DOGE vs USAID, Crypto Framework, Google's $75B AI Spend, US Sovereign Wealth Fund, GLP-1s

0:00 Bestie Intro: Chamath's happy hour and sweater feud 7:11 Breaking down the new 6.8% CPI number, reflecting on old inflation takes, jobs report, understanding why CPI is misleading 23:05 How growth stocks got overblown, current valuation outlook, government as capital allocators 40:12 Deficit trouble: will another president ever try and balance the budget? Areas of positivity in the economy 50:29 Better.com's botched layoffs, impact of overcapitalization, macro outlook for founders 1:11:16 Lessons from the Jussie Smollett saga Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.cnbc.com/2021/12/10/consumer-price-index-november-2021.html https://www.bls.gov/opub/ted/2021/consumer-prices-increase-6-2-percent-for-the-year-ended-october-2021.htm https://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-powell-must-do-next-after-admitting-that-he-was-wrong-about-transitory-inflation-11638460995 https://www.cnn.com/2021/01/27/economy/inflation-federal-reserve-janet-yellen/index.html https://www.nytimes.com/2021/03/22/opinion/us-inflation-stimulus.html https://www.nytimes.com/2021/03/10/business/economy/inflation-markets-federal-reserve.html https://www.axios.com/inflation-consumers-survey-1932e8d0-b01b-4c39-8fb4-4fdb9a96958d.html http://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2021/images/12/10/cbo.report.on.build.back.better.pdf https://www.politico.com/newsletters/playbook-pm/2021/11/10/does-the-wh-owe-larry-summers-an-apology-495052 https://www.cnbc.com/2021/12/03/jobs-report-november-2021.html https://twitter.com/BillAckman/status/1469438745791410183 https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/10/stanley-druckenmiller-fed-lulling-investors-into-false-sense-of-security.html https://www.businessinsider.com/congress-progressives-back-bill-4-day-workweek-remote-work-2021-12 https://youtu.be/-_wvTa8aiu8 https://www.thebalance.com/deficit-by-president-what-budget-deficits-hide-3306151 https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1469370800771715073 https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidjeans/2020/11/20/mortgages-fraud-claims-and-dumb-dolphins-a-tangled-past-haunts-bettercom-ceo-vishal-garg/?sh=6ed46a0110f4 https://youtu.be/pXLx5OY21Bk https://youtu.be/wZXoErL2124

11 Joulu 20211h 21min

(0:00) Bestie Intro: Miami talk, gambling stories, Nancy Pelosi's retirement plans (12:30) Understanding the Omicron variant (24:49) Tech stocks plummet: why the selloff? (33:44) Inflation: here to stay? What's the 10-year outlook? (44:57) Anticipating a "Great Resignation" of successful VCs (54:45) Tech people ruining Art Basel, comparing Bay Area / South Florida immigrant communities in terms of political activity, success of Indian-Americans in tech (1:02:08) Mike Bloomberg donates $750M to charter schools (1:07:52) Jack Dorsey's departure from Twitter, what it means for free speech Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/trvrb https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2115463 https://twitter.com/erictopol/status/1466799350990839810 https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1465037481187987457 https://www.wsj.com/articles/china-set-to-create-new-stateowned-rare-earths-giant-11638545586 https://www.shippingandfreightresource.com/china-us-freight-rates-plunge-but-china-manufacturing-woes-create-new-headaches-for-shippers https://fortune.com/2021/08/09/lumber-prices-down-2018-levels https://twitter.com/rabois/status/1466816803418615812 https://twitter.com/michelletandler/status/1465393612577853440 https://www.wsj.com/articles/michael-bloomberg-why-im-backing-charter-schools-covid-19-learning-loss-teachers-union-11638371324 https://www.technologyreview.com/2020/11/18/1012066/emtech-stage-twitters-cto-on-misinformation https://bariweiss.substack.com/p/twitter-is-about-to-get-way-worse

4 Joulu 20211h 18min

0:00 Bestie intro 1:14 Constitution DAO: implications, shortcomings, how to move forward? 29:58 Rittenhouse trial media coverage 50:52 Ken Griffin plays heel (again), private sector efficiency vs. government inefficiency 1:07:08 Pete Davidson's pull, Sacks' taste in music, wrap Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/18/constitutiondao-crypto-investors-lose-bid-to-buy-constitution-copy.html https://twitter.com/constitutiondao https://www.constitutiondao.com https://www.coindesk.com/tech/2021/11/19/constitutiondao-outbid-for-first-printing-of-americas-founding-document-in-sothebys-auction/ https://youtu.be/1TBa-9Lx3vc?t=8762 https://www.cbsnews.com/live-updates/kyle-rittenhouse-trial-closing-arguments-self-defense/ https://www.nytimes.com/live/2021/11/19/us/kyle-rittenhouse-trial https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1461372314424164367 https://www.wsj.com/articles/citadel-ceo-ken-griffin-outbid-a-group-of-crypto-investors-for-copy-of-u-s-constitution-11637352087 https://www.nytimes.com/2021/11/17/us/politics/biden-build-back-better-act.html https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/17/amazon-to-stop-accepting-visa-credit-cards-issued-in-the-uk.html https://twitter.com/ConceptualJames/status/1461007806333693959 https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/05/sam-altman-puts-375-million-into-fusion-start-up-helion-energy.html https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/17/bill-gates-terrapower-builds-its-first-nuclear-reactor-in-a-coal-town.html https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zHZ4MfOiqm8 https://www.huffpost.com/entry/emily-ratajkowski-women-find-pete-davidson-attractive_n_618be849e4b06de3eb7dfbbe

20 Marras 20211h 15min

0:00 Bestie intro and Solana Breakpoint talk 4:43 Covering the censored segment from last week, how to value crypto projects and general investing, what to take away from the podcast 30:45 Rivian's >$100B valuation, greatest CNBC hit of all time 42:06 Inflation: reacting to the CPI number, problems with MMT, strategies to curb it 1:01:34 Xi Jinping becomes China's "Supreme Leader" 1:08:35 GE, Toshiba, and J&J break up into separate businesses: is this the end of the conglomerate? Insights from PayPal breaking off from eBay, what buybacks signal 1:24:44 Besties wrap the show Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.wsj.com/articles/us-inflation-consumer-price-index-october-2021-11636491959 https://twitter.com/denverbitcoin/status/1458900776747737093/photo/1 https://www.dtnpf.com/agriculture/web/ag/crops/article/2021/11/10/nitrogen-fertilizer-prices-shatter-1 https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-tests-israels-iron-dome-in-guam-as-defense-against-chinese-cruise-missiles-11636455224 https://twitter.com/Sen_JoeManchin/status/1458443966135902221 https://fredblog.stlouisfed.org/2017/02/two-tales-of-federal-debt https://www.wsj.com/articles/chinas-xi-gains-power-as-communist-party-designates-him-historical-figure-11636635312 https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/09/ge-to-break-up-into-3-companies-focusing-on-aviation-healthcare-and-energy.html https://www.wsj.com/articles/toshiba-like-ge-plans-to-split-into-three-parts-11636700609?st=e6zgv5yq433lvr3&reflink=article_imessage_share https://investor.pypl.com/news-and-events/news-details/2021/Response-to-Market-Rumors-of-Discussions-Between-PayPal-and-Pinterest/default.aspx https://www.marketwatch.com/story/apple-spent-nearly-20-billion-on-stock-buybacks-in-q4-at-average-prices-below-the-vwap-2021-10-29 https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/which-companies-spend-the-most-in-research-and-development-rd-2021-06-21

13 Marras 20211h 32min

Show Notes: 0:00 Besties do a Microsoft-themed intro 7:53 Spread trading big tech, amazing power of Google and Microsoft 17:28 Sacks speaks about Bird going public from the NYSE, understanding distributions and evergreen funds, why Friedberg went the startup studio route 30:36 How DAOs fit in to the capital allocation landscape, the balance of consumer-facing products and infrastructure solutions for web 3.0 35:24 Zillow's iBuying implosion 46:05 Wokelash: Progressive democrats take huge hit on election day 2021, what are American voters looking for? 1:14:57 New CO2 to starch conversion discovered by Chinese researchers, future climate incentives Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/Suhail/status/1455553539552382979 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-11-01/zillow-selling-7-000-homes-for-2-8-billion-after-flipping-halt https://twitter.com/RTanuku/status/1456324783809826819 https://www.nytimes.com/news-event/elections-2021 https://www.nytimes.com/2021/11/04/nyregion/stephen-sweeney-durr-nj-election.html https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/politics/republican-ann-davison-defeats-nicole-thomas-kennedy-to-become-seattles-first-woman-city-attorney https://www.nytimes.com/2021/11/03/us/politics/democrat-losses-2022.html https://www.nytimes.com/2021/11/04/us/california-math-curriculum-guidelines.html https://nypost.com/2021/11/01/mcauliffe-claims-everybody-clapped-after-classroom-comment https://www.newsweek.com/cnn-van-jones-glenn-youngkin-delta-variant-trumpism-1645303 https://twitter.com/patrickruffini/status/1454792424488902656 https://www.shorenewsnetwork.com/2021/10/17/if-taxes-are-your-issue-njs-not-for-you-murphy-says-comment-taken-out-of-context/ https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abh4049 https://twitter.com/friedberg/status/1454482267707899909 https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/sep/28/blah-greta-thunberg-leaders-climate-crisis-co2-emissions https://www.wsj.com/articles/climate-finance-china-india-11636039142 https://www.wsj.com/articles/tariffs-climate-change-greenhouse-gases-manufacturing-steel-11635862305 https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1454808104256737289

6 Marras 20211h 30min

0:00 Bestie intro, child update, Joe Lonsdale’s take on paternity leave 20:44 Proposed “Wealth Tax” 35:13 Inflation discussion: corporate and government reactions 52:30 Dealing with inflation as a capital allocator 58:49 Big Tech’s outrageous quarterly earnings, why Google is the best business ever, Facebook’s “Meta” rebrand Follow the besties:  https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/JTLonsdale/status/1453399478254379008 https://www.npr.org/sections/money/2019/02/26/698057356/if-a-wealth-tax-is-such-a-good-idea-why-did-europe-kill-theirs https://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/pages/textview.aspx?data=yield https://www.npr.org/2021/10/28/1049980529/starbucks-and-costco-raising-wages-in-the-nationwide-competition-for-workers https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GFDEGDQ188S https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/currencies/crypto-investor-turned-8000-into-5-billion-buying-shiba-inu-2021-10 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-10-29/tesla-s-tsla-hidden-billionaire-how-one-retail-investor-made-7-billion https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TOST/ https://www.wsj.com/articles/microsoft-overtakes-apple-as-most-valuable-company-11635516976 https://abc.xyz/investor/static/pdf/2021Q3_alphabet_earnings_release.pdf?cache=f1ba3f6 https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1450108244915937284 https://www.theverge.com/22743744/facebook-teen-usage-decline-frances-haugen-leaks https://vm.tiktok.com/TTPdYPqdJ6/

30 Loka 20211h 19min

Show Notes: 0:00 Bestie weight loss strategies, poker recap 13:19 Trump SPAC, how he can leverage the capital intelligently, building vs. acquiring, and more 33:43 Peak venture returns, tech landscape 44:56 Tech's global role: are we still in the early days, as opposed to a bubble? Wealth shaming, upward mobility 58:58 Democrats overplaying their hand, Netflix discourse, and more 1:17:41 Pig kidney biological innovation Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.tmtgcorp.com/press-releases/announcement-10-20-2021 https://www.tmtgcorp.com/company-overview https://www.cnbc.com/2021/10/22/trump-social-media-spac-digital-world-acquisition-corp-surges-another-100percent.html https://twitter.com/scienceisstrat1/status/1450723760806379520 https://www.wsj.com/articles/venture-returns-keep-climbing-mystifying-some-industry-veterans-11634554801 https://files.pitchbook.com/website/files/pdf/Q3_2021_PitchBook-NVCA_Venture_Monitor.pdf https://www.nytimes.com/2021/10/20/us/amherst-college-legacy-admissions.html https://www.nytimes.com/2021/10/20/us/dorian-abbot-mit.html https://www.okayplayer.com/culture/michael-che-elon-musk-snl.html https://www.politico.com/news/2021/10/20/tech-billionaire-aiding-facebook-whistleblower-516358 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-09-20/china-slams-effeminate-men-in-xi-s-mounting-push-for-conformity https://www.nytimes.com/2021/10/19/health/kidney-transplant-pig-human.html https://pandaily.com/top-livestream-salesman-li-jiaqi-records-1-7-billion-in-sales-in-first-11-11-livestream-viya-follows

23 Loka 20211h 27min

Show Notes: 00:00 Cold Open 01:19 Titles 01:01 Intro Banter 04:24 Supply chain, labor shortage,  34:04 Taiwan 43:14 Sacks Desantis 47:00 Dave Chappelle 01:08:24 FDA 01:23:27 Question 1 01:27:08 Question 2   Follow the besties:  https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg   Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast   Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg   Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect   Referenced in the show: Statista - The U.S. Car Models Most Impacted By The Microchip Shortage Zack Kanter on Twitter - "The “supply chain crisis” is a clever rebrand" Naithan Jones on Twitter - NFTs Daily Breeze - No start date for 24/7 operations at Port of LA LA Daily News - Port of LA to go to 24/7 operations, Biden announces Nikkei Asia - TSMC announces plans to build first chip plant in Japan St. Louis Fed - Total Public Debt as Percent of Gross Domestic Product Forbes - Druckenmiller Blasts Fed’s ‘Radical’ Stimulus Policy David Sacks on Twitter - Desantis Dinner Variety - Ted Sarandos Doubles Down The Light of Other Days by Arthur C. Clarke CFTC Orders Tether and Bitfinex to Pay Fines Totaling $42.5 Million NBC -  Most adults shouldn't take daily aspirin Botched - Man Wins $100,000 Breast Implants Bet!

16 Loka 20211h 33min