European Stocks Rally, U.S. Tax Cuts & Germany’s Confidence Drop: PALvatar Market Recap - February 26, 2025

The U.S. dollar bounced back on Wednesday, its showing of strength once again a bane to equity markets, as interest rates also ticked higher for the first time in a few days. OPEC+’s decision to cut daily production by 2 million barrels is today’s main story, driving up crude oil prices by more than 1% and making energy the only sector moving higher in the S&P 500 today. Riding an impressive trading streak, Thomas Thornton, the founder of Hedge Fund Telemetry, joins Maggie Lake to talk about markets from a tactical perspective. We also hear from Michael Nicoletos about his sense that something is going to break and where it’s likely to happen. Watch the full interview featuring Michael Kao and Michael Nicoletos here: https://rvtv.io/3SIfzvA.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

5 Loka 202236min

Stocks surged for a second straight day, with all three major U.S. equity indexes rising more than 2% on what seems to be rising hope the Federal Reserve will indeed pivot from its aggressively hawkish inflation-fighting stance. Meanwhile, OPEC+ is considering an output cut of more than a million barrels per day, a historic move that could push crude oil back toward the $100-per-barrel mark. With the world’s most important cartel meeting in Vienna on Wednesday to decide the next phase of production policy, Maggie Lake welcomes Tony Greer of TG Macro to talk about what’s happening with energy and the broader commodities space and what it means for markets and the global economy. We also hear from George Magnus about the impact of “zero Covid” on China’s economy. Watch the full interview featuring George Magnus and Maggie Lake here: https://rvtv.io/3yeafro.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

5 Loka 202238min

The Dow Jones Industrial Average led the three major U.S. equity indexes higher on the first Monday of October, rising more than 700 points and 2.5% by midday. That’s despite the fact the Institute of Supply Management’s gauge of factory activity slipped to 50.9 in September, its lowest print since May 2020. The U.S. housing market is also slowing rapidly, with median home prices now falling as fast as they did in January 2009. Meanwhile, Credit Suisse is evoking Lehman Brothers, and U.K. Prime Minister Liz Truss has abandoned her new government’s tax-cut plan. Maggie Lake welcomes Darius Dale, the founder of 42 Macro, to talk about the significance of today’s price action, and Weston Nakamura joins the conversation to discuss the ongoing policy confusion among global fiscal and monetary authorities. We want to hear from you too – please share your questions in the comments! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

3 Loka 202247min

Raoul Pal recently participated in a Portal Asset Management webinar to talk about the current macro environment, growing global recession fears, developments in the crypto market, and much more. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

2 Loka 20221h 16min

Cheap valuations, realistic catalysts for earnings growth, and a relatively young, educated population have Maciej Wojtal feeling very bullish on Iran and its economy. Wojtal, the founder and chief investment officer of Amtelon Capital, joins Harry Melandri to explain his optimism about a nuclear deal and to make the investment case for Iranian stocks and the Iranian rial. Never miss an episode of Next Big Trade - subscribe here. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

2 Loka 202253min

Brent Donnelly has spent most of his life in markets. He got into forex while working for top-tier banks in the U.S. He traded the dot-com bubble with his own money. And he was at Lehman Brothers when it collapsed. In this special episode of My Life in 4 Trades, Brent shares with guest host Andreas Steno Larsen his perspective on trading, including the big regrets that became some of his best lessons. Never miss an episode of My Life in 4 Trades - subscribe here. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

1 Loka 202247min

The major equity indexes were mixed as of midday, a fair-to-middling session welcome relief from recent wild whipsaws. We also saw mixed inflation data: the personal consumption expenditure accelerated more than expected in August in the U.S., and eurozone prices surged a record 10% in September, though American consumers’ inflation expectations eased this month. Much of the broad market conversation is about when rather than whether something big is about to break. Brent Donnelly, the president of Spectra Markets and the author of “Alpha Trader: The Mindset, Methodology and Mathematics of Professional Trading,” joins Maggie Lake to discuss that issue and to identify ways investors and traders can navigate the price action. We also hear from Michael Kao and Michael Nicoletos about the Federal Reserve’s global power. Watch the full conversation featuring Michael Kao and Michael Nicoletos here: https://www.realvision.com/shows/make-or-break-geopolitics/videos/when-will-the-dollar[…]uff-QpZW?source_collection=852d5cce52bd4c829fc3d84de72c55b8 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

30 Syys 202245min

These are complicated times. Inflation is riding a 40-year high, and nobody knows when this cycle is going to end. That’s why Real Vision is slashing Essential memberships by 59% – to give you access to the brightest minds in finance. Co-Founders Raoul Pal and Damian Horner and Senior Editor Ash Bennington break down everything we’re doing at Real Vision to bring clarity for investors and traders on this week’s RV Twitter Spaces. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

30 Syys 20221h 5min