E61: 2022 Predictions! Business, politics, science, tech, crypto, & more

(0:00) David Friedberg welcomes Alphabet CEO Sundar Pichai (2:58) Will AI kill search?: Google disrupting itself, evolving search to follow the user (15:32) Infrastructure advantage, foundational model differentiation (25:08) Future of human-computer interaction, hardware, competitive landscape in AI (35:29) Energy constraints in AI (41:20) Google's progress in quantum computing and robotics (47:56) Culture, coddling, and talent recruitment in the age of AI (56:50) Does he consider Alphabet a holding company searching for Google's next $100B business? Follow Sundar: https://x.com/sundarpichai Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect

16 Touko 1h 2min

(0:00) The Besties intro Philippe Laffont! (2:12) Miami F1 Recap! (12:10) Fed holds rates steady on tariff uncertainty (32:47) Google drops after Apple sees fall in search queries on Safari (56:48) Creating a new Mag 7 (1:07:00) Private markets: Is traditional VC dead? Philippe details Coatue's new fund structure and what makes a great investor Follow Philippe Laffont: https://x.com/plaffont Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-june/fed-decreases-interest-rates-by-50-bps-after-june-2025-meeting?tid=1746821096114 https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20250507a.htm https://www.mlex.com/mlex/antitrust/articles/2337168/apple-exec-testimony-on-search-volume-drop-hurts-google-stock-price https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-07/apple-working-to-move-to-ai-search-in-browser-amid-google-fallout https://blog.google/products/search/statement-press-reports-about-search-traffic https://x.com/EconomyApp/status/1915501252420784499 https://x.com/Similarweb/status/1920026287625658628 https://openai.com/index/leadership-expansion-with-fidji-simo https://files.pitchbook.com/website/files/pdf/Q1_2025_PitchBook-NVCA_Venture_Monitor_19001.pdf https://stockanalysis.com/ipos/statistics

9 Touko 1h 36min

(0:00) David Friedberg introduces Secretary Doug Burgum (2:11) Burgum's background and how it led to his role in the administration (10:56) The state of American energy and how we got here (22:32) America's energy emergency: AI, unlocking potential, China, increasing national risk tolerance (34:22) Burgum's National Balance Sheet idea: How it could help reduce national debt (42:25) Mining, overseeing the EPA, aligning agencies with outcomes Follow Secretary Burgum: https://x.com/SecretaryBurgum Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect

6 Touko 51min

(0:00) David Friedberg welcomes Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins! (1:32) How she ended up in Trump's two administrations, history of the USDA (16:56) Trump's first 100 days, what needs to be reformed in the USDA (21:31) SNAP's massive impact on USDA budget: soda, obesity, health challenges; how being DC outsiders helps the Trump Administration (30:48) How she reconciles running a department with a lot of government intervention after coming from a free market background (34:33) State of US farming in 2025, labor costs, opening up new markets, and more (42:11) Working with DOGE, Farm Bill negotiation, stance on agricultural innovation Follow Secretary Rollins: https://x.com/SecRollins https://x.com/BrookeLRollins Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect

4 Touko 50min

(0:00) The Besties welcome Box's Aaron Levie and Flexport's Ryan Petersen! (4:05) Is Sacks back? (8:19) Reflecting on Trump's first 100 days (28:16) Global trade disruption, how businesses are dealing with tariffs (49:14) Amazon flip-flops on its tariff pricing feature, national security issues (1:04:13) AI agents, 1,000,000X'ing AI, and more Follow Aaron Levie: https://x.com/levie Follow Ryan Petersen: https://x.com/typesfast Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/OODA_loop https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/joe-biden/biden-warns-risk-nuclear-armageddon-highest-cuban-missile-crisis-rcna51146 https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/30/world/europe/us-ukraine-military-war-takeaways.html https://x.com/Molson_Hart/status/1915248938753392642 https://x.com/SecScottBessent/status/1917697018551754802 https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/29/us/politics/trump-amazon-tariffs-prices.html https://x.com/chamath/status/1908239828283777393 https://www.theinformation.com/articles/openai-plots-charging-20-000-a-month-for-phd-level-agents?rc=pxkrxo https://manus.im https://www.theinformation.com/briefings/benchmark-invests-chinese-startup-behind-manus-ai-agent?rc=pxkrxo https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-2025?tid=1746130417369

2 Touko 1h 35min

(0:00) The Besties intro Andrew Ross Sorkin (2:04) Market bump: Trump rally or a Bessent put? (18:04) Are tariffs damaging the American "brand"? Apple's investment in India (38:18) Balance of power politics, Ukraine/Russia ceasefire negotiation halted over Crimea (50:00) Alphabet earnings: Massive resiliency, Google's Gemini Problem (1:05:40) Tesla jumps on Elon's return, pulling back from DOGE (1:18:35) Science Corner: China's Thorium Breakthrough Follow Andrew: https://x.com/andrewrsorkin Follow the besties:  https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.DJI:INDEXDJX?comparison=INDEXSP%3A.INX%2CINDEXNASDAQ%3A.IXIC&window=5D https://x.com/nic__carter/status/1909066161464959070 https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/16/business/china-rare-earths-us.html https://x.com/TheTranscript_/status/1915116330534998440 https://www.ft.com/content/c2be45b8-cfad-4cbb-9a1a-bfd0626be372 https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/22/world/europe/ukraine-cease-fire-talks.html https://www.forbes.com/sites/kenrapoza/2015/03/20/one-year-after-russia-annexed-crimea-locals-prefer-moscow-to-kiev https://x.com/EconomyApp/status/1915501252420784499 https://www.artificialintelligence-news.com/news/chinese-firms-cloud-loophole-access-us-ai-tech https://polymarket.com/event/how-much-spending-will-elon-and-doge-cut-in-2025 https://doge.gov/savings https://www.scmp.com/news/china/science/article/3300360/chinas-thorium-survey-finds-endless-energy-source-right-under-our-feet https://www.spglobal.com/commodityinsights/es/market-insights/latest-news/energy-transition/020123-china-to-maintain-renewables-growth-pace-in-2023-despite-uncertainty https://www.reuters.com/world/china/images-show-china-building-huge-fusion-research-facility-analysts-say-2025-01-28

26 Huhti 1h 29min

(0:00) The Besties welcome Tim Dillon! (6:56) Nvidia H20 export controls, the China workaround, plausible deniability by chipmakers selling to China-linked entities (28:45) Trump vs. Harvard: Why the White House is threatening to take Harvard's tax-exempt status away (57:04) Hollywood's DEI facade, thoughts on AI, and more (1:18:06) Celebrity Jeopardy update: Friedberg is heading to the finals! (1:26:44) Science Corner: Mitochondrial Therapy Follow Tim: https://x.com/TimJDillon Check out Tim's new special: https://www.netflix.com/title/81992010 Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wUzmVo2dZNs https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-trump-tariffs-trade-war-04-15-25/card/nvidia-records-5-5-billion-charge-on-new-h20-export-restrictions-LXjxlqr2m80QIrfJxnYZ https://www.wsj.com/economy/trade/trump-chip-exports-nvidia-h20-china-amd-d2c4c866 https://www.reuters.com/technology/exclusive-nvidia-offers-new-advanced-chip-china-that-meets-us-export-controls-2022-11-08 https://abachy.com/news/nvidia-unveil-new-ai-chips-chinese-market-after-us-bans-a800-and-h800 https://www.moomoo.com/community/feed/compared-to-the-h100-how-is-the-performance-of-the-111725151846805 https://www.reuters.com/technology/tsmc-could-face-1-billion-or-more-fine-us-probe-sources-say-2025-04-08 https://www.bis.gov https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/15/us-is-unable-to-replace-rare-earths-supply-from-china-warns-csis-.html https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-03-31/trump-administration-to-review-billions-in-grants-to-harvard https://www.harvard.edu/research-funding/wp-content/uploads/sites/16/2025/04/Letter-Sent-to-Harvard-2025-04-11.pdf https://www.harvard.edu/president/news/2025/the-promise-of-american-higher-education https://apnews.com/article/harvard-trump-administration-federal-cuts-antisemitism-0a1fb70a2c1055bda7c4c5a5c476e18d https://www.cnn.com/2025/04/16/politics/irs-harvard-tax-exempt-status/index.html https://www.boston.com/news/local-news/2024/09/05/harvard-comes-in-dead-last-in-nationwide-free-speech-rankings https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bob_Jones_University_v._United_States https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Students_for_Fair_Admissions_v._Harvard https://www.thecrimson.com/article/2022/7/13/faculty-survey-political-leaning https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraines-parliament-extends-martial-law-until-august-2025-04-16 https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-023-06537-z https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-025-00848-z https://www.researchgate.net/publication/389907980_Organelle-tuning_condition_robustly_fabricates_energetic_mitochondria_for_cartilage_regeneration/fulltext/67d8575e478c5a3feda50563/Organelle-tuning-condition-robustly-fabricates-energetic-mitochondria-for-cartilage-regeneration.pdf https://www.foxnews.com/media/george-clooney-calls-breaking-biden-2024-his-civic-duty-says-democrats-werent-telling-truth

19 Huhti 1h 38min

(0:00) Bestie intros! (0:58) Reacting to Trump targeting China and postponing all other reciprocal tariffs (21:21) Measures for success of tariffs, debating the impact of letting China into the WTO (46:14) Is the US being exploited on trade? Was free trade a mistake? (1:02:01) Recession chances, How the Trump administration gathers information (1:19:39) Future of the Democratic Party, Abundance agenda, DOGE (1:51:00) The Besties recap the debate and Chamath recaps the Breakthrough Prize Ceremony Follow Larry: https://x.com/LHSummers Follow Ezra: https://x.com/ezraklein Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/114309144289505174 https://x.com/WhiteHouse/status/1910058352278708638 https://www.wsj.com/politics/policy/why-trump-blinked-on-tariffs-b588aea8 https://breakthroughprize.org

11 Huhti 2h 1min