) What is the Deep State Party, and what are their goals? (13:56) Should America leverage its power against dictators? (22:07) The China threat: avoiding the escalatory path to nuclear war (36:08) India's growing role; are China's wounds self-inflicted? (47:07) Conflict in the Middle East and the path to peace Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect

1 Loka 202454min

(0:00) Bestie intros: In Memoriam (6:43) OpenAI's $150B valuation: bull and bear cases (24:46) Will AI hurt or help SaaS incumbents? (40:41) Implications from OpenAI's for-profit conversion (49:57) Meta's impressive new AR glasses: is this the killer product for the age of AI? (1:09:05) Blue collar boom: trades are becoming more popular with young people as entry-level tech jobs dry up (1:20:55) Risk of nuclear war increasing Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.reuters.com/technology/artificial-intelligence/openais-stunning-150-billionvaluation-hinges-upending-corporate-structure-2024-09-14/ https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-09-25/openai-cto-mira-murati-says-she-will-leave-the-company https://x.com/chiefaioffice https://openai.com/our-structure https://x.com/unusual_whales/status/1658664383717978112 https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1839121268521492975 https://www.politico.com/news/2024/08/26/zuckerberg-meta-white-house-pressure-00176399 https://appleinsider.com/articles/12/12/28/early-apple-prototypes-by-frog-designs-hartmut-esslinger-featured-in-upcoming-book https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/16/the-toolbelt-generation-why-teens-are-losing-faith-in-college.html https://www.wsj.com/tech/tech-jobs-artificial-intelligence-cce22393 https://layoffs.fyi https://educationdata.org/college-enrollment-statistics https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-09-20/zelenskiy-to-push-us-for-nato-invite-weapons-guarantees

27 Syys 20241h 35min

(0:00) Bestie intros + All-In Summit recap (6:50) Fed cuts 50 bps: Economic tailwind, scary signal, or both? (17:35) AI is coming for call centers; how agent training works (33:41) US government wasting $50B for rural internet and EV charging stations (47:10) Reflecting on some rough years in VC: is the model broken? (1:07:18) Reacting to the first Trump/Kamala debate, what factors will make each candidate can win or lose the race Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/19/investing/stocks-fed-rate-cut/index.html https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-dow-sp500-nasdaq-live-09-05-2024/card/say-goodbye-to-the-inverted-yield-curve--snsL80qp8JX9UvaMCvVc https://mearsheimer.ai https://seekingalpha.com/news/4144652-klarna-shuts-down-salesforce-as-service-provider-workday-to-meet-same-fate-amid-ai-initiatives https://x.com/brendancarrfcc/status/1836079197967532497 https://reason.com/2024/05/30/7-5-billion-in-government-cash-only-built-8-e-v-chargers-in-2-5-years https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/17/spacexs-starlink-has-2500-aircraft-under-contract.html https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-31/the-us-installed-more-than-1-000-ev-charging-stations-since-summer https://x.com/brendancarrfcc/status/1836435062994121053 https://x.com/brendancarrfcc/status/1834009499931463705 https://x.com/molson_hart/status/1835650978906857948 https://x.com/danprimack/status/1824506087116058665 https://x.com/Jason/status/1768073854545449228 https://chamath.substack.com/p/2023-annual-letter https://x.com/Jason/status/1836820167449326063 https://www.axios.com/2024/04/03/us-global-venture-capital-q1 https://www.wsj.com/articles/university-endowments-mint-billions-in-golden-era-of-venture-capital-11632907802 https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model https://x.com/GrageDustin/status/1836178999178866766 https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/trump-very-fine-people https://x.com/EndWokeness/status/1836516153893519867

20 Syys 20241h 24min

(0:00) Bestie intros! Jason goes "Founder Mode" (1:03) All-In Summit lineup announcement (9:01) Understanding "Founder Mode" (32:52) Bolt is back in the news as Ryan Breslow goes "Founder Mode" (52:28) Tech's Section 230 protections might be in danger after new ruling (1:08:45) DOJ charges two Russians with infiltrating US media company (1:22:42) Kamala's economic pivot Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://paulgraham.com/foundermode.html https://x.com/chamath/status/1831003871344501069 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/PANW:NASDAQ https://a16z.com/on-micromanagement https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0679762884 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ABNB:NASDAQ https://www.amazon.com/Five-Dysfunctions-Team-Leadership-Fable/dp/0787960756 https://techcrunch.com/2022/01/14/online-checkout-bolt-decacorn https://www.businessinsider.com/bolt-ceo-calls-stripe-ycombinator-mob-bosses-twitter-silicon-valley-2022-1 https://www.paymentsdive.com/news/bolt-ceo-ryan-breslow-steps-down/618058 https://www.nytimes.com/2022/05/10/business/bolt-start-up-ryan-breslow-investors.html https://techcrunch.com/2023/07/21/bolt-ex-ceo-ryan-breslow-subject-of-sec-probe https://techcrunch.com/2023/10/06/bolt-ceo-discusses-moving-on-after-sec-probe https://www.theinformation.com/articles/bolt-once-worth-11-billion-slashes-price-97-in-buyback?rc=pxkrxo https://www.axios.com/2024/08/22/bolt-investors-baffled https://x.com/MikeSacksEsq/status/1828795866590896599 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2022-11-30/is-tiktok-responsible-if-kids-diedoing-dangerous-viral-challenges https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0JTcxIVlQfU https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1830440852411326782 https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/two-rt-employees-indicted-covertly-funding-and-directing-us-company-published-thousands https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1366266/dl https://www.axios.com/2024/09/05/putin-harris-trump-2024-election-russia-interference https://www.cnn.com/2020/07/30/tech/2020-election-russia-disinformation/index.html https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model https://www.liberalpatriot.com/p/the-rise-of-vince-lombardi-democrats

6 Syys 20241h 35min

(0:00) Bestie intros: Buttons are back for fall (1:48) Reid Hoffman joins the show, reminiscing on PayPal stories with Sacks (7:52) State of AI: Nvidia, cluster buildouts, competition (19:51) OpenAI's corporate structure and thoughts on Elon's lawsuit (29:09) Inflection AI's deal structure with Microsoft, Lina Khan's impact on the tech industry (41:27) Reid's perspective on Kamala being hot swapped for Biden, funding groups that attempted to keep RFK Jr. off ballots (52:02) Reid's thoughts on growing antisemitism (55:03) Thoughts on Kamala's economic proposals: price caps, wealth tax, etc. (1:04:19) How Silicon Valley views both candidates, why Reid funded legal action against Trump (1:19:03) Robert F. Kennedy Jr. joins the show and recaps his campaign and decision to back Trump (1:31:13) Falling out with the Democratic Party (1:37:26) Potential role in the Trump Administration, Make America Healthy Again agenda (1:58:01) Sacks recaps RFK Jr's campaign, RFK Jr. on Trump's legacy Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow Reid Hoffman: https://x.com/reidhoffman Follow Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: https://x.com/RobertKennedyJr Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://nvidianews.nvidia.com/news/nvidia-announces-financial-results-for-second-quarter-fiscal-2025 https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/gavin-baker-ai-semiconductors-and-the-robotic-frontier/id1154105909?i=1000666758592

30 Elo 20242h 11min

(0:00) Bestie intros! (1:59) Labor department revises down nonfarm payrolls by 818K (15:02) MIT publishes data from first incoming class post race-based admissions ban (36:16) Decision 2024: State of the race, Polls vs prediction markets (52:33) Tale of two tickets: Private sector vs. Public sector (1:05:19) Kamala Harris supports Biden's tax plans, including a 25% wealth tax on those with more than $100M in assets Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/08/21/nonfarm-payroll-growth-revised-down-by-818000-labor-department-says.html https://x.com/RealEJAntoni/status/1826290040374243821 https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1664788807059660800 https://www.statista.com/statistics/269959/employment-in-the-united-states https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS https://polymarket.com/event/fed-interest-rates-september-2024?tid=1724345228774 https://x.com/chamath/status/1826360792351957141 https://www.nytimes.com/2018/06/15/us/harvard-asian-enrollment-applicants.html https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model https://x.com/Polymarket/status/1826469365069271419 https://blockworks.co/news/polymarket-july-all-time-high-trading-volumes https://www.semafor.com/article/08/19/2024/harris-camp-signals-it-backs-biden-bid-to-raise-taxes-on-wealthy-corporations https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/dnc-election-2024-harris-walz/card/harris-backs-tax-increases-proposed-by-biden-pkuLeYl6f1kXrhN4kWgQ https://www.crfb.org/blogs/kamala-harris-agenda-lower-costs-american-families https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/131/General-Explanations-FY2024.pdf

23 Elo 20241h 31min

(0:00) Bestie intros: Jason gets a dish named after him! (5:27) DOJ considers breaking up Google after last week's antitrust ruling (28:10) Starbucks replaces CEO with Chipotle chief (45:37) Work culture, WFH's damage to informal mentorship (59:20) Election update: Harris flips the polls despite unclear policy; reports of price control focus (1:21:27) Boeing's Starliner disaster strands two astronauts in space (1:33:54) Russia/Ukraine update: Ukraine wins land in Kursk, Nordstream report Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://x.com/harry_schuh/status/1822030518038491400 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-08-13/doj-considers-seeking-google-goog-breakup-after-major-antitrust-win https://www.wsj.com/business/starbucks-replaces-ceo-as-activist-investors-push-for-changes-43c33bff https://s203.q4cdn.com/326826266/files/doc_financials/2024/q3/Q3-FY24-Earnings-at-a-Glance.pdf https://fortune.com/2024/08/13/starbucks-shares-jump-20-after-company-poaches-chipotle-ceo-brian-niccol-chipotle-falls-9 https://www.cafexapp.com https://www.google.com/finance/quote/CMG:NYSE https://www.wsj.com/articles/low-wage-workers-climb-the-earnings-ladder-20acd8af https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mzLCpmRad5o https://finance.yahoo.com/news/nearly-half-dell-full-time-215348261.html https://x.com/Jason/status/1823826884112867609 https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model https://x.com/JStein_WaPo/status/1823913395986305342 https://www.npr.org/2024/08/08/nx-s1-5068668/vance-walz-stolen-valor-military-record https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/walzs-military-record-vances-accusations-stolen-valor/story?id=112618991 https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2024/08/15/kamala-harris-economic-policy-2024 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-08-15/harris-will-propose-price-gouging-ban-on-food-and-groceries https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Whip_Inflation_Now https://www.google.com/finance/quote/WMT:NYSE https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/kamala-harriss-economic-team-and-agenda-start-to-take-shape-7682e539 https://time.com/7009317/reintroduction-of-kamala-harris https://x.com/TIME/status/1822951410956218385 https://www.axios.com/2024/08/11/kamala-harris-trump-taxes-tips-service-workers https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-08-15/harris-will-propose-price-gouging-ban-on-food-and-groceries https://www.socialcapital.com/ideas/2019-annual-letter https://www.google.com/finance/quote/BA:NYSE https://www.azquotes.com/quote/1413855 https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2024/07/26/boeing-starliner-astronauts-stuck-orbit-space-station https://spacenews.com/41891nasa-selects-boeing-and-spacex-for-commercial-crew-contracts https://newatlas.com/space/first-manned-crew-dragon-flight-date https://qph.cf2.quoracdn.net/main-qimg-26d9f1dddb4d24469b593b28f40d277b-lq https://spaceflightnow.com/2016/08/02/boeing-nears-fix-for-cst-100-starliner-design-hitch https://spacenews.com/crewed-starliner-test-flight-could-slip-to-2019 https://spaceflightnow.com/2020/02/28/boeing-says-thorough-testing-would-have-caught-starliner-software-problems https://spaceflightnow.com/2021/08/19/boeings-starliner-spacecraft-returns-to-processing-facility-for-valve-work https://www.boeing.com/space/starliner/launch/archive.html https://boeing.mediaroom.com/2024-06-05-Boeing-Starliner-Spacecraft-Completes-Successful-Launch https://boeing.mediaroom.com/2024-06-05-Boeing-Starliner-Spacecraft-Completes-Successful-Launch https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/09/27/nord-stream-gas-pipelines-damage-russia https://www.wsj.com/world/europe/nord-stream-pipeline-explosion-real-story-da24839c https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2023/04/03/nord-stream-bombing-yacht-andromeda https://seymourhersh.substack.com/p/how-america-took-out-the-nord-stream https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4O8rGRLf8 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ild-PsPD_Uw

16 Elo 20241h 46min